Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.4298 (0.45%) ($18.3285 - $18.4486) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $18.4298(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    XLB(83%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-36%)    VIXM(-35%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.31(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.25(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.18(1.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.61% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2014	17.42	18.18	18.25	18.31			18.43(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	4	48	14.47	50%	0.11	109.8	0.81%	0	2.3	68	0
2	Dec_2_2014	17.4	18.16	18.21	18.28			18.35(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	3	39	21.74	50%	0.06	132.7	0.81%	0	1.9	61	0
3	Dec_1_2014	17.39	18.14	18.18	18.28			18.17(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	8	-10000	0	30	27.34	48%	0.06	158.2	0.8%	0	0.3	46	0
4	Nov_28_2014	17.38	18.12	18.17	18.26			18.31(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	6	30	7.82	48%	0.12	167.2	0.8%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Nov_26_2014	17.36	18.09	18.15	18.22			18.29(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	21	8.75	48%	0.06	116	0.79%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Nov_25_2014	17.35	18.06	18.13	18.17			18.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	11	23.45	50%	0.06	106.3	0.79%	0	1.1	64	0
7	Nov_24_2014	17.34	18.03	18.12	18.14			18.28(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	7	13	18.72	50%	0.06	94	0.8%	0	1	72	0
8	Nov_21_2014	17.33	17.98	18.12	18.09			18.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	9	20.4	52%	0.06	91	0.8%	0	0.7	68	0
9	Nov_20_2014	17.32	17.94	18.12	18.07			18.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	11	16.08	52%	0.06	83.8	0.81%	0	0.4	68	0
10	Nov_19_2014	17.31	17.9	18.12	18.08			18.07(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-1	30	22.07	52%	0.06	82.1	0.81%	0	0.5	77	0

11	Nov_18_2014	17.3	17.85	18.11	18.09			18.11(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	51	12.7	54%	0.06	85	0.81%	0	0.7	83	0
12	Nov_17_2014	17.29	17.8	18.1	18.1			18.05(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-4	68	16.17	54%	0.06	81.8	0.82%	0	0.6	83	0
13	Nov_14_2014	17.28	17.75	18.09	18.13			18.05(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-1	101	11.43	55%	0.12	76.6	0.82%	0	0.6	87	0
14	Nov_13_2014	17.26	17.68	18.08	18.13			18.11(-0.04%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	32	-10000	0	128	29.35	55%	0.06	69	0.82%	0	0.8	91	0
15	Nov_12_2014	17.25	17.61	18.04	18.13			18.12(-0.21%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	38	-10000	0	151	18.72	55%	0.06	61.5	0.82%	0	0.9	93	0

16	Nov_11_2014	17.24	17.53	17.99	18.14			18.16(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	5	178	38.75	55%	0.06	53.8	0.82%	0	1.1	96	0
17	Nov_10_2014	17.23	17.47	17.93	18.1			18.22(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	-10000	8	188	30.65	55%	0.06	50.2	0.82%	0	1.4	87	0
18	Nov_7_2014	17.22	17.39	17.84	18.04			18.12(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	5	200	28.81	56%	0.06	44.6	0.82%	0	1.4	89	0
19	Nov_6_2014	17.21	17.33	17.77	18			18.11(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	-10000	12	217	26.96	56%	0.06	40.1	0.83%	0	1.6	90	0
20	Nov_5_2014	17.2	17.28	17.67	17.91			18.08(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	-10000	13	227	24.62	54%	0.12	36.4	0.83%	0	1.7	91	0

21	Nov_4_2014	17.18	17.24	17.57	17.81			17.96(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10000	11	224	29.81	55%	0.06	36.5	0.84%	0	1.7	91	0
22	Nov_3_2014	17.17	17.19	17.48	17.73			17.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	-10000	16	224	49.46	55%	0.06	30.9	0.84%	0	1.9	74	0
23	Oct_31_2014	17.16	17.16	17.37	17.61			17.89(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	61	-10000	15	200	38.08	51%	0.06	25.2	0.85%	0	2	75	0
24	Oct_30_2014	17.15	17.14	17.26	17.5			17.68(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	13	165	34.05	49%	0.06	18.1	0.88%	0	1.6	66	0
25	Oct_29_2014	17.14	17.11	17.15	17.4			17.59(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	16	126	45.19	49%		9.1	0.88%	0	1.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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