Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.3470 (-0.49%) ($18.2183 - $18.5438) on Wed. May. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $18.3470(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $18.39
5 Day Moving Average   $18.42(-0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.4(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.39(-0.23%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.44% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2015	18.29			18.42			18.35(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-1	15	29.75	55%	0.05	34.1	0.75%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	May_5_2015	18.28	18.39	18.4	18.43			18.44(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	15	30.64	55%	0	38.8	0.75%	0	0.6	48	0
3	May_4_2015	18.28	18.38	18.39	18.42			18.6(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	10	-10000	9	11	22.23	58%	0.05	32.7	0.75%	0	2.4	56	0
4	May_1_2015	18.27	18.38	18.36	18.36			18.42(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	1	-10	18.33	64%	0	34.2	0.78%	0	0.9	50	0
5	Apr_30_2015	18.27	18.38	18.34	18.35			18.26(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-4	-17	34.8	56%	0	42.1	0.78%	0	-1.4	47	0

6	Apr_29_2015	18.27	18.36	18.34	18.35			18.41(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	0	-3	40.53	59%	-0.05	60.5	0.8%	0	0.7	53	0
7	Apr_28_2015	18.28	18.36	18.34	18.38			18.42(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	5	3	25.79	53%	0	40.9	0.81%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Apr_27_2015	18.28	18.35	18.37	18.34			18.31(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-1	23.95	50%	0	18.4	0.84%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Apr_24_2015	18.28	18.34	18.37	18.35			18.38(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	4	18.71	50%	0	-12.2	0.85%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Apr_23_2015	18.28	18.33	18.38	18.33			18.41(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-3	-10000	-3	-2	21.36	47%	0	-30.9	0.85%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Apr_22_2015	18.28	18.33	18.38	18.35			18.38(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-3	6	21.54	53%	0	-43.3	0.87%	0	0.5	58	0
12	Apr_21_2015	18.28	18.32	18.38	18.37			18.25(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-4	12	21.7	53%	0	-41.7	0.91%	0	-0.6	52	0
13	Apr_20_2015	18.28	18.34	18.38	18.4			18.34(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-2	16	15.52	53%	0	-29.2	0.91%	0	0	48	0
14	Apr_17_2015	18.28	18.35	18.37	18.42			18.26(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-1	28	39.86	53%	0	-11	0.91%	0	-0.6	59	0
15	Apr_16_2015	18.28	18.36	18.38	18.43			18.51(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	4	40	22.61	58%	0	-8.5	0.9%	0	1	70	0

16	Apr_15_2015	18.28	18.36	18.35	18.4			18.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	4	37	37.17	55%	0	2.4	0.91%	0	0.7	68	0
17	Apr_14_2015	18.28	18.36	18.33	18.37			18.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	3	24	26.4	52%	0	12.6	0.93%	0	0.3	47	0
18	Apr_13_2015	18.28	18.36	18.32	18.34			18.42(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	1	11	30.96	52%	0.05	12.6	0.95%	0	0.3	41	0
19	Apr_10_2015	18.27	18.36	18.3	18.33			18.35(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	14.76	52%	0	12.6	0.95%	0	-0.1	35	0
20	Apr_9_2015	18.27	18.37	18.28	18.32			18.35(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	2	-21	20.79	50%	0	13.8	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Apr_8_2015	18.27	18.36	18.28	18.3			18.32(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-39	18.5	52%	0.05	2	0.97%	0	-0.2	41	0
22	Apr_7_2015	18.26	18.36	18.26	18.28			18.26(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	18.15	54%	0	-11	0.99%	0	-0.4	43	0
23	Apr_6_2015	18.26	18.36	18.3	18.31			18.35(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-39	15.79	51%	0	-11	0.99%	0	0	43	0
24	Apr_2_2015	18.26	18.36	18.33	18.26			18.32(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-36	21.5	48%	0	-20.2	1.04%	0	-0.2	50	0
25	Apr_1_2015	18.26	18.35	18.34	18.22			18.23(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-45	26.66	48%		-26.9	1.04%	0	-0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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