Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $69.1926 (0.33%) ($68.3284 - $69.2208) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $69.1926(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(85%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(71%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.57(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.41(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69(0.28%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2017	68.11	69	68.41	68.57			69.19(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	9	-28	10.77	61%	0.1	-39.1	1.09%	0	0.2	39	0
2	Feb_13_2017	68.04	69.04	68.33	68.22			68.97(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-59	7.98	61%	0.09	-49.3	1.09%	0	-0.1	41	0
3	Feb_10_2017	67.98	69.09	68.26	68.1			68.84(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-19	-10000	-1	-71	10.41	56%	0.07	-58.3	1.12%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	Feb_9_2017	67.93	69.14	68.33	68.12			68.32(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-74	9.26	59%	0.06	-62	1.11%	0	-0.8	39	0
5	Feb_8_2017	67.89	69.25	68.53	68.13			67.56(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-2	-70	16.15	57%	0.07	-66.4	1.12%	0	-1.7	36	0

6	Feb_7_2017	67.84	69.36	68.81	68.21			67.4(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-6	-68	14.16	61%	0.07	-80.8	1.12%	0	-2.2	33	0
7	Feb_6_2017	67.79	69.51	69.08	68.42			68.37(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	10.52	64%	0.07	-87.8	1.14%	0	-1.4	36	0
8	Feb_3_2017	67.74	69.65	69.17	68.44			68.95(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-4	-64	11.83	64%	0.09	-83.2	1.13%	0	-0.8	44	0
9	Feb_2_2017	67.68	69.76	69.28	68.6			68.36(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-11	-62	12.88	64%	0.09	-73.8	1.13%	0	-1.6	37	0
10	Feb_1_2017	67.62	69.91	69.42	69.02			67.97(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-12	-50	18.42	64%	0.06	-63.5	1.14%	0	-2.2	32	0

11	Jan_31_2017	67.58	70.09	69.65	69.5			68.48(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-8	-25	14.01	64%	0.04	-53.8	1.13%	0	-2	43	0
12	Jan_30_2017	67.55	70.21	69.84	69.82			68.45(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-6	-10000	-4	-11	13.29	64%	0.06	-55.2	1.14%	0	-2.4	39	0
13	Jan_27_2017	67.51	70.35	70	69.98			69.73(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-2	-13	9.95	70%	0.04	-62.5	1.12%	0	-1	38	0
14	Jan_26_2017	67.48	70.42	70.04	70.04			70.46(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	4	-16	8.65	70%	0.07	-62.5	1.11%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Jan_25_2017	67.43	70.48	70.02	69.9			70.4(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	9.41	70%	0.09	-64.8	1.11%	0	-0.1	41	0

16	Jan_24_2017	67.37	70.54	69.94	69.85			70.04(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-48	11.86	70%	0.04	-62.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	0
17	Jan_23_2017	67.34	70.62	69.96	69.9			69.28(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-3	-51	15.21	70%	0.07	-57.8	1.11%	0	-1.9	39	0
18	Jan_20_2017	67.29	70.74	70.15	70.02			70.02(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-0	-44	9.18	70%	0.1	-54.5	1.1%	0	-1	42	0
19	Jan_19_2017	67.22	70.81	70.27	70.03			69.76(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-44	9	71%	0.09	-60.2	1.1%	0	-1.4	38	0
20	Jan_18_2017	67.16	70.9	70.43	70.15			70.14(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	3	-40	8.73	71%	0.09	-60.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	35	0

21	Jan_17_2017	67.1	70.98	70.56	70.05			70.3(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	0	-48	9.78	71%	0.12	-65.6	1.11%	0	-1	37	0
22	Jan_13_2017	67.02	71.04	70.61	70.04			69.87(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-7	-60	9.91	71%	0.09	-66	1.1%	0	-1.7	33	0
23	Jan_12_2017	66.96	71.12	70.72	70.32			70.08(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-52	10.9	71%	0.07	-57.3	1.11%	0	-1.7	38	0
24	Jan_11_2017	66.91	71.25	70.83	70.55			70.37(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-45	13.13	71%	0.07	-34.6	1.11%	0	-1.5	41	0
25	Jan_10_2017	66.86	71.33	70.98	70.76			69.62(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-10	-36	9.66	73%		-13.3	1.11%	0	-2.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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