Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $73.8424 (-1.4%) ($73.0381 - $75.4863) on Fri. Oct. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $73.8424(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $70.99(-3.86%)
Resistance Level   $79.79
5 Day Moving Average   $76.3(-3.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.59(-4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.79(-7.45%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2014	84.65	79.79	77.59	76.3			73.84(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-20	-187	60.47	31%	-0.11	-64.9	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
2	Oct_9_2014	84.74	80.24	78.35	77.12			74.89(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-15	-165	36.67	33%	-0.09	-69.8	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
3	Oct_8_2014	84.82	80.68	78.91	77.75			77.75(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-4	-170	35.99	37%	-0.05	-74.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	21	0
4	Oct_7_2014	84.86	80.97	79.28	77.89			77(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-17	-187	17.9	34%	-0.06	-79.7	0.95%	0	-1.8	14	0
5	Oct_6_2014	84.91	81.32	79.73	78.51			78.01(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-17	-182	20.13	35%	-0.05	-82.9	0.94%	0	-1.7	14	0

6	Oct_3_2014	84.95	81.62	80.1	79.13			77.93(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-18	-165	20.1	35%	-0.05	-81.2	0.95%	0	-1.8	25	0
7	Oct_2_2014	84.99	82	80.6	79.8			78.05(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-12	-132	29.25	35%	-0.06	-80.3	0.95%	0	-2.1	30	0
8	Oct_1_2014	85.04	82.34	81.1	80.24			78.46(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-10000	-16	-121	18.98	35%	-0.06	-82	0.95%	0	-2.2	27	0
9	Sep_30_2014	85.09	82.72	81.6	80.85			80.09(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	21.74	38%	-0.02	-81.9	0.92%	0	-1.6	32	0
10	Sep_29_2014	85.11	83.01	81.97	81.12			81.11(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-3	-85	15.45	39%	-0.01	-83.5	0.91%	0	-1.2	34	0

11	Sep_26_2014	85.12	83.28	82.15	81.23			81.29(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-9	-93	11.48	39%	-0.01	-71.9	0.91%	0	-1.2	33	0
12	Sep_25_2014	85.13	83.53	82.26	81.55			80.26(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-106	13.44	38%	-0.04	-65.2	0.89%	0	-1.9	20	0
13	Sep_24_2014	85.16	83.84	82.6	82.09			81.51(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-10	-93	24.74	37%	-0.01	-58.7	0.88%	0	-1.4	30	0
14	Sep_23_2014	85.17	84.09	82.8	82.47			81.43(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-93	9.14	37%	-0.01	-51	0.92%	0	-1.6	25	0
15	Sep_22_2014	85.18	84.33	83.03	82.95			81.67(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-6	-85	10.63	37%	0	-42.9	0.92%	0	-1.7	28	0

16	Sep_19_2014	85.18	84.52	83.27	83.19			82.89(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-92	9.47	42%	0.01	-44.4	0.92%	0	-1.1	27	0
17	Sep_18_2014	85.17	84.67	83.5	83.06			82.96(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-107	12.28	43%	0.01	-43.3	0.93%	0	-1.2	31	0
18	Sep_17_2014	85.16	84.82	83.68	83.17			83.39(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-0	-114	11.07	43%	0.01	-39	0.93%	0	-1.1	33	0
19	Sep_16_2014	85.15	84.94	83.92	83.19			83.85(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-118	13.46	43%	0.02	-35.7	0.93%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Sep_15_2014	85.13	85	84.09	83.15			82.85(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-6	-128	13.39	41%	0.01	-37.7	0.92%	0	-1.7	31	0

21	Sep_12_2014	85.12	85.16	84.48	83.39			82.27(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-16	-115	15.44	43%	0	-31.4	0.92%	0	-2.4	34	0
22	Sep_11_2014	85.12	85.28	84.89	84.01			83.51(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-7	-85	12.51	45%	0.02	-17.5	0.9%	0	-1.7	36	0
23	Sep_10_2014	85.1	85.35	85.18	84.26			83.46(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-13	-74	10.43	45%	0.02	-9	0.91%	0	-2	36	0
24	Sep_9_2014	85.08	85.41	85.49	84.76			83.66(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-11	-48	10	45%	0.02	8.7	0.9%	0	-2	39	0
25	Sep_8_2014	85.06	85.48	85.75	85.17			84.03(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-14	-24	10.98	45%		19.6	0.9%	0	-1.8	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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