Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $72.8351 (-0.49%) ($72.5303 - $73.2706) on Mon. Feb. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $72.8351(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XAR(65%)    USO(63%)    IWM(62%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    XLF(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $73.61
5 Day Moving Average   $72.37(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.62(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.61(-1.05%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2014	73.86	73.61	72.62	72.37			72.84(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	8	-80	7.96	31%	-0.07	0	1.05%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Feb_7_2014	73.91	73.75	72.65	72.06			73.19(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	-10000	3	-105	12.4	31%	-0.05	0	1.08%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Feb_6_2014	73.95	73.87	72.66	71.95			72.41(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-6	-127	13.03	24%	-0.11	0	1.07%	0	-1	36	0
4	Feb_5_2014	74.03	73.87	72.9	72.18			71.35(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-11	-4	27.27	12%	-0.2	0	1.01%	0	50.6	30	0
5	Feb_4_2014	74.18	73.87	73.34	72.58			72.05(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-9	-4	20.34	12%	-0.16	0	1.03%	0	55.4	32	0

6	Feb_3_2014	74.3	73.87	73.69	72.92			71.32(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-10	-4	25.17	1%	-0.26	0	1.01%	0	58	36	0
7	Jan_31_2014	74.49	73.87	74.06	73.29			72.62(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-5	-2	15.98	1%	-0.16	0	0.97%	0	71.9	33	0
8	Jan_30_2014	74.61	73.87	74.31	73.45			73.57(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	12.27	2%	-0.11	0	0.96%	0	80.8	37	0
9	Jan_29_2014	74.69	73.87	74.45	73.74			73.33(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	20.12	2%	-0.13	0	0.99%	0	81.5	50	0
10	Jan_28_2014	74.79	73.87	74.64	74.25			73.74(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-9	-4	9.11	2%	-0.12	0	1.02%	0	86.8	50	0

11	Jan_27_2014	74.88	73.87	74.7	74.61			73.18(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8	-10000	-9	-4	16.05	2%	-0.2	0	1.02%	0	89.2	50	0
12	Jan_24_2014	75.03	73.87	74.96	74.95			73.44(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-7	-10000	-8	-3	17.43	2%	-0.21	0	1.07%	0	108	50	0
13	Jan_23_2014	75.19	73.87	75.19	75.27			75.01(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	1	0	14.9	2%	-0.03	0	0.94%	0	159.6	50	0
14	Jan_22_2014	75.21	73.87	75.19	75.25			75.87(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	2	10.56	4%	0.11	0	0.91%	0	151.7	50	0
15	Jan_21_2014	75.13	73.87	75.19	75.11			75.53(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	8	3	12.73	4%	0.08	0	0.96%	0	164.2	50	0

16	Jan_17_2014	75.07	73.87	75.19	74.84			74.91(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-4	-2	12.63	4%	-0.04	0	0.97%	0	159.4	50	0
17	Jan_16_2014	75.1	73.87	75.19	74.99			75.03(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	11.3	4%	-0.01	0	1.06%	0	150.1	50	0
18	Jan_15_2014	75.11	73.87	75.19	75.11			74.93(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	360	-10000	423	169	11.67	4%	-0.07	0	1.18%	0	136.2	50	0
19	Jan_14_2014	75.16	73.87	75.19	60.12			75.14(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	25	417	-10000	490	196	13.22	4%	0	0	1.36%	0	125.2	50	0
20	Jan_13_2014	75.16	73.87	75.19	45.1			74.18(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	41.5	802	-10000	943	377	16.72	4%	-0.65	0	1.04%	0	106	50	0

21	Jan_10_2014	75.65	73.87	75.19	30.26			75.68(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1514	0	-10000	0	0	10.47	100%	0.04	0	0%	0	2522.7	50	0
22	Jan_9_2014	75.62	73.87	75.19	15.12			75.62(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	12.22	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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