Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.7574 (-1.53%) ($17.6651 - $17.8650) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $17.7574(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $18.26
5 Day Moving Average   $18.12(-2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.27(-2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.26(-2.75%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2016	18.09	18.26	18.27	18.12			17.76(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-16	-35	62.75	51%	-0.11	-60.6	1.15%	0	-1.9	41	0
2	Jan_5_2016	18.11	18.31	18.27	18.29			18.03(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-8	-1	42.32	56%	-0.06	-46.6	1.14%	0	-1.2	54	0
3	Jan_4_2016	18.12	18.36	18.31	18.37			17.96(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-9	11	75.86	56%	-0.11	-33.1	1.17%	0	-1.6	53	0
4	Dec_31_2015	18.14	18.38	18.36	18.47			18.32(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-3	32	48.05	59%	-0.06	-27	1.14%	0	-0.2	50	0
5	Dec_30_2015	18.15	18.4	18.39	18.5			18.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	5	51	15.71	61%	-0.06	-22.4	1.13%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Dec_29_2015	18.16	18.4	18.37	18.45			18.63(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	11	43	30.9	61%	0	-22.1	1.14%	0	0.7	51	0
7	Dec_28_2015	18.16	18.42	18.31	18.34			18.44(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	10	5	13.6	57%	-0.11	-32.7	1.13%	0	0.1	44	0
8	Dec_24_2015	18.18	18.44	18.26	18.24			18.46(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	11.25	59%	-0.05	-42.9	1.18%	0	0.1	41	0
9	Dec_23_2015	18.19	18.45	18.24	18.23			18.47(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-48	33	59%	0	-43.9	1.18%	0	0.1	50	0
10	Dec_22_2015	18.19	18.46	18.22	18.27			18.26(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-2	-54	46.38	58%	-0.05	-36.3	1.17%	0	-0.6	43	0

11	Dec_21_2015	18.2	18.49	18.24	18.29			18.09(0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	3	-60	41.21	58%	-0.05	-30.9	1.18%	0	-1.2	38	0
12	Dec_18_2015	18.21	18.53	18.31	18.29			17.91(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	0	-67	92.28	55%	-0.11	-26.6	1.18%	0	-1.9	40	0
13	Dec_17_2015	18.23	18.57	18.31	18.26			18.4(-1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	1	-65	57.61	57%	-0.05	-23.7	1.16%	0	-0.6	44	0
14	Dec_16_2015	18.24	18.59	18.31	18.25			18.67(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-13	-10000	8	-74	83.03	59%	0	-24.4	1.16%	0	0.3	48	0
15	Dec_15_2015	18.24	18.58	18.41	18.17			18.37(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-25	-10000	-3	-91	75.82	59%	-0.05	-36.5	1.15%	0	-0.7	44	0

16	Dec_14_2015	18.25	18.59	18.47	18.2			17.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-16	-91	58.45	56%	-0.05	-36.5	1.12%	0	-2.2	35	0
17	Dec_11_2015	18.26	18.61	18.55	18.36			17.91(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-10000	-20	-70	72.73	56%	-0.05	-35	1.12%	0	-2.7	32	0
18	Dec_10_2015	18.27	18.64	18.64	18.57			18.32(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-2	-34	47.25	60%	-0.05	-23	1.09%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	Dec_9_2015	18.28	18.66	18.69	18.59			18.3(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-9	-34	54.12	57%	-0.05	-18.7	1.09%	0	-1.8	40	0
20	Dec_8_2015	18.29	18.69	18.73	18.68			18.52(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-9	-14	29	62%	-0.05	-5.2	1.09%	0	-0.9	54	0

21	Dec_7_2015	18.3	18.69	18.76	18.68			18.75(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	11	25.49	65%	-0.05	9.4	1.12%	0	0.3	58	0
22	Dec_4_2015	18.31	18.7	18.77	18.77			18.93(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	3	28	42.69	61%	0	22.9	1.12%	0	1.3	68	0
23	Dec_3_2015	18.31	18.69	18.75	18.74			18.44(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	3	-10000	-6	31	48.18	58%	-0.05	19.8	1.11%	0	-1.5	53	0
24	Dec_2_2015	18.32	18.69	18.79	18.8			18.75(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	47	35.62	63%	0	30.2	1.09%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Dec_1_2015	18.32	18.7	18.77	18.79			18.97(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	4	40	31.09	59%		40.7	1.09%	0	1.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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