Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $83.4158 (-0.07%) ($83.0132 - $83.5121) on Fri. May. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $83.4158(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.94(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.57(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.51(1.1%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2014	77.75	82.51	82.57	82.94			83.42(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	6	32	5.96	60%	0.1	53.2	0.7%	0	1.8	64	0
2	May_29_2014	77.67	82.43	82.42	82.77			83.48(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	6	21	7.28	60%	0.08	44.8	0.71%	0	2.2	63	0
3	May_28_2014	77.61	82.35	82.42	82.6			82.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	9	7.54	59%	0.06	41.2	0.7%	0	1	44	0
4	May_27_2014	77.56	82.32	82.35	82.4			82.63(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	5	-1	5.06	59%	0.08	34	0.71%	0	0.8	50	0
5	May_23_2014	77.5	82.28	82.33	82.27			82.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	4	-7	5.28	62%	0.06	24.5	0.72%	0	0.3	50	0

6	May_22_2014	77.45	82.24	82.29	82.14			82.57(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	4	-15	6.87	62%	0.06	18.5	0.72%	0	0.7	55	0
7	May_21_2014	77.4	82.21	82.24	82.02			82.65(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-7	-10000	-2	-22	5.86	62%	0.08	28.8	0.73%	0	1	57	0
8	May_20_2014	77.34	82.21	82.29	82.07			81.76(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-7	-11	4.68	60%	0.06	59.6	0.73%	0	-1	49	0
9	May_19_2014	77.29	82.18	82.37	82.29			82(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-4	7	5.04	60%	0.06	107.7	0.73%	0	-0.4	50	0
10	May_16_2014	77.24	82.17	82.42	82.4			81.74(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-2	20	14.81	60%	0.06	157.4	0.72%	0	-1	52	0

11	May_15_2014	77.19	82.15	82.42	82.45			81.95(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-1	27	11.45	60%	0.08	184.5	0.73%	0	-0.4	55	0
12	May_14_2014	77.13	82.09	82.46	82.47			82.9(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-2	27	4.99	66%	0.09	163	0.71%	0	1.4	58	0
13	May_13_2014	77.06	81.93	82.37	82.54			82.86(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	32	4.99	66%	0.08	135.4	0.73%	0	1.2	58	0
14	May_12_2014	77	81.72	82.29	82.48			82.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	1	33	5.22	66%	0.09	104.7	0.73%	0	0.8	60	0
15	May_9_2014	76.93	81.48	82.21	82.48			81.98(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	32	8.71	68%	0.08	75.1	0.73%	0	0.4	53	0

16	May_8_2014	76.87	81.28	82.18	82.45			82.06(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	1	36	10.97	68%	0.09	60.9	0.74%	0	0.5	60	0
17	May_7_2014	76.8	81.12	82.19	82.41			83.25(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	8	53	9.63	74%	0.09	58.3	0.72%	0	1.3	81	0
18	May_6_2014	76.73	80.88	82.06	82.17			82.53(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	3	62	7.48	75%	0.1	54.1	0.72%	0	1	83	0
19	May_5_2014	76.65	80.64	81.96	82.09			82.41(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	5	87	8.04	75%	0.09	50.2	0.74%	0	1	86	0
20	May_2_2014	76.58	80.46	81.89	81.95			82.02(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	3	113	8.71	71%	0.09	51.6	0.79%	0	0.9	88	0

21	May_1_2014	76.51	80.31	81.82	81.87			81.86(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-10000	-1	140	10.72	71%	0.09	57.2	0.79%	0	0.9	84	0
22	Apr_30_2014	76.44	80.15	81.69	81.91			82.04(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	-0	158	10.82	67%	0.09	65.7	0.81%	0	1.1	72	0
23	Apr_29_2014	76.37	79.97	81.46	81.92			82.11(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	3	173	8.28	67%	0.1	72	0.81%	0	1.3	74	0
24	Apr_28_2014	76.29	79.76	81.11	81.82			81.74(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	44	-10000	-0	177	11.17	67%	0.09	77.8	0.82%	0	1.2	76	0
25	Apr_25_2014	76.22	79.57	80.71	81.83			81.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	2	171	8.87	67%		85.3	0.82%	0	1.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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