Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $34.8105 (0.94%) ($34.4878 - $34.8838) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $34.8105(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XHB advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(74%)    GDXJ(22%)    VCSH(11%)    VCIT(8%)    JETS(7%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    EMHY(-8%)    INDA(-7%)    XLU(-4%)    BND(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.52(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.35(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.45(4.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XHB price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	32.9	33.45	34.35	34.52			34.81(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	4	123	1.14	46%	0.12	46.4	1.25%	0	1.3	83	0
2	Jul_19_2016	32.86	33.35	34.19	34.52			34.49(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	0	138	1.03	46%	0.15	49.7	1.24%	0	1.1	85	0
3	Jul_18_2016	32.81	33.26	34.01	34.44			34.55(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	2	164	1.08	46%	0.12	54.8	1.24%	0	1.3	89	0
4	Jul_15_2016	32.77	33.16	33.86	34.4			34.39(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	2	180	1.35	46%	0.12	55.2	1.24%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Jul_14_2016	32.73	33.06	33.7	34.35			34.37(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	-10000	10	179	1.27	46%	0.15	49.8	1.24%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Jul_13_2016	32.68	32.95	33.5	34.13			34.42(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	11	158	2.92	49%	0.12	36.7	1.25%	0	1.7	60	0
7	Jul_12_2016	32.64	32.84	33.24	33.89			34.5(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	18	128	1.71	49%	0.15	22.1	1.27%	0	2	60	0
8	Jul_11_2016	32.59	32.72	32.9	33.5			34.34(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	12	69	3.45	49%	0.15	4	1.28%	0	2.2	58	0
9	Jul_8_2016	32.54	32.64	32.65	33.24			34.11(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	13	40	2.99	49%	0.18	-10.7	1.28%	0	2.3	59	0
10	Jul_7_2016	32.48	32.6	32.53	32.97			33.3(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	9	29	3.74	46%	0.12	-23.8	1.24%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Jul_6_2016	32.44	32.63	32.46	32.78			33.2(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	14	21	2.78	46%	0.12	-26.2	1.25%	0	0.9	56	0
12	Jul_5_2016	32.4	32.65	32.42	32.49			32.57(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	15	7	1.8	43%	0.15	-33.2	1.24%	0	-0.1	54	0
13	Jul_1_2016	32.35	32.69	32.45	32.18			33(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	11	-13	3.93	44%	0.19	-45	1.23%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Jun_30_2016	32.29	32.71	32.4	31.96			32.8(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-13	-10000	-4	-41	2.98	44%	0.16	-51.3	1.22%	0	0.1	48	0
15	Jun_29_2016	32.24	32.74	32.4	32.03			32.32(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	-5	-54	3.62	45%	0.12	-46.1	1.21%	0	-0.6	39	0

16	Jun_28_2016	32.2	32.8	32.36	32.13			31.78(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-11	-73	3.58	42%	0.16	-40.9	1.21%	0	-1.3	31	0
17	Jun_27_2016	32.15	32.89	32.41	32.34			30.99(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-10000	-21	-86	4.68	37%	0.06	-27.9	1.17%	0	-2.6	26	0
18	Jun_24_2016	32.13	33.02	32.57	32.74			31.92(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-8	-65	5.22	41%	0.09	-8.4	1.12%	0	-1.9	37	0
19	Jun_23_2016	32.1	33.09	32.67	32.88			33.17(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	10	-59	2.11	48%	0.16	8.1	1.02%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Jun_22_2016	32.05	33.1	32.7	32.72			32.8(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	5	-78	2.27	45%	0.09	10.4	1.02%	0	-0.6	40	0

21	Jun_21_2016	32.02	33.12	32.82	32.63			32.85(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	8	-79	2.34	45%	0.13	15	1.02%	0	-0.5	40	0
22	Jun_20_2016	31.98	33.09	32.91	32.5			32.96(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	7	-86	3.3	45%	0.09	7	1.02%	0	-0.2	45	0
23	Jun_17_2016	31.95	33.07	32.95	32.38			32.64(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-3	-103	5.04	45%	0.13	4.6	1.03%	0	-0.7	39	0
24	Jun_16_2016	31.91	33.05	33.02	32.43			32.37(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-15	-102	2.73	45%	0.09	4.3	1.03%	0	-1.1	41	0
25	Jun_15_2016	31.88	33.04	33.15	32.68			32.36(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-21	-78	2.68	45%		12.2	1.04%	0	-1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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