Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $45.0399 (-0.08%) ($44.7290 - $45.1882) on Thu. Oct. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $45.0399(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.71(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.65(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45(0.09%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2016	45.48	45	44.65	44.71			45.04(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	10	-54	2.73	25%	0	-18.3	0.79%	0	0.1	41	0
2	Oct_19_2016	45.48	45.02	44.7	44.53			45.08(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	7	-68	2.68	25%	0.02	-23.1	0.79%	0	0.1	46	0
3	Oct_18_2016	45.47	45.02	44.72	44.4			44.75(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	4	-89	2.92	25%	-0.02	-24.3	0.79%	0	-0.6	39	0
4	Oct_17_2016	45.48	45.03	44.74	44.34			44.35(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-9	-105	3.27	20%	0	-28	0.78%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	Oct_14_2016	45.48	45.06	44.86	44.49			44.31(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-6	-83	4.77	20%	-0.02	-28.4	0.78%	0	-1.6	44	0

6	Oct_13_2016	45.49	45.09	45	44.6			44.17(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-17	-72	4.95	20%	-0.02	-28.4	0.79%	0	-2.1	41	0
7	Oct_12_2016	45.5	45.13	45.12	44.9			44.4(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-10	-44	4.06	30%	0	-27	0.79%	0	-1.8	40	0
8	Oct_11_2016	45.5	45.15	45.26	45.08			44.49(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-5	-20	11.35	30%	0	-41.5	0.82%	0	-1.8	43	0
9	Oct_10_2016	45.5	45.17	45.26	45.18			45.1(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-6	-4	3.09	33%	0.04	-60	0.81%	0	-0.2	56	0
10	Oct_7_2016	45.48	45.19	45.34	45.29			44.83(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-10000	-9	8	5.89	43%	0.02	-67.5	0.86%	0	-1	52	0

11	Oct_6_2016	45.47	45.21	45.39	45.46			45.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	4	36	5.23	49%	0.04	-57	0.83%	0	1	62	0
12	Oct_5_2016	45.45	45.24	45.36	45.39			45.31(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-4	36	6.74	43%	0.04	-49.6	0.82%	0	0.1	56	0
13	Oct_4_2016	45.43	45.3	45.37	45.47			45(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-2	54	5.92	43%	0	-40.1	0.85%	0	-0.5	57	0
14	Oct_3_2016	45.43	45.38	45.35	45.51			45.62(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	62	8.1	47%	0.04	-38.1	0.84%	0	0.4	63	0
15	Sep_30_2016	45.41	45.43	45.27	45.39			45.68(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	41	4.7	53%	0.04	-35.9	0.84%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Sep_29_2016	45.39	45.46	45.17	45.31			45.35(-0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	25	4.66	57%	0.04	-39.3	0.86%	0	-0.1	52	0
17	Sep_28_2016	45.37	45.51	45.13	45.34			45.7(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	3	7	4.57	57%	0.04	-39.4	0.87%	0	0.3	40	0
18	Sep_27_2016	45.35	45.55	45.02	45.27			45.18(0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	6	-26	3.32	45%	0.04	-42.2	0.87%	0	-0.5	34	0
19	Sep_26_2016	45.33	45.62	44.98	45.16			45.05(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-58	3.76	45%	0.02	-42.3	0.97%	0	-0.7	32	0
20	Sep_23_2016	45.32	45.69	45.02	45.11			45.26(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	4	-68	4.31	41%	0.04	-45.6	1.11%	0	-0.5	32	0

21	Sep_22_2016	45.3	45.76	45.01	45.01			45.49(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	5	-88	3	41%	0.04	-48.9	1.13%	0	-0.3	40	0
22	Sep_21_2016	45.28	45.8	45.09	44.89			45.35(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	6	-95	5.6	41%	0.02	-51.6	1.12%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Sep_20_2016	45.27	45.88	45.2	44.75			44.67(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-0	-109	4	37%	0	-51.6	1.11%	0	-1.4	30	0
24	Sep_19_2016	45.27	45.98	45.41	44.76			44.8(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-6	-112	3.68	37%	0	-54.1	1.11%	0	-1.4	30	0
25	Sep_16_2016	45.27	46.07	45.61	44.92			44.73(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-3	-98	8.58	37%		-48.9	1.11%	0	-1.7	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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