Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 3, 2018

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $72.3472 (1.5%) ($71.3476 - $72.5316) on Wed. Jan. 3, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $72.3472(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(75%)    XLF(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.86(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.06(3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.49(5.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2018	65.1	68.49	70.06	70.86			72.35(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	70	-10000	14	236	19.3	69%	0.18	62.5	0.75%	0	2	87	0
2	Jan_2_2018	64.98	68.22	69.55	70.48			71.28(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	-10000	11	221	14.89	67%	0.23	71	0.73%	0	1.8	82	0
3	Dec_29_2017	64.83	68	69.09	70.19			70.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	-10000	3	208	7.36	65%	0.14	80.2	0.71%	0	1.4	81	0
4	Dec_28_2017	64.74	67.82	68.76	70.11			70.33(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	-10000	17	223	7.97	65%	0.14	87.7	0.7%	0	1.7	86	0
5	Dec_27_2017	64.65	67.58	68.43	69.69			70.22(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	-10000	24	213	10.86	65%	0.12	86.3	0.7%	0	1.9	86	0

6	Dec_26_2017	64.57	67.33	68.1	69.11			70.45(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	-10000	27	179	8.63	65%	0.17	79.6	0.7%	0	2.4	75	0
7	Dec_22_2017	64.46	67.04	67.76	68.46			69.84(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	-10000	26	135	10.66	66%	0.12	70.9	0.71%	0	2.3	69	0
8	Dec_21_2017	64.38	66.81	67.44	67.83			69.7(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	-10000	25	88	16.8	66%	0.09	69.4	0.71%	0	2.8	68	0
9	Dec_20_2017	64.32	66.58	67.07	67.24			68.25(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	11	39	12.25	62%	0.09	68.2	0.67%	0	1.9	64	0
10	Dec_19_2017	64.26	66.41	66.84	66.99			67.3(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	2	23	6.76	59%	0.06	58.4	0.65%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Dec_18_2017	64.22	66.29	66.79	66.94			67.2(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-1	38	9.66	59%	0.06	45.4	0.65%	0	1.1	69	0
12	Dec_15_2017	64.18	66.18	66.78	66.96			66.69(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-1	70	10.15	57%	0.05	35.1	0.65%	0	0.6	70	0
13	Dec_14_2017	64.15	66.09	66.82	66.98			66.75(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	6	98	11.78	57%	0.06	20.1	0.65%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Dec_13_2017	64.11	66	66.81	66.86			66.99(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	9	110	9.22	60%	0.06	5	0.65%	0	1.1	65	0
15	Dec_12_2017	64.07	65.93	66.69	66.66			67.09(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	2	100	11.76	60%	0.09	-10.2	0.66%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Dec_11_2017	64.01	65.9	66.51	66.62			67.27(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	2	104	11.32	62%	0.08	-17.2	0.66%	0	1.6	70	0
17	Dec_8_2017	63.96	65.88	66.27	66.59			66.79(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-4	99	10.7	57%	0.06	-13.6	0.67%	0	1	66	0
18	Dec_7_2017	63.92	65.9	66.14	66.67			66.18(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10000	-4	117	8.64	55%	0.06	-3.5	0.67%	0	0.3	65	0
19	Dec_6_2017	63.88	65.95	66.05	66.76			65.99(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	36	-10000	4	133	12.06	59%	0.06	4.1	0.67%	0	0	60	0
20	Dec_5_2017	63.84	66.02	65.96	66.68			66.86(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	14	124	10.69	63%	0.08	11.4	0.68%	0	0.8	59	0

21	Dec_4_2017	63.79	66.05	65.76	66.37			67.14(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	22	83	13.58	63%	0.08	12.7	0.67%	0	1	49	0
22	Dec_1_2017	63.74	66	65.54	65.89			67.17(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	15	18	21.19	64%	0.08	6.2	0.68%	0	1.1	46	0
23	Nov_30_2017	63.69	65.94	65.28	65.55			66.61(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	13	-42	22.3	63%	0.08	2.6	0.68%	0	0.7	39	0
24	Nov_29_2017	63.64	65.94	65.1	65.27			65.63(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	5	-99	13.6	60%	0.06	1.9	0.66%	0	-0.3	33	0
25	Nov_28_2017	63.6	65.91	65.09	65.15			65.27(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	4	-136	12.11	60%		0	0.66%	0	-0.6	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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