Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.6952 (0.24%) ($18.5892 - $18.7784) on Tue. Jun. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $18.6952(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $18.73
5 Day Moving Average   $18.72(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.71(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.73(-0.19%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2015	18.37		18.71	18.72			18.7(0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-14	25.32	56%	0	45.8	0.78%	0	-0.3	41	0
2	Jun_8_2015	18.37		18.7	18.72			18.65(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	0	-24	22.97	56%	0.05	47.9	0.78%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	Jun_5_2015	18.36	18.73	18.7	18.71			18.76(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-19	42.57	56%	0.05	62.5	0.78%	0	0.3	53	0
4	Jun_4_2015	18.35	18.72	18.72	18.68			18.66(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-29	30.44	56%	0.05	52.5	0.78%	0	-0.5	46	0
5	Jun_3_2015	18.34	18.71	18.74	18.71			18.82(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	1	-12	33.22	59%	0.05	49.3	0.77%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Jun_2_2015	18.33	18.71	18.75	18.7			18.66(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	1	-2	21.47	57%	0.05	46.7	0.77%	0	-0.2	54	0
7	Jun_1_2015	18.32	18.69	18.76	18.69			18.63(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	18.73	57%	0	54.7	0.77%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	May_29_2015	18.32	18.68	18.77	18.73			18.62(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-4	5	25.61	57%	0.05	60	0.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
9	May_28_2015	18.31	18.66	18.79	18.76			18.79(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-3	26	17.79	59%	0	52.1	0.78%	0	0.7	62	0
10	May_27_2015	18.31	18.64	18.77	18.78			18.81(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-3	40	25.81	59%	0.05	55.7	0.78%	0	0.9	67	0

11	May_26_2015	18.3	18.62	18.75	18.8			18.6(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-5	51	44.54	57%	0	63.9	0.77%	0	-0.1	58	0
12	May_22_2015	18.3	18.61	18.76	18.84			18.82(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	71	13.19	61%	0.05	63.6	0.74%	0	1.1	57	0
13	May_21_2015	18.29	18.59	18.75	18.84			18.81(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	0	76	18.82	61%	0	65.7	0.75%	0	1.2	63	0
14	May_20_2015	18.29	18.57	18.72	18.81			18.85(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	7	86	30.34	61%	0	63.7	0.76%	0	1.5	68	0
15	May_19_2015	18.29	18.54	18.67	18.76			18.91(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	8	75	26.41	61%	0	54.9	0.76%	0	1.9	64	0

16	May_18_2015	18.29	18.51	18.62	18.7			18.8(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	4	61	16.12	61%	0	46.7	0.76%	0	1.7	61	0
17	May_15_2015	18.29	18.49	18.6	18.67			18.7(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-1	66	23.15	61%	0	43.7	0.76%	0	1.3	62	0
18	May_14_2015	18.29	18.46	18.58	18.68			18.78(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	8	75	21.48	61%	0	46.9	0.76%	0	2.1	62	0
19	May_13_2015	18.29	18.45	18.52	18.62			18.61(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	7	56	23.91	59%	0	47.1	0.76%	0	1.2	57	0
20	May_12_2015	18.29	18.44	18.5	18.57			18.6(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	6	45	39.61	59%	0	41.4	0.76%	0	1.2	58	0

21	May_11_2015	18.29	18.43	18.48	18.53			18.67(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	1	42	31.16	59%	0	43.1	0.77%	0	2	64	0
22	May_8_2015	18.29	18.42	18.45	18.52			18.74(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	9	42	33.07	59%	0	46.7	0.76%	0	2.9	62	0
23	May_7_2015	18.29	18.42	18.41	18.46			18.48(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	6	31	31.92	55%	0	43.2	0.75%	0	1.1	58	0
24	May_6_2015	18.29	18.42	18.41	18.42			18.35(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-1	15	29.75	55%	0.05	34.1	0.75%	0	-0.5	44	0
25	May_5_2015	18.28	18.39	18.4	18.43			18.44(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	15	30.64	55%		38.8	0.75%	0	0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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