Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $71.1356 (2.74%) ($70.0151 - $71.5002) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $71.1356(2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    VYM(74%)    IVE(70%)    XLF(70%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.11(4.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.42(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.54(5.32%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2015	73.14	67.54	68.42	68.11			71.14(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	6	50	47.03	44%	-0.16	-29.3	1.9%	0	2.4	71	0
2	Feb_2_2015	73.26	67.35	67.98	67.71			69.24(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	0	43	35.47	41%	-0.19	-56.1	1.87%	0	1.5	63	0
3	Jan_30_2015	73.4	67.39	67.74	67.69			67.19(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-3	38	43.85	40%	-0.23	-53.1	1.85%	0	-0.1	47	0
4	Jan_29_2015	73.57	67.54	67.54	67.89			66.61(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-7	28	30.12	40%	-0.23	-53	1.84%	0	-0.6	43	0
5	Jan_28_2015	73.74	67.74	67.47	68.3			66.39(-3.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-6	34	38.83	42%	-0.24	-41.7	1.84%	0	-0.8	49	0

6	Jan_27_2015	73.92	67.99	67.41	68.69			69.11(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	45	21.6	44%	-0.2	-33.2	1.81%	0	0.7	60	0
7	Jan_26_2015	74.07	68.07	67.08	68.26			69.15(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	7	26	18.36	44%	-0.23	-32.7	1.82%	0	0.6	54	0
8	Jan_23_2015	74.24	68.15	67.08	67.81			68.17(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	11	3	21.15	46%	-0.23	-30.2	1.81%	0	0	39	0
9	Jan_22_2015	74.41	68.32	66.92	67.14			68.66(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	10	-25	33.02	44%	-0.24	-25.2	1.83%	0	0.2	42	0
10	Jan_21_2015	74.59	68.41	66.73	66.53			68.34(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	10	-59	28.33	47%	-0.24	-19.4	1.84%	0	-0	39	0

11	Jan_20_2015	74.77	68.56	66.55	65.95			66.98(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	3	-97	28.09	45%	-0.27	-13.5	1.86%	0	-0.7	32	0
12	Jan_16_2015	74.97	68.69	66.62	65.74			66.9(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-33	-10000	-3	-121	42.74	47%	-0.27	-10.3	1.86%	0	-0.7	33	0
13	Jan_15_2015	75.17	68.77	66.96	65.94			64.79(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	-12	-126	41.35	44%	-0.31	-5.5	1.82%	0	-1.7	22	0
14	Jan_14_2015	75.4	68.77	67.51	66.67			65.63(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-4	-111	52.15	43%	-0.28	-3.8	1.82%	0	-1.5	22	0
15	Jan_13_2015	75.61	68.84	68.03	66.94			65.43(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-4	-106	34.05	41%	-0.28	-6.9	1.83%	0	-1.6	28	0

16	Jan_12_2015	75.82	68.88	68.64	67.21			65.95(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-6	-100	28.94	41%	-0.26	-14.4	1.86%	0	-1.3	27	0
17	Jan_9_2015	76.02	68.94	69.18	67.58			67.91(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-87	24.95	39%	-0.25	-19.6	1.84%	0	-0.4	46	0
18	Jan_8_2015	76.21	68.9	69.51	68.15			68.45(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-6	-58	28.19	40%	-0.24	-23.5	1.89%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Jan_7_2015	76.39	68.92	69.84	68.54			66.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-12	-27	31.19	37%	-0.25	-23.9	1.87%	0	-0.8	61	0
20	Jan_6_2015	76.58	68.99	70.26	69.33			66.8(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-14	18	41.88	37%	-0.25	-20.5	1.87%	0	-0.9	62	0

21	Jan_5_2015	76.77	69.2	70.77	70.27			67.8(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-10	71	45.4	37%	-0.23	-9	1.87%	0	-0.6	63	0
22	Jan_2_2015	76.95	69.4	70.99	70.96			70.73(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-2	110	27.75	40%	-0.29	-7.8	1.8%	0	0.6	67	0
23	Dec_31_2014	77.17	69.46	70.76	71.07			70.4(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-4	122	21.54	39%	-0.18	-13.5	1.8%	0	0.4	66	0
24	Dec_30_2014	77.31	69.5	70.32	71.07			70.93(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	119	19.15	38%	-0.18	-21.2	1.81%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Dec_29_2014	77.45	69.48	69.75	71.34			71.5(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	-0	108	18.22	38%		-35	1.81%	0	0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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