Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $87.1898 (-2.1%) ($86.9964 - $89.0495) on Tue. Jun. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $87.1898(-2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.94(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.01(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.51(1.96%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2014	79.72	85.51	87.01	87.94			87.19(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	48	-10000	4	179	17.75	66%	0.2	76	0.71%	0	0.9	77	0
2	Jun_23_2014	79.56	85.29	86.79	87.82			89.06(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	-10000	17	209	7.96	72%	0.21	76.1	0.65%	0	2	96	0
3	Jun_20_2014	79.39	84.94	86.36	87.34			88.75(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	64	-10000	18	200	9.1	72%	0.19	77.2	0.65%	0	2.2	96	0
4	Jun_19_2014	79.24	84.62	85.94	86.82			87.46(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	16	191	8.68	70%	0.19	79	0.63%	0	1.8	92	0
5	Jun_18_2014	79.09	84.38	85.6	86.39			87.25(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	16	171	14.86	70%	0.16	76.4	0.64%	0	2	90	0

6	Jun_17_2014	78.96	84.1	85.23	85.95			86.59(-0.07%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.5	49	-10000	13	155	10.05	69%	0.18	68.7	0.64%	0	1.8	91	0
7	Jun_16_2014	78.82	83.86	84.92	85.58			86.65(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	13	145	13.39	69%	0.18	62.9	0.64%	0	2.1	92	0
8	Jun_13_2014	78.68	83.61	84.58	85.22			86.14(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	10	133	9.74	65%	0.14	59.9	0.64%	0	2.1	92	0
9	Jun_12_2014	78.57	83.4	84.3	84.94			85.32(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	10	126	11.87	64%	0.13	59	0.65%	0	1.7	86	0
10	Jun_11_2014	78.47	83.27	84.11	84.68			85.04(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	11	122	5.65	60%	0.11	55.6	0.65%	0	1.7	83	0

11	Jun_10_2014	78.38	83.15	83.89	84.38			84.72(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	8	111	3.77	60%	0.09	54.9	0.67%	0	1.7	86	0
12	Jun_9_2014	78.31	83.03	83.68	84.16			84.86(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	11	107	5.65	60%	0.13	53.3	0.67%	0	2.1	82	0
13	Jun_6_2014	78.21	82.88	83.43	83.85			84.73(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	32	-10000	10	97	5.42	60%	0.13	48.9	0.67%	0	2.4	83	0
14	Jun_5_2014	78.11	82.74	83.21	83.58			84.04(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	4	87	6.18	58%	0.12	47.5	0.67%	0	2	76	0
15	Jun_4_2014	78.02	82.69	83.06	83.47			83.56(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	79	3.69	60%	0.12	56.2	0.68%	0	1.5	55	0

16	Jun_3_2014	77.93	82.64	82.89	83.31			83.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	7	60	6	60%	0.13	56.5	0.69%	0	1.7	56	0
17	Jun_2_2014	77.83	82.57	82.73	83.12			83.31(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	6	44	5.08	60%	0.1	57.1	0.7%	0	1.4	57	0
18	May_30_2014	77.75	82.51	82.57	82.94			83.42(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	6	32	5.96	60%	0.1	53.2	0.7%	0	1.8	64	0
19	May_29_2014	77.67	82.43	82.42	82.77			83.48(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	6	21	7.28	60%	0.08	44.8	0.71%	0	2.2	63	0
20	May_28_2014	77.61	82.35	82.42	82.6			82.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	9	7.54	59%	0.06	41.2	0.7%	0	1	44	0

21	May_27_2014	77.56	82.32	82.35	82.4			82.63(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	5	-1	5.06	59%	0.08	34	0.71%	0	0.8	50	0
22	May_23_2014	77.5	82.28	82.33	82.27			82.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	4	-7	5.28	62%	0.06	24.5	0.72%	0	0.3	50	0
23	May_22_2014	77.45	82.24	82.29	82.14			82.57(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	4	-15	6.87	62%	0.06	18.5	0.72%	0	0.7	55	0
24	May_21_2014	77.4	82.21	82.24	82.02			82.65(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-7	-10000	-2	-22	5.86	62%	0.08	28.8	0.73%	0	1	57	0
25	May_20_2014	77.34	82.18	82.29	82.07			81.76(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-7	-11	4.68	60%		59.6	0.73%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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