Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 16, 2018

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $74.1813 (-1.27%) ($74.0455 - $75.3556) on Tue. Jan. 16, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $74.1813(-1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(75%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.93(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.26(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.26(4.1%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2018	66.33	71.26	73.26	73.93			74.18(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-10000	7	195	16.89	72%	0.32	85.1	0.81%	0	1.4	80	0
2	Jan_12_2018	66.12	70.89	72.87	73.73			75.13(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	-10000	16	204	19.82	75%	0.24	74.8	0.78%	0	1.8	89	0
3	Jan_11_2018	65.96	70.48	72.39	73.26			74.41(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	-10000	12	199	18.09	74%	0.24	73	0.78%	0	1.7	91	0
4	Jan_10_2018	65.8	70.11	71.97	72.93			72.92(-0.12%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	58	-10000	4	219	10.82	72%	0.21	71.9	0.75%	0	1.2	91	0
5	Jan_9_2018	65.66	69.82	71.72	72.82			73.01(-0.25%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	75	-10000	13	259	9.23	72%	0.21	71.9	0.74%	0	1.4	92	0

6	Jan_8_2018	65.52	69.5	71.41	72.47			73.19(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	-10000	23	281	9.78	72%	0.21	69.5	0.74%	0	1.7	94	0
7	Jan_5_2018	65.38	69.15	71.05	71.86			72.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	-10000	18	273	14.2	69%	0.23	64.3	0.75%	0	1.7	93	0
8	Jan_4_2018	65.23	68.8	70.61	71.37			72.78(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	-10000	19	262	14.31	69%	0.2	61.4	0.75%	0	2	89	0
9	Jan_3_2018	65.1	68.49	70.06	70.86			72.35(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	70	-10000	14	236	19.3	69%	0.18	62.5	0.75%	0	2	87	0
10	Jan_2_2018	64.98	68.22	69.55	70.48			71.28(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	-10000	11	221	14.89	67%	0.23	71	0.73%	0	1.8	82	0

11	Dec_29_2017	64.83	68	69.09	70.19			70.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	-10000	3	208	7.36	65%	0.14	80.2	0.71%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Dec_28_2017	64.74	67.82	68.76	70.11			70.33(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	-10000	17	223	7.97	65%	0.14	87.7	0.7%	0	1.7	86	0
13	Dec_27_2017	64.65	67.58	68.43	69.69			70.22(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	-10000	24	213	10.86	65%	0.12	86.3	0.7%	0	1.9	86	0
14	Dec_26_2017	64.57	67.33	68.1	69.11			70.45(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	-10000	27	179	8.63	65%	0.17	79.6	0.7%	0	2.4	75	0
15	Dec_22_2017	64.46	67.04	67.76	68.46			69.84(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	-10000	26	135	10.66	66%	0.12	70.9	0.71%	0	2.3	69	0

16	Dec_21_2017	64.38	66.81	67.44	67.83			69.7(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	-10000	25	88	16.8	66%	0.09	69.4	0.71%	0	2.8	68	0
17	Dec_20_2017	64.32	66.58	67.07	67.24			68.25(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	11	39	12.25	62%	0.09	68.2	0.67%	0	1.9	64	0
18	Dec_19_2017	64.26	66.41	66.84	66.99			67.3(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	2	23	6.76	59%	0.06	58.4	0.65%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Dec_18_2017	64.22	66.29	66.79	66.94			67.2(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-1	38	9.66	59%	0.06	45.4	0.65%	0	1.1	69	0
20	Dec_15_2017	64.18	66.18	66.78	66.96			66.69(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-1	70	10.15	57%	0.05	35.1	0.65%	0	0.6	70	0

21	Dec_14_2017	64.15	66.09	66.82	66.98			66.75(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	6	98	11.78	57%	0.06	20.1	0.65%	0	0.7	62	0
22	Dec_13_2017	64.11	66	66.81	66.86			66.99(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	9	110	9.22	60%	0.06	5	0.65%	0	1.1	65	0
23	Dec_12_2017	64.07	65.93	66.69	66.66			67.09(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	2	100	11.76	60%	0.09	-10.2	0.66%	0	1.3	68	0
24	Dec_11_2017	64.01	65.9	66.51	66.62			67.27(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	2	104	11.32	62%	0.08	-17.2	0.66%	0	1.6	70	0
25	Dec_8_2017	63.96	65.88	66.27	66.59			66.79(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-4	99	10.7	57%		-13.6	0.67%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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