Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $75.2563 (-0.79%) ($75.2127 - $76.0401) on Fri. Feb. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $75.2563(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLF(69%)    XAR(65%)    USO(63%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.33(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.46(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.6(2.25%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2014	74.1	73.6	74.46	75.33			75.26(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	7	143	11.58	43%	0.05	8.8	1%	0	1.3	64	0
2	Feb_20_2014	74.06	73.57	74.19	75.07			75.86(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	12	127	9.44	43%	0.09	3.6	1.01%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Feb_19_2014	73.99	73.55	73.74	74.62			75.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	91	23.82	43%	0.07	-4.1	1.02%	0	1.5	59	0
4	Feb_18_2014	73.94	73.54	73.41	74.31			75.27(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	13	68	8.85	43%	0.07	-6.4	1.04%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Feb_14_2014	73.89	73.5	73.01	73.82			74.93(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	9	32	12.62	43%	0.05	-20.1	1.05%	0	1.2	57	0

6	Feb_13_2014	73.85	73.49	72.76	73.48			73.96(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	8	11	9.8	38%	0	-30.2	1.04%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Feb_12_2014	73.85	73.53	72.7	73.17			73.61(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	-10000	12	-11	6.81	38%	-0.01	0	1.05%	0	0.1	41	0
8	Feb_11_2014	73.86	73.6	72.65	72.71			73.78(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	9	-49	10.87	38%	0	0	1.08%	0	0.1	38	0
9	Feb_10_2014	73.86	73.61	72.62	72.37			72.84(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	8	-80	7.96	31%	-0.07	0	1.05%	0	-0.6	36	0
10	Feb_7_2014	73.91	73.75	72.65	72.06			73.19(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	-10000	3	-105	12.4	31%	-0.05	0	1.08%	0	-0.4	41	0

11	Feb_6_2014	73.95	73.87	72.66	71.95			72.41(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-6	-127	13.03	24%	-0.11	0	1.07%	0	-1	36	0
12	Feb_5_2014	74.03	73.87	72.9	72.18			71.35(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-11	-4	27.27	12%	-0.2	0	1.01%	0	50.6	30	0
13	Feb_4_2014	74.18	73.87	73.34	72.58			72.05(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-9	-4	20.34	12%	-0.16	0	1.03%	0	55.4	32	0
14	Feb_3_2014	74.3	73.87	73.69	72.92			71.32(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-10	-4	25.17	1%	-0.26	0	1.01%	0	58	36	0
15	Jan_31_2014	74.49	73.87	74.06	73.29			72.62(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-5	-2	15.98	1%	-0.16	0	0.97%	0	71.9	33	0

16	Jan_30_2014	74.61	73.87	74.31	73.45			73.57(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	12.27	2%	-0.11	0	0.96%	0	80.8	37	0
17	Jan_29_2014	74.69	73.87	74.45	73.74			73.33(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	20.12	2%	-0.13	0	0.99%	0	81.5	50	0
18	Jan_28_2014	74.79	73.87	74.64	74.25			73.74(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-9	-4	9.11	2%	-0.12	0	1.02%	0	86.8	50	0
19	Jan_27_2014	74.88	73.87	74.7	74.61			73.18(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8	-10000	-9	-4	16.05	2%	-0.2	0	1.02%	0	89.2	50	0
20	Jan_24_2014	75.03	73.87	74.96	74.95			73.44(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-7	-10000	-8	-3	17.43	2%	-0.21	0	1.07%	0	108	50	0

21	Jan_23_2014	75.19	73.87	75.19	75.27			75.01(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	1	0	14.9	2%	-0.03	0	0.94%	0	159.6	50	0
22	Jan_22_2014	75.21	73.87	75.19	75.25			75.87(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	2	10.56	4%	0.11	0	0.91%	0	151.7	50	0
23	Jan_21_2014	75.13	73.87	75.19	75.11			75.53(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	8	3	12.73	4%	0.08	0	0.96%	0	164.2	50	0
24	Jan_17_2014	75.07	73.87	75.19	74.84			74.91(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-4	-2	12.63	4%	-0.04	0	0.97%	0	159.4	50	0
25	Jan_16_2014	75.1	73.87	75.19	74.99			75.03(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	11.3	4%		0	1.06%	0	150.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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