Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $50.3564 (0.34%) ($50.0196 - $50.7652) on Mon. Jun. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $50.3564(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLV(64%)    VT(63%)    QQQ(61%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.98(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.89(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.38(4.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2014	46.69	48.38	49.89	49.98			50.36(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	0.86	54%	0.02	66.4	2.3%	0	0.8	69	0
2	Jun_27_2014	46.68	48.01	49.78	49.98			50.19(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	10	-10000	0	39	0.99	52%	0.11	63.6	2.35%	0	0.8	77	0
3	Jun_26_2014	46.63	47.66	49.59	49.88			49.81(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	0	56	1.74	49%	0.06	65.4	2.35%	0	0.8	86	0
4	Jun_25_2014	46.6	47.36	49.47	49.86			49.84(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-0	76	1.28	49%	0.06	69.3	2.38%	0	0.9	87	0
5	Jun_24_2014	46.57	47.04	49.33	49.87			49.72(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	2	103	2.63	47%	0.06	74.1	2.38%	0	0.9	89	0

6	Jun_23_2014	46.54	46.72	49.25	49.78			49.86(-0.61%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	34	-10000	2	131	2.41	47%	0.02	77.6	2.44%	0	1.1	91	0
7	Jun_20_2014	46.53	46.33	49.03	49.64			50.17(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	1.23	44%	0	77.6	2.49%	0	1.3	93	0
8	Jun_19_2014	46.53	45.9	48.53	49.26			49.73(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	4	157	0.85	44%	0.02	75.4	2.49%	0	1.3	86	0
9	Jun_18_2014	46.52	45.45	48.02	49.01			49.84(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	159	1.25	47%	0.02	71.1	2.49%	0	1.5	82	0
10	Jun_17_2014	46.51	44.99	47.4	48.73			49.28(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	1	153	1.49	47%	0.02	68.5	2.53%	0	1.4	82	0

11	Jun_16_2014	46.5	44.59	46.76	48.65			49.18(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	5	154	1.02	47%	-0.02	70.2	2.53%	0	1.6	80	0
12	Jun_13_2014	46.51	44.16	46.11	48.34			48.27(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	11	156	1.82	47%	-0.09	70.7	2.52%	0	1.5	83	0
13	Jun_12_2014	46.55	43.78	45.59	47.66			48.46(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	14	147	1.02	47%	-0.06	69.6	2.53%	0	1.8	85	0
14	Jun_11_2014	46.58	43.41	45.08	46.84			48.47(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	-10000	17	142	1.63	47%	-0.09	67.8	2.53%	0	2.1	86	0
15	Jun_10_2014	46.62	43.04	44.54	45.85			48.85(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	49	-10000	22	130	2.58	47%	0.06	63.9	2.53%	0	2.7	88	0

16	Jun_9_2014	46.59	42.66	43.95	44.61			47.64(6.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	40	-10000	19	103	2.97	45%	-0.09	59.3	2.51%	0	2.9	78	0
17	Jun_6_2014	46.63	42.29	43.36	43.59			44.87(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	7	79	1.25	39%	-0.13	51.1	2.38%	0	2	75	0
18	Jun_5_2014	46.69	42.01	43.03	43.23			44.4(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	3	70	1.46	39%	-0.11	32.6	2.41%	0	1.9	71	0
19	Jun_4_2014	46.74	41.82	42.65	43.06			43.49(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	1	61	0.76	41%	-0.13	27.7	2.39%	0	1.4	62	0
20	Jun_3_2014	46.8	41.7	42.38	43.02			42.64(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	55	1.37	41%	-0.13	26.7	2.4%	0	0.8	59	0

21	Jun_2_2014	46.86	41.69	42.27	43.18			42.55(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	2	62	1.88	41%	-0.17	40.2	2.39%	0	0.8	55	0
22	May_30_2014	46.94	41.64	42.09	43.06			43.09(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	6	62	3.25	41%	-0.09	42.7	2.41%	0	1.3	66	0
23	May_29_2014	46.98	41.59	41.87	42.76			43.55(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	12	64	0.6	41%	-0.02	38.1	2.43%	0	1.9	74	0
24	May_28_2014	46.99	41.5	41.65	42.17			43.28(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	48	1.43	39%	0.02	22.7	2.45%	0	1.9	61	0
25	May_27_2014	46.98	41.41	41.44	41.64			43.42(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	13	-10000	7	30	1.6	39%		-1.9	2.49%	0	2.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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