Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $16.4767 (-1.03%) ($16.4767 - $16.7520) on Wed. Mar. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $16.4767(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(86%)    XLI(86%)    SPY(82%)    XLB(82%)    XAR(79%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-36%)    SHY(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.63(-0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.48(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.42(0.35%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2014	16.22	16.42		16.63			16.48(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	11	-10000	3	33	50.78	64%	0	73.6	0.74%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Mar_25_2014	16.22	16.39	16.48	16.61			16.65(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	7	31	34.2	70%	0.12	68	0.72%	0	1	57	0
3	Mar_24_2014	16.2	16.36	16.46	16.57			16.66(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	12	29	55.64	70%	0.06	60.8	0.73%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Mar_21_2014	16.19	16.33	16.45	16.5			16.67(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	16	40	67.18	70%	0.12	54.2	0.74%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Mar_20_2014	16.17	16.29	16.44	16.4			16.67(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	13	34	91.16	70%	0.12	41.8	0.75%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Mar_19_2014	16.15	16.25	16.44	16.32			16.41(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-2	30	56.84	65%	0.06	31.8	0.72%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Mar_18_2014	16.14	16.22	16.42	16.33			16.42(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	13	-10000	-2	58	35.87	65%	0.06	31.2	0.73%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Mar_17_2014	16.13	16.21	16.41	16.34			16.33(1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-8	75	37.64	65%	0	38.3	0.74%	0	0.5	64	0
9	Mar_14_2014	16.13	16.19	16.41	16.39			16.16(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-15	87	44.22	60%	0.06	49.4	0.73%	0	-0.1	56	0
10	Mar_13_2014	16.12	16.18	16.38	16.48			16.27(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	25	-10000	-8	123	56.96	60%	0	0	0.73%	0	0.4	63	0

11	Mar_12_2014	16.12	16.17	16.36	16.48			16.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-10000	0	158	31.94	70%	0.12	0	0.69%	0	1.1	72	0
12	Mar_11_2014	16.1	16.15	16.31	16.53			16.48(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-10000	7	164	45.15	70%	0.12	0	0.71%	0	1.3	74	0
13	Mar_10_2014	16.08	16.11	16.25	16.49			16.59(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	-10000	23	161	23.62	70%	0.12	0	0.69%	0	2	65	0
14	Mar_7_2014	16.06	16.07	16.2	16.36			16.59(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	17	120	66.24	70%	0.19	0	0.71%	0	2.4	66	0
15	Mar_6_2014	16.03	16.07	16.13	16.26			16.51(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	17	7	43.43	70%	0.19	0	0.73%	0	86.9	65	0

16	Mar_5_2014	16	16.07	16.06	16.16			16.46(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	15	-10000	17	7	47.68	70%	0.13	0	0.75%	0	102.9	66	0
17	Mar_4_2014	15.98	16.07	16	16.06			16.29(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	10	-10000	12	5	49.96	64%	0.13	0	0.74%	0	135.8	62	0
18	Mar_3_2014	15.96	16.07	15.97	15.99			15.96(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	49.62	46%	0	0	0.59%	0	177.3	59	0
19	Feb_28_2014	15.96	16.07	15.98	16			16.09(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	7	3	56.27	57%	0.06	0	0.56%	0	178.8	66	0
20	Feb_27_2014	15.95	16.07	15.98	15.97			16.01(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	4	2	38.76	57%	0.06	0	0.58%	0	177.9	50	0

21	Feb_26_2014	15.94	16.07	15.98	15.95			15.93(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	4	2	42.43	57%	0	0	0.59%	0	177	50	0
22	Feb_25_2014	15.94	16.07	15.97	15.93			15.95(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	40.11	57%	0	0	0.61%	0	177.2	50	0
23	Feb_24_2014	15.94	16.07	15.96	15.93			16.05(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	0	0	42.17	57%	0.06	0	0.6%	0	160.5	50	0
24	Feb_21_2014	15.93	16.07	15.94	15.96			15.93(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	43.14	45%	0	0	0.6%	0	177	50	0
25	Feb_20_2014	15.93	16.07	15.94	15.98			15.9(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-2	-1	31.81	45%		0	0.63%	0	159	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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