Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.3727 (2.34%) ($18.1206 - $18.4720) on Tue. Dec. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $18.3727(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.27(-16.89%)
Resistance Level   $18.58
5 Day Moving Average   $18.17(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.41(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.58(-1.12%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2015	18.24	18.58	18.41	18.17			18.37(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-25	-10000	-3	-91	75.82	59%	-0.05	-36.5	1.15%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Dec_14_2015	18.25	18.59	18.47	18.2			17.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-16	-91	58.45	56%	-0.05	-36.5	1.12%	0	-2.2	35	0
3	Dec_11_2015	18.26	18.61	18.55	18.36			17.91(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-10000	-20	-70	72.73	56%	-0.05	-35	1.12%	0	-2.7	32	0
4	Dec_10_2015	18.27	18.64	18.64	18.57			18.32(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-2	-34	47.25	60%	-0.05	-23	1.09%	0	-1.5	39	0
5	Dec_9_2015	18.28	18.66	18.69	18.59			18.3(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-9	-34	54.12	57%	-0.05	-18.7	1.09%	0	-1.8	40	0

6	Dec_8_2015	18.29	18.69	18.73	18.68			18.52(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-9	-14	29	62%	-0.05	-5.2	1.09%	0	-0.9	54	0
7	Dec_7_2015	18.3	18.69	18.76	18.68			18.75(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	11	25.49	65%	-0.05	9.4	1.12%	0	0.3	58	0
8	Dec_4_2015	18.31	18.7	18.77	18.77			18.93(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	3	28	42.69	61%	0	22.9	1.12%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Dec_3_2015	18.31	18.69	18.75	18.74			18.44(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	3	-10000	-6	31	48.18	58%	-0.05	19.8	1.11%	0	-1.5	53	0
10	Dec_2_2015	18.32	18.69	18.79	18.8			18.75(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	47	35.62	63%	0	30.2	1.09%	0	0.3	51	0

11	Dec_1_2015	18.32	18.7	18.77	18.79			18.97(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	4	40	31.09	59%	0	40.7	1.09%	0	1.7	54	0
12	Nov_30_2015	18.32	18.68	18.72	18.75			18.76(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	25	24.66	57%	0	45	1.16%	0	0.5	52	0
13	Nov_27_2015	18.32	18.68	18.68	18.77			18.78(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	13	18.84	60%	0	44.2	1.16%	0	0.8	45	0
14	Nov_25_2015	18.32	18.66	18.68	18.78			18.73(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-1	7	19.68	62%	0	58.1	1.27%	0	0.4	51	0
15	Nov_24_2015	18.32	18.65	18.68	18.79			18.72(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	5	12	29.18	56%	0	72.2	1.28%	0	0.4	53	0

16	Nov_23_2015	18.32	18.63	18.64	18.73			18.77(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	6	25.86	56%	0.05	69.1	1.39%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Nov_20_2015	18.31	18.61	18.64	18.68			18.85(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	8	2	35.9	50%	0	71.1	1.46%	0	1.3	55	0
18	Nov_19_2015	18.31	18.59	18.63	18.57			18.82(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	6	-3	28.93	49%	0	62.7	1.48%	0	1.2	61	0
19	Nov_18_2015	18.31	18.56	18.61	18.49			18.79(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	1	-14	67.89	49%	0	51.3	1.49%	0	1	52	0
20	Nov_17_2015	18.31	18.52	18.6	18.47			18.46(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-4	-20	37.38	47%	0	54.6	1.47%	0	-0.2	45	0

21	Nov_16_2015	18.31	18.51	18.62	18.53			18.49(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-4	43.51	47%	0	66.4	1.47%	0	-0.1	57	0
22	Nov_13_2015	18.31	18.48	18.64	18.57			18.27(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-10000	-10	4	43.77	47%	-0.05	69.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	50	0
23	Nov_12_2015	18.32	18.47	18.65	18.7			18.43(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-4	21	54.1	46%	0	81.5	1.46%	0	-0.1	51	0
24	Nov_11_2015	18.32	18.45	18.65	18.75			18.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	2	39	22.4	47%	-0.05	72.8	1.46%	0	0.7	62	0
25	Nov_10_2015	18.33	18.39	18.68	18.73			18.77(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	1	53	33.4	48%		63.7	1.46%	0	1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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