Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $52.5748 (0.91%) ($52.3807 - $52.7010) on Wed. Jun. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $52.5748(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(89%)    VT(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    PAVE(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.28(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.34(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.33(0.47%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2017	50.97	52.33	52.34	52.28			52.57(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	6	-28	3.3	56%	0.06	62.5	0.7%	0	0.6	55	0
2	Jun_27_2017	50.94	52.27	52.35	52.17			52.1(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-5	-34	3.61	54%	0.04	53.3	0.7%	0	-0.4	53	0
3	Jun_26_2017	50.92	52.22	52.45	52.26			52.42(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-6	4.05	54%	0.06	61.7	0.7%	0	0.4	57	0
4	Jun_23_2017	50.89	52.16	52.47	52.35			52.26(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	13	3.35	52%	0.04	65.4	0.71%	0	0.2	56	0
5	Jun_22_2017	50.87	52.11	52.52	52.38			52.06(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-2	27	3.35	52%	0.04	69	0.71%	0	-0.1	52	0

6	Jun_21_2017	50.85	52.07	52.53	52.41			52(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-7	32	4.76	49%	0.04	72.7	0.71%	0	-0.1	53	0
7	Jun_20_2017	50.83	52.01	52.54	52.54			52.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-7	54	3.46	51%	0.04	69.2	0.72%	0	0.8	66	0
8	Jun_19_2017	50.81	51.92	52.48	52.67			52.85(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	83	2.51	51%	0.04	68.1	0.72%	0	1.3	71	0
9	Jun_16_2017	50.79	51.81	52.38	52.62			52.43(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-4	88	4.58	50%	0.02	64.3	0.72%	0	0.8	68	0
10	Jun_15_2017	50.78	51.71	52.34	52.69			52.2(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	29	-10000	1	112	4.86	53%	0.04	59.5	0.72%	0	0.6	68	0

11	Jun_14_2017	50.76	51.61	52.32	52.67			52.67(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	7	124	5.59	53%	0.04	51.5	0.74%	0	1.3	74	0
12	Jun_13_2017	50.74	51.54	52.19	52.53			53.23(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	-10000	14	126	3.36	55%	0.08	51.6	0.73%	0	2.1	87	0
13	Jun_12_2017	50.7	51.43	51.97	52.26			52.57(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	8	110	5.76	53%	0.06	49.3	0.72%	0	1.6	85	0
14	Jun_9_2017	50.67	51.34	51.83	52.11			52.77(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	8	107	7.5	53%	0.1	41.1	0.72%	0	2.2	91	0
15	Jun_8_2017	50.62	51.24	51.65	51.96			52.11(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	2	106	3.58	50%	0.06	40.5	0.71%	0	1.5	91	0

16	Jun_7_2017	50.59	51.18	51.55	51.92			51.95(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-10000	7	122	4.17	50%	0.06	42.3	0.7%	0	1.5	90	0
17	Jun_6_2017	50.56	51.12	51.43	51.79			51.88(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	9	103	4.13	50%	0.02	33.7	0.71%	0	1.5	57	0
18	Jun_5_2017	50.55	51.09	51.32	51.63			51.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	8	83	2.83	50%	0.06	26.1	0.71%	0	1.6	57	0
19	Jun_2_2017	50.52	51.07	51.2	51.49			52.02(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	11	69	4.91	47%	0.06	22.7	0.71%	0	2.1	65	0
20	Jun_1_2017	50.49	51.01	51.02	51.29			51.89(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	8	39	7.9	52%	0.06	3.8	0.73%	0	2.2	61	0

21	May_31_2017	50.46	50.95	50.84	51.13			51.28(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	6	13	6.17	47%	0.06	-20.9	0.71%	0	1	53	0
22	May_30_2017	50.43	50.95	50.83	51.03			51.12(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	9	2.8	45%	0.08	-34.8	0.71%	0	0.5	54	0
23	May_26_2017	50.39	50.96	50.84	50.95			51.13(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	5	2	2.12	49%	0.04	-37.7	0.75%	0	0.5	47	0
24	May_25_2017	50.37	50.97	50.8	50.85			51.03(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	8	-17	4.85	49%	0.06	-32	0.76%	0	0.2	40	0
25	May_24_2017	50.34	51	50.79	50.69			51.09(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	9	-31	3.15	49%		-28	0.76%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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