Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $47.6356 (6.16%) ($46.5055 - $48.0525) on Mon. Jun. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $47.6356(6.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLV(64%)    VT(63%)    QQQ(61%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.61(6.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.95(8.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.66(11.66%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2014	46.59	42.66	43.95	44.61			47.64(6.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	40	-10000	19	103	2.97	45%	-0.09	59.3	2.51%	0	2.9	78	0
2	Jun_6_2014	46.63	42.29	43.36	43.59			44.87(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	7	79	1.25	39%	-0.13	51.1	2.38%	0	2	75	0
3	Jun_5_2014	46.69	42.01	43.03	43.23			44.4(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	3	70	1.46	39%	-0.11	32.6	2.41%	0	1.9	71	0
4	Jun_4_2014	46.74	41.82	42.65	43.06			43.49(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	1	61	0.76	41%	-0.13	27.7	2.39%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Jun_3_2014	46.8	41.7	42.38	43.02			42.64(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	55	1.37	41%	-0.13	26.7	2.4%	0	0.8	59	0

6	Jun_2_2014	46.86	41.69	42.27	43.18			42.55(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	2	62	1.88	41%	-0.17	40.2	2.39%	0	0.8	55	0
7	May_30_2014	46.94	41.64	42.09	43.06			43.09(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	6	62	3.25	41%	-0.09	42.7	2.41%	0	1.3	66	0
8	May_29_2014	46.98	41.59	41.87	42.76			43.55(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	12	64	0.6	41%	-0.02	38.1	2.43%	0	1.9	74	0
9	May_28_2014	46.99	41.5	41.65	42.17			43.28(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	48	1.43	39%	0.02	22.7	2.45%	0	1.9	61	0
10	May_27_2014	46.98	41.41	41.44	41.64			43.42(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	13	-10000	7	30	1.6	39%	0.13	-1.9	2.49%	0	2.3	58	0

11	May_23_2014	46.92	41.24	41.26	41.26			41.94(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	5	14	1.44	37%	-0.02	-25.5	2.42%	0	0.9	46	0
12	May_22_2014	46.93	41.17	41.11	40.99			41.59(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-2	1.03	37%	-0.11	-36.5	2.43%	0	0.5	49	0
13	May_21_2014	46.98	41.19	40.9	40.86			40.61(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0.95	37%	-0.04	-34.2	2.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
14	May_20_2014	47	41.28	40.92	41.04			40.64(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.08	39%	-0.04	-13	2.45%	0	-0.7	45	0
15	May_19_2014	47.02	41.43	40.99	41.2			41.51(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-1	-23	1.5	39%	-0.02	9.7	2.47%	0	0.1	49	0

16	May_16_2014	47.03	41.44	41.06	41.26			40.62(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.35	40%	-0.04	17.2	2.46%	0	-0.9	54	0
17	May_15_2014	47.05	41.46	41.16	41.23			40.91(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-2	2.24	40%	-0.13	10	2.48%	0	-0.6	53	0
18	May_14_2014	47.11	41.48	41.31	40.91			41.5(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	3	-12	1.43	40%	-0.02	-18.3	2.5%	0	0	47	0
19	May_13_2014	47.12	41.41	41.34	40.77			41.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	0	-21	1.38	40%	-0.02	-37.3	2.5%	0	0	46	0
20	May_12_2014	47.13	41.34	41.37	40.75			41.84(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10000	-2	-32	1.81	40%	0.02	-50.4	2.51%	0	0.5	42	0

21	May_9_2014	47.12	41.27	41.22	40.87			40.44(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-39	2.71	40%	-0.15	-59.5	2.46%	0	-0.8	46	0
22	May_8_2014	47.19	41.36	41.24	41.12			39.34(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-12	-37	3.83	38%	-0.19	-66	2.45%	0	-1.9	47	0
23	May_7_2014	47.28	41.65	41.54	41.74			40.78(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-9	1.58	43%	-0.15	-49.5	2.44%	0	-0.7	50	0
24	May_6_2014	47.35	41.78	41.7	41.97			41.34(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-2	13	0.85	43%	-0.13	-56.9	2.54%	0	-0.3	58	0
25	May_5_2014	47.41	41.88	41.92	42.06			42.45(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	40	0.88	45%		-63.8	2.53%	0	0.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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