Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $49.1991 (0.89%) ($48.9005 - $49.2809) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $49.1991(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(89%)    VT(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.96(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.93(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.67(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	46.59	48.67	48.93	48.96			49.2(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	2	55	5.01	72%	0.06	31.6	0.66%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Jan_19_2017	46.56	48.63	48.88	48.93			48.77(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-5	61	3.3	71%	0.06	25.7	0.65%	0	0.4	61	0
3	Jan_18_2017	46.53	48.62	48.89	49.01			49.07(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	77	3.04	72%	0.04	24.3	0.65%	0	1.3	55	0
4	Jan_17_2017	46.51	48.59	48.8	48.95			48.77(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	1	66	3.68	72%	0.04	11.4	0.65%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Jan_13_2017	46.49	48.58	48.72	48.94			48.99(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	2.45	72%	0.06	2.9	0.64%	0	1.2	61	0

6	Jan_12_2017	46.46	48.55	48.64	48.89			49.06(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	4	51	3.16	72%	0.04	-7.6	0.65%	0	1.6	57	0
7	Jan_11_2017	46.44	48.54	48.55	48.82			49.16(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	4	39	6.6	67%	0.06	-5	0.65%	0	2.1	59	0
8	Jan_10_2017	46.41	48.53	48.49	48.76			48.77(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	8	37	2.84	65%	0.04	1.7	0.67%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Jan_9_2017	46.39	48.55	48.46	48.63			48.74(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	10	23	7.1	65%	0.04	11.3	0.67%	0	0.6	52	0
10	Jan_6_2017	46.37	48.57	48.41	48.46			48.75(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	7	-2	2.95	59%	0.04	15.7	0.71%	0	0.5	49	0

11	Jan_5_2017	46.35	48.58	48.38	48.34			48.7(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	6	-12	3.9	59%	0.06	19.7	0.72%	0	0.3	55	0
12	Jan_4_2017	46.32	48.56	48.36	48.24			48.84(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-6	-10000	2	-31	4.54	55%	0.06	23.1	0.72%	0	0.7	46	0
13	Jan_3_2017	46.29	48.53	48.31	48.21			48.14(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-3	-46	7.74	51%	0.02	33.3	0.73%	0	-1	34	0
14	Dec_30_2016	46.28	48.51	48.35	48.26			47.86(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-5	-54	4.93	51%	0.04	40.2	0.72%	0	-1.6	25	0
15	Dec_29_2016	46.26	48.52	48.44	48.35			48.18(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-54	2.86	51%	0.02	50.6	0.72%	0	-0.8	28	0

16	Dec_28_2016	46.25	48.51	48.46	48.42			48.18(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-56	3.08	54%	0.04	61.8	0.73%	0	-0.8	38	0
17	Dec_27_2016	46.23	48.47	48.54	48.48			48.67(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-39	3.89	57%	0.04	61	0.73%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Dec_23_2016	46.21	48.4	48.57	48.44			48.41(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-32	2.16	57%	0.04	58.2	0.72%	0	0	56	0
19	Dec_22_2016	46.19	48.36	48.66	48.47			48.31(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-8	3.32	57%	0.06	67.5	0.73%	0	-0.1	61	0
20	Dec_21_2016	46.16	48.31	48.75	48.55			48.52(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	2	24	3.28	60%	0.04	74.1	0.73%	0	0.3	65	0

21	Dec_20_2016	46.14	48.24	48.79	48.52			48.5(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-6	35	4.43	60%	0.07	73.1	0.75%	0	0.4	65	0
22	Dec_19_2016	46.11	48.16	48.78	48.62			48.46(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-6	60	3.2	60%	0.04	75.3	0.75%	0	0.4	71	0
23	Dec_16_2016	46.09	48.06	48.76	48.73			48.55(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-8	86	5.18	60%	0.04	72.1	0.75%	0	0.6	73	0
24	Dec_15_2016	46.07	47.95	48.7	48.88			48.7(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-6	109	6.43	60%	0.04	69.6	0.75%	0	0.8	71	0
25	Dec_14_2016	46.05	47.83	48.61	48.99			48.39(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-6	130	9.37	60%		71.4	0.75%	0	0.6	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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