Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $17.1769 (0.7%) ($17.0835 - $17.2143) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $17.1769(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    SPY(82%)    XLB(82%)    XAR(79%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-36%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.03(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.06(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.03(0.86%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.47% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2014	16.54	17.03	17.06	17.03			17.18(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	10	-10000	8	15	29.51	67%	0.06	46.8	0.58%	0	1.9	59	0
2	Jul_14_2014	16.53	17.01	17.05	16.99			17.06(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-4	-9	21.34	65%	0.06	13.6	0.58%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Jul_11_2014	16.52	17	17.05	17.01			16.95(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-10	-8	21.21	59%	0.06	11.9	0.59%	0	-0.5	45	0
4	Jul_10_2014	16.51	17	17.04	17.06			16.92(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-6	11	25.84	51%	0.06	23.1	0.61%	0	-0.6	52	0
5	Jul_9_2014	16.5	17	17.04	17.09			17.04(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-2	21	19.41	55%	0.06	40	0.67%	0	0.5	52	0

6	Jul_8_2014	16.49	16.99	17.05	17.09			16.99(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	7	-10000	0	28	34.31	55%	0.06	60	0.68%	0	0	55	0
7	Jul_7_2014	16.48	17	17.06	17.1			17.14(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	4	47	24.71	53%	0.06	76.9	0.67%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Jul_3_2014	16.47	16.99	17.05	17.08			17.21(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	51	22.12	50%	0.12	86.2	0.71%	0	2	66	0
9	Jul_2_2014	16.45	16.97	17.02	17.02			17.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	2	39	17.64	48%	0.06	86.2	0.7%	0	1	63	0
10	Jul_1_2014	16.44	16.95	17.01	17.01			17.09(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	41	28.37	48%	0.06	83.1	0.7%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Jun_30_2014	16.43	16.93	16.99	16.98			16.99(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-3	26	37.36	51%	0.06	76.6	0.7%	0	0.5	47	0
12	Jun_27_2014	16.42	16.91	16.97	17			17.01(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-2	20	17.94	51%	0.06	77.5	0.7%	0	0.7	47	0
13	Jun_26_2014	16.41	16.89	16.95	17			16.94(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	17	26.73	48%	0.06	82.1	0.71%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Jun_25_2014	16.4	16.87	16.94	17			17(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	0	15	25.69	48%	0	80.4	0.72%	0	0.7	56	0
15	Jun_24_2014	16.4	16.85	16.93	17.01			16.98(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	2	27	22.55	48%	0.06	85.8	0.72%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Jun_23_2014	16.39	16.83	16.94	17			17.09(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	12	45	19.41	48%	0.06	91.2	0.71%	0	1.4	68	0
17	Jun_20_2014	16.38	16.8	16.93	16.93			17.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	24.91	52%	0	83.2	0.71%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Jun_19_2014	16.38	16.76	16.92	16.88			16.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	3	45	23.11	50%	0.06	77.6	0.73%	0	0.8	67	0
19	Jun_18_2014	16.37	16.73	16.91	16.86			17.01(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	2	53	30.97	50%	0.06	67.9	0.73%	0	1.2	73	0
20	Jun_17_2014	16.36	16.69	16.88	16.85			16.92(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-3	56	24.45	53%	0	55.3	0.73%	0	0.9	72	0

21	Jun_16_2014	16.36	16.66	16.86	16.87			16.74(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-10	66	33.9	50%	0.06	54.7	0.73%	0	0.3	64	0
22	Jun_13_2014	16.35	16.63	16.85	16.93			16.83(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-5	97	27.97	48%	0	55.6	0.73%	0	0.7	75	0
23	Jun_12_2014	16.35	16.6	16.83	16.93			16.82(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	0	118	30.05	48%	0.06	53.8	0.74%	0	0.8	77	0
24	Jun_11_2014	16.34	16.58	16.81	16.96			16.92(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	6	138	20.57	48%	0	56.8	0.74%	0	1.2	86	0
25	Jun_10_2014	16.34	16.55	16.77	16.92			17.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	13	147	21.57	48%		61.3	0.74%	0	1.8	96	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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