Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $47.8090 (-3.2%) ($47.5376 - $48.8162) on Thu. Jul. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $47.8090(-3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLV(64%)    VT(63%)    QQQ(61%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.19(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.64(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.62(0.4%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   21.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2014	45.64	47.62	47.64	48.19			47.81(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	53	0.93	57%	-0.09	-30.5	2.15%	0	0.1	49	0
2	Jul_30_2014	45.68	47.77	47.29	48.34			49.39(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	1	42	0.98	61%	-0.07	-22.2	2.11%	0	0.9	55	0
3	Jul_29_2014	45.71	47.84	46.91	48.29			48.69(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	11	32	1.04	63%	-0.09	-18.4	2.1%	0	0.4	51	0
4	Jul_28_2014	45.75	47.9	46.66	47.75			47.14(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	6	4	1.16	61%	-0.11	-24.3	2.11%	0	-0.4	48	0
5	Jul_25_2014	45.8	48.05	46.75	47.46			47.91(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	10	-13	0.56	57%	-0.11	-27.9	2.1%	0	-0.1	43	0

6	Jul_24_2014	45.85	48.13	46.74	46.97			48.59(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	18	-42	1.51	57%	-0.11	-34	2.16%	0	0.2	39	0
7	Jul_23_2014	45.9	48.19	46.61	46.06			49.14(6.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-13	-10000	14	-93	2.87	54%	-0.13	-45.3	2.15%	0	0.4	41	0
8	Jul_22_2014	45.96	48.2	46.47	45.37			45.98(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-1	-147	1.06	52%	-0.15	-53.4	2.02%	0	-1	26	0
9	Jul_21_2014	46.03	48.4	46.64	45.44			45.67(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-11	-159	1.27	52%	-0.17	-52.5	2.09%	0	-1.3	31	0
10	Jul_18_2014	46.11	48.63	47.02	45.95			45.48(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-11	-147	2.06	52%	-0.22	-44.4	2.11%	0	-1.6	31	0

11	Jul_17_2014	46.21	48.86	47.58	46.47			44.02(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-10000	-15	-128	3.79	49%	-0.24	-37.5	2.08%	0	-2.5	25	0
12	Jul_16_2014	46.32	49.18	48.31	47.2			45.67(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-10	-99	1.93	55%	-0.22	-30.5	2.03%	0	-2.3	29	0
13	Jul_15_2014	46.42	49.38	48.87	47.7			46.36(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-6	-74	3.85	55%	-0.17	-24.1	2.05%	0	-2.3	32	0
14	Jul_14_2014	46.5	49.54	49.29	47.98			48.22(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.49	60%	-0.13	-15.5	1.98%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Jul_11_2014	46.56	49.55	49.49	48.26			48.1(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-13	-60	0.91	55%	-0.09	5.5	2%	0	-1.3	36	0

16	Jul_10_2014	46.6	49.59	49.68	48.9			47.63(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-14	-39	1.31	49%	-0.06	40.2	2.06%	0	-1.8	38	0
17	Jul_9_2014	46.63	49.65	49.92	49.62			48.18(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-11	-14	1.43	52%	-0.09	87.1	2.22%	0	-1.5	40	0
18	Jul_8_2014	46.67	49.69	50.1	50.23			47.75(-3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-5	-10000	-9	8	2.88	52%	0.02	140.4	2.27%	0	-2	42	0
19	Jul_7_2014	46.66	49.71	50.34	50.76			49.62(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-2	30	1.82	56%	-0.13	181.5	2.21%	0	-0.1	58	0
20	Jul_3_2014	46.72	49.5	50.41	50.87			51.3(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	15	-10000	5	46	0.29	52%	0.02	108.5	2.22%	0	1	86	0

21	Jul_2_2014	46.71	49.17	50.25	50.57			51.26(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-10000	5	43	1.12	52%	0	90.9	2.27%	0	1	82	0
22	Jul_1_2014	46.71	48.79	50.09	50.29			51.24(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	-10000	5	43	2.07	52%	0.04	77	2.27%	0	1	81	0
23	Jun_30_2014	46.69	48.38	49.89	49.98			50.36(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	0.86	54%	0.02	66.4	2.3%	0	0.8	69	0
24	Jun_27_2014	46.68	48.01	49.78	49.98			50.19(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	10	-10000	0	39	0.99	52%	0.11	63.6	2.35%	0	0.8	77	0
25	Jun_26_2014	46.63	47.66	49.59	49.88			49.81(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	0	56	1.74	49%		65.4	2.35%	0	0.8	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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