Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $64.0536 (0.12%) ($63.9984 - $64.9039) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $64.0536(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IWD(71%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    IBUY(-8%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $60.45(-5.63%)
Resistance Level   $64.16
5 Day Moving Average   $63.32(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.63(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.16(-0.17%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	62.88	64.16	63.63	63.32			64.05(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	2	-55	13.32	50%	0.06	-45.3	1.4%	0	-0.1	54	0
2	Sep_21_2016	62.84	64.19	63.86	63.21			63.98(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	5	-40	20.26	52%	0.05	-47.5	1.4%	0	-0.2	52	0
3	Sep_20_2016	62.81	64.25	63.99	62.97			62.53(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-4	-49	14.13	49%	0.02	-50.9	1.38%	0	-1.6	42	0
4	Sep_19_2016	62.8	64.36	64.26	63.16			62.99(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-11	-44	11.8	49%	0	-49	1.38%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	Sep_16_2016	62.8	64.48	64.4	63.64			63.03(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-8	-27	17.39	49%	0.02	-29.5	1.39%	0	-1.5	45	0

6	Sep_15_2016	62.79	64.63	64.47	63.98			63.54(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-14	-25	17.23	49%	0	-7.6	1.38%	0	-1.2	46	0
7	Sep_14_2016	62.79	64.69	64.5	64.62			62.76(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-11	-10000	-12	-7	26.47	49%	0.02	22.5	1.38%	0	-2.2	42	0
8	Sep_13_2016	62.78	64.79	64.71	65.17			63.51(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-2	-10000	-7	13	24.58	49%	0.03	52.5	1.37%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Sep_12_2016	62.76	64.84	64.85	65.49			65.38(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	6	33	21.97	52%	0.06	73.5	1.32%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Sep_9_2016	62.72	64.76	64.76	65.25			64.74(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	9	-10000	6	18	21.77	50%	0.06	69.8	1.34%	0	-0	46	0

11	Sep_8_2016	62.68	64.71	64.75	64.99			66.72(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	12	-10000	15	3	18.01	54%	0.08	64.5	1.29%	0	2.5	52	0
12	Sep_7_2016	62.63	64.5	64.54	64.37			65.5(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	4	-25	15.09	54%	0.08	45.9	1.27%	0	1.3	55	0
13	Sep_6_2016	62.58	64.38	64.48	64.2			65.13(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	1	-29	12.84	57%	0.14	52.4	1.3%	0	0.9	55	0
14	Sep_2_2016	62.49	64.3	64.42	64.15			64.16(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-1	-30	10.79	55%	0.08	64.9	1.31%	0	-0.2	50	0
15	Sep_1_2016	62.44	64.24	64.54	64.21			63.45(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-6	-20	16.67	55%	0.06	60.1	1.3%	0	-0.8	50	0

16	Aug_31_2016	62.4	64.19	64.79	64.45			63.63(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	5	13.23	55%	0.08	64.8	1.3%	0	-0.5	55	0
17	Aug_30_2016	62.35	64.13	64.9	64.69			64.65(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-10000	-2	31	7.13	57%	0.11	62.6	1.28%	0	0.4	69	0
18	Aug_29_2016	62.28	63.97	64.89	64.78			64.88(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	44	7.39	57%	0.13	51.6	1.29%	0	0.7	63	0
19	Aug_26_2016	62.2	63.76	64.84	64.74			64.44(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-4	46	14.58	57%	0.13	45.9	1.29%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Aug_25_2016	62.12	63.67	64.79	64.93			64.66(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-6	61	11.9	59%	0.13	46.2	1.29%	0	0.7	64	0

21	Aug_24_2016	62.04	63.54	64.68	65.18			64.84(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	84	16.45	59%	0.15	47.1	1.3%	0	0.9	69	0
22	Aug_23_2016	61.95	63.39	64.47	65.14			65.1(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	3	88	12.46	59%	0.16	41.4	1.3%	0	1.2	70	0
23	Aug_22_2016	61.85	63.26	64.29	65			64.64(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	1	98	14.14	59%	0.13	35.8	1.3%	0	1	73	0
24	Aug_19_2016	61.77	63.13	64.18	64.94			65.4(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	122	11.05	59%	0.13	28.2	1.29%	0	1.7	81	0
25	Aug_18_2016	61.69	63.02	63.91	64.62			65.94(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	12	114	24.15	59%		20.6	1.29%	0	2.4	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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