Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.5206 (0.39%) ($17.4198 - $17.5356) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $17.5206(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    SPY(82%)    XLB(82%)    XAR(79%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-36%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.45(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.36(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.08(2.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	16.78	17.08	17.36	17.45			17.52(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	4	159	29.53	63%	0.12	50.8	0.6%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Aug_29_2014	16.76	17.04	17.31	17.43			17.45(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-10000	8	177	22.75	63%	0.12	44.1	0.59%	0	1.3	81	0
3	Aug_28_2014	16.74	17	17.25	17.39			17.37(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	2	176	21	63%	0.06	35.7	0.59%	0	1.2	81	0
4	Aug_27_2014	16.73	16.96	17.21	17.38			17.42(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-10000	12	203	17.7	65%	0.06	30.4	0.59%	0	1.6	86	0
5	Aug_26_2014	16.72	16.94	17.16	17.32			17.46(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	-10000	14	201	13.82	65%	0.06	25.8	0.59%	0	1.9	82	0

6	Aug_25_2014	16.71	16.92	17.09	17.25			17.42(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	-10000	14	189	27.53	65%	0.06	18.2	0.6%	0	2	83	0
7	Aug_22_2014	16.7	16.9	17.02	17.18			17.27(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	16	172	24.65	63%	0.06	11.8	0.59%	0	1.6	69	0
8	Aug_21_2014	16.69	16.89	16.96	17.1			17.33(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	-10000	16	155	37.39	63%	0	1.5	0.59%	0	2	75	0
9	Aug_20_2014	16.69	16.88	16.88	17.02			17.13(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	12	123	26.54	61%	0.06	-7.3	0.58%	0	1.2	63	0
10	Aug_19_2014	16.68	16.88	16.83	16.96			17.09(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	12	78	20.21	61%	0	-14.5	0.59%	0	1	47	0

11	Aug_18_2014	16.68	16.88	16.78	16.9			17.06(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	12	33	25.11	61%	0.06	-24.2	0.59%	0	0.9	49	0
12	Aug_15_2014	16.67	16.87	16.75	16.84			16.87(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-11	39.8	53%	0.06	-32.3	0.57%	0	0	41	0
13	Aug_14_2014	16.66	16.88	16.72	16.81			16.95(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	16	-45	21.9	53%	0	-31.5	0.59%	0	0.3	43	0
14	Aug_13_2014	16.66	16.89	16.69	16.73			16.85(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	10	-100	22.58	51%	0	-37.7	0.59%	0	-0.2	37	0
15	Aug_12_2014	16.66	16.9	16.71	16.68			16.77(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	8	-121	22	54%	0	-39.7	0.59%	0	-0.6	36	0

16	Aug_11_2014	16.66	16.92	16.73	16.68			16.74(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10000	0	-144	22.78	54%	0	-41.9	0.6%	0	-0.8	36	0
17	Aug_8_2014	16.66	16.94	16.77	16.64			16.72(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	4	-143	51.17	54%	0	-45.4	0.6%	0	-1	38	0
18	Aug_7_2014	16.66	16.95	16.8	16.62			16.56(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-8	-162	39.81	55%	0.06	-53.8	0.59%	0	-1.8	30	0
19	Aug_6_2014	16.65	16.97	16.87	16.66			16.63(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-18	-148	37.07	51%	0	-58.5	0.61%	0	-1.7	32	0
20	Aug_5_2014	16.65	17	16.92	16.75			16.56(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-17	-115	39.9	51%	0	-52.8	0.64%	0	-2.4	28	0

21	Aug_4_2014	16.65	17.02	16.98	16.84			16.74(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-92	26.18	54%	0.06	-44.7	0.62%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	Aug_1_2014	16.64	17.04	17.01	16.91			16.6(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-32	-10000	-19	-71	49.57	52%	0	-32.9	0.62%	0	-3.1	32	0
23	Jul_31_2014	16.64	17.07	17.07	17.01			16.74(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-23	-10000	-19	-33	50.22	55%	0	-4.7	0.61%	0	-3	44	0
24	Jul_30_2014	16.64	17.07	17.11	17.11			17.09(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	13	39.82	63%	0.06	29.8	0.55%	0	0	64	0
25	Jul_29_2014	16.63	17.09	17.12	17.12			17.02(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-4	25	28.43	66%		40.4	0.55%	0	-0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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