Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.4084 (0.21%) ($18.2608 - $18.4473) on Thu. Jul. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $18.4084(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.38(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.36(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.1(1.7%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2016	17.81	18.1	18.36	18.38			18.41(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	12	-10000	2	43	26.81	52%	0.11	76.7	1.2%	0	0.9	83	0
2	Jul_27_2016	17.79	18.05	18.35	18.38			18.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	0	60	41.19	52%	0.06	69.8	1.21%	0	0.9	88	0
3	Jul_26_2016	17.78	17.99	18.32	18.36			18.38(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-10000	1	79	28.01	52%	0.11	54.8	1.21%	0	1	89	0
4	Jul_25_2016	17.76	17.91	18.3	18.36			18.36(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	0	98	30.14	52%	0.06	37.3	1.21%	0	0.9	89	0
5	Jul_22_2016	17.75	17.85	18.26	18.35			18.4(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	107	19.08	52%	0.06	32.1	1.21%	0	1.1	73	0

6	Jul_21_2016	17.74	17.84	18.2	18.32			18.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	106	29.67	52%	0.11	37.5	1.21%	0	0.9	67	0
7	Jul_20_2016	17.72	17.81	18.13	18.33			18.38(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	110	25.85	52%	0.06	41.3	1.22%	0	1.2	76	0
8	Jul_19_2016	17.71	17.77	18.04	18.28			18.35(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	25	52%	0.17	43.1	1.22%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Jul_18_2016	17.68	17.74	17.95	18.24			18.34(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	8	131	31.64	52%	0.11	41.7	1.23%	0	1.4	85	0
10	Jul_15_2016	17.66	17.69	17.88	18.15			18.28(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	133	50.94	52%	0.11	34.5	1.23%	0	1.4	68	0

11	Jul_14_2016	17.64	17.66	17.82	18.06			18.31(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	15	115	54.46	52%	0.11	24.2	1.23%	0	1.7	50	0
12	Jul_13_2016	17.62	17.62	17.74	17.89			18.14(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	30	-10000	12	83	46.61	55%	0.11	3.5	1.23%	0	1.5	54	0
13	Jul_12_2016	17.6	17.58	17.63	17.76			18.14(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	46	44.73	55%	0.11	-17.6	1.26%	0	1.7	53	0
14	Jul_11_2016	17.58	17.56	17.49	17.61			17.91(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	4	-4	34.57	53%	0.11	-39	1.26%	0	1.1	53	0
15	Jul_8_2016	17.56	17.55	17.41	17.56			17.81(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	1	-23	44.95	53%	0.06	-47.5	1.26%	0	0.8	53	0

16	Jul_7_2016	17.55	17.57	17.43	17.56			17.48(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	0	-12	53.4	48%	0.11	-50	1.24%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Jul_6_2016	17.53	17.6	17.46	17.55			17.45(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-4	47.57	48%	0.06	-48.3	1.26%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Jul_5_2016	17.52	17.64	17.48	17.48			17.41(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	8	-10000	13	-6	48.38	48%	0.11	-52.6	1.26%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Jul_1_2016	17.5	17.68	17.51	17.34			17.67(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	10	-33	36.63	50%	0.11	-61.9	1.25%	0	-0	48	0
20	Jun_30_2016	17.48	17.7	17.5	17.23			17.76(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-21	-10000	-7	-64	59.06	50%	0.17	-65.8	1.25%	0	0.1	47	0

21	Jun_29_2016	17.45	17.73	17.5	17.31			17.48(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-5	-68	81.24	47%	0.06	-58.7	1.23%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Jun_28_2016	17.44	17.78	17.48	17.36			17.1(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-13	-84	89.13	43%	0.11	-52.9	1.2%	0	-1.5	32	0
23	Jun_27_2016	17.42	17.84	17.53	17.5			16.67(-2.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-36	-10000	-19	-87	118.43	38%	0	-43.3	1.16%	0	-2.7	23	0
24	Jun_24_2016	17.42	17.93	17.65	17.7			17.16(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-8	-68	134.78	42%	0.06	-32.3	1.11%	0	-2.1	26	0
25	Jun_23_2016	17.41	17.99	17.72	17.78			18.13(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	14	-69	59.91	54%		-23.6	0.89%	0	0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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