Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.6178 (0.43%) ($17.5169 - $17.7149) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $17.6178(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    SPY(82%)    XLB(82%)    XAR(79%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-36%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.52(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.5(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.45(0.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2014	16.91	17.45	17.5	17.52			17.62(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	8	24	44.59	57%	0.06	120.6	0.57%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Sep_16_2014	16.9	17.42	17.5	17.48			17.54(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	14	31.97	57%	0.06	115.9	0.58%	0	1	55	0
3	Sep_15_2014	16.89	17.4	17.5	17.45			17.47(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-2	3	20.87	57%	0.12	103.8	0.59%	0	0.5	54	0
4	Sep_12_2014	16.87	17.37	17.48	17.46			17.48(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	18	34.93	57%	0.06	86.5	0.59%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Sep_11_2014	16.86	17.35	17.47	17.46			17.49(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	0	23	29.8	57%	0.06	89.6	0.59%	0	0.7	60	0

6	Sep_10_2014	16.85	17.32	17.46	17.47			17.45(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	31.33	57%	0.06	87.4	0.6%	0	0.6	67	0
7	Sep_9_2014	16.84	17.28	17.46	17.48			17.36(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-8	61	31.22	57%	0.06	82.8	0.59%	0	0.3	67	0
8	Sep_8_2014	16.83	17.26	17.47	17.52			17.54(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	4	100	21.74	61%	0.06	81.4	0.58%	0	1	79	0
9	Sep_5_2014	16.82	17.22	17.45	17.5			17.53(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-10000	6	117	24.37	63%	0.06	76.8	0.59%	0	1.1	84	0
10	Sep_4_2014	16.81	17.17	17.43	17.47			17.51(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	4	127	25.3	63%	0.06	66.3	0.6%	0	1.1	76	0

11	Sep_3_2014	16.8	17.13	17.39	17.47			17.49(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	0	138	19.62	63%	0.12	57.2	0.6%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Sep_2_2014	16.78	17.08	17.36	17.45			17.52(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	4	159	29.53	63%	0.12	50.8	0.6%	0	1.4	81	0
13	Aug_29_2014	16.76	17.04	17.31	17.43			17.45(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-10000	8	177	22.75	63%	0.12	44.1	0.59%	0	1.3	81	0
14	Aug_28_2014	16.74	17	17.25	17.39			17.37(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	2	176	21	63%	0.06	35.7	0.59%	0	1.2	81	0
15	Aug_27_2014	16.73	16.96	17.21	17.38			17.42(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-10000	12	203	17.7	65%	0.06	30.4	0.59%	0	1.6	86	0

16	Aug_26_2014	16.72	16.94	17.16	17.32			17.46(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	-10000	14	201	13.82	65%	0.06	25.8	0.59%	0	1.9	82	0
17	Aug_25_2014	16.71	16.92	17.09	17.25			17.42(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	-10000	14	189	27.53	65%	0.06	18.2	0.6%	0	2	83	0
18	Aug_22_2014	16.7	16.9	17.02	17.18			17.27(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	16	172	24.65	63%	0.06	11.8	0.59%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Aug_21_2014	16.69	16.89	16.96	17.1			17.33(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	-10000	16	155	37.39	63%	0	1.5	0.59%	0	2	75	0
20	Aug_20_2014	16.69	16.88	16.88	17.02			17.13(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	12	123	26.54	61%	0.06	-7.3	0.58%	0	1.2	63	0

21	Aug_19_2014	16.68	16.88	16.83	16.96			17.09(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	12	78	20.21	61%	0	-14.5	0.59%	0	1	47	0
22	Aug_18_2014	16.68	16.88	16.78	16.9			17.06(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	12	33	25.11	61%	0.06	-24.2	0.59%	0	0.9	49	0
23	Aug_15_2014	16.67	16.87	16.75	16.84			16.87(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-11	39.8	53%	0.06	-32.3	0.57%	0	0	41	0
24	Aug_14_2014	16.66	16.88	16.72	16.81			16.95(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	16	-45	21.9	53%	0	-31.5	0.59%	0	0.3	43	0
25	Aug_13_2014	16.66	16.89	16.69	16.73			16.85(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	10	-100	22.58	51%		-37.7	0.59%	0	-0.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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