Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 14, 2018

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $75.5107 (0.69%) ($75.2272 - $75.8528) on Mon. May. 14, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $75.5107(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(75%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    DIA(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.51(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.34(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.63(3.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2018	69.47	72.63	73.34	74.51			75.51(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	14	93	10.23	63%	0.09	99.5	1.23%	0	2.2	79	2.2
2	May_11_2018	69.41	72.37	72.98	73.86			74.99(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	12	70	12.01	65%	0.07	107.5	1.24%	0	2.1	68	1.8
3	May_10_2018	69.36	72.11	72.68	73.3			74.89(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	13	53	13.89	65%	0.1	109.7	1.25%	0	2.2	70	1.6
4	May_9_2018	69.29	71.82	72.46	72.69			74.33(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	10	36	24.9	65%	0.12	107.6	1.25%	0	2.1	64	1.1
5	May_8_2018	69.21	71.55	72.19	72.22			72.84(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	17	28.77	58%	0.09	106.8	1.23%	0	1	57	17.5

6	May_7_2018	69.15	71.34	72.04	71.99			72.28(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	0	9	17.97	56%	0.07	86.4	1.3%	0	0.6	63	1
7	May_4_2018	69.1	71.05	72.02	71.97			72.18(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	16	13.59	50%	0.09	76.6	1.41%	0	0.6	64	1
8	May_3_2018	69.04	70.75	71.97	71.96			71.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-4	25	15.33	50%	0.07	72.4	1.42%	0	0.5	67	0.2
9	May_2_2018	68.99	70.52	71.98	72.18			71.99(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	50	13.43	46%	0.07	75.3	1.43%	0	0.7	72	1.3
10	May_1_2018	68.94	70.23	71.97	72.16			71.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	62	13.8	47%	0.07	71.3	1.52%	0	0.6	71	0.5

11	Apr_30_2018	68.89	69.96	71.9	72.08			72.14(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	73	12.96	45%	0.07	64.9	1.52%	0	0.8	77	1.1
12	Apr_27_2018	68.84	69.59	71.74	72.07			72.15(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	2	97	10.54	44%	0.1	64	1.54%	0	1	84	1.1
13	Apr_26_2018	68.77	69.28	71.52	71.96			72.92(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	3	117	12.22	44%	0.1	63.3	1.54%	0	1.4	90	0.9
14	Apr_25_2018	68.7	68.86	71.14	71.96			71.87(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	0	124	13.16	44%	0.07	57	1.53%	0	1.1	76	0.4
15	Apr_24_2018	68.65	68.56	70.87	71.78			71.31(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	2	146	22.79	44%	0.06	59.2	1.53%	0	1	78	1.3

16	Apr_23_2018	68.61	68.31	70.59	71.68			72.08(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	6	161	14.84	44%	0.07	63	1.53%	0	1.5	82	1.4
17	Apr_20_2018	68.56	67.96	70.02	71.36			71.64(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	7	163	13.69	46%	0.09	61.2	1.54%	0	1.5	84	1.2
18	Apr_19_2018	68.5	67.65	69.46	70.99			71.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	11	156	18.15	46%	0.09	61.4	1.55%	0	1.8	75	1.6
19	Apr_18_2018	68.44	67.38	68.95	70.4			71.89(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	-10000	11	154	17.31	46%	0.1	63.8	1.55%	0	2.1	78	1.8
20	Apr_17_2018	68.37	67.03	68.34	69.83			70.78(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	9	140	16.11	45%	0.09	62.8	1.54%	0	2	68	2.3

21	Apr_16_2018	68.31	66.72	67.85	69.34			70.51(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	16	127	14.02	44%	0.09	57.1	1.54%	0	2.2	63	1.1
22	Apr_13_2018	68.25	66.47	67.25	68.47			69.79(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	15	96	13.33	44%	0.01	48.2	1.54%	0	2.2	65	0.3
23	Apr_12_2018	68.24	66.22	66.84	67.67			69.03(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	8	70	14.31	45%	0.06	38.5	1.55%	0	2.2	62	-0.4
24	Apr_11_2018	68.2	66.04	66.39	67.27			69.04(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	-10000	12	47	21.19	47%	0.07	35.9	1.55%	0	2.7	55	-0.7
25	Apr_10_2018	68.15	65.86	66.04	66.64			68.33(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	9	27	22.62	47%		28	1.57%	0	2.8	59	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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