Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $41.5875 (2.41%) ($40.6821 - $42.0826) on Thu. May. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $41.5875(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLV(64%)    VT(63%)    XLY(61%)    QQQ(60%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.54(-9.73%)
5 Day Moving Average   $40.99(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.11(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.17(1.01%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2014	46.93	41.17	41.11	40.99			41.59(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-2	1.03	37%	-0.11	-36.5	2.43%	0	0.5	49	0
2	May_21_2014	46.98	41.19	40.9	40.86			40.61(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0.95	37%	-0.04	-34.2	2.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
3	May_20_2014	47	41.28	40.92	41.04			40.64(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.08	39%	-0.04	-13	2.45%	0	-0.7	45	0
4	May_19_2014	47.02	41.43	40.99	41.2			41.51(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-1	-23	1.5	39%	-0.02	9.7	2.47%	0	0.1	49	0
5	May_16_2014	47.03	41.44	41.06	41.26			40.62(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.35	40%	-0.04	17.2	2.46%	0	-0.9	54	0

6	May_15_2014	47.05	41.46	41.16	41.23			40.91(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-2	2.24	40%	-0.13	10	2.48%	0	-0.6	53	0
7	May_14_2014	47.11	41.48	41.31	40.91			41.5(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	3	-12	1.43	40%	-0.02	-18.3	2.5%	0	0	47	0
8	May_13_2014	47.12	41.41	41.34	40.77			41.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	0	-21	1.38	40%	-0.02	-37.3	2.5%	0	0	46	0
9	May_12_2014	47.13	41.34	41.37	40.75			41.84(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10000	-2	-32	1.81	40%	0.02	-50.4	2.51%	0	0.5	42	0
10	May_9_2014	47.12	41.27	41.22	40.87			40.44(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-39	2.71	40%	-0.15	-59.5	2.46%	0	-0.8	46	0

11	May_8_2014	47.19	41.36	41.24	41.12			39.34(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-12	-37	3.83	38%	-0.19	-66	2.45%	0	-1.9	47	0
12	May_7_2014	47.28	41.65	41.54	41.74			40.78(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-9	1.58	43%	-0.15	-49.5	2.44%	0	-0.7	50	0
13	May_6_2014	47.35	41.78	41.7	41.97			41.34(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-2	13	0.85	43%	-0.13	-56.9	2.54%	0	-0.3	58	0
14	May_5_2014	47.41	41.88	41.92	42.06			42.45(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	40	0.88	45%	-0.13	-63.8	2.53%	0	0.4	63	0
15	May_2_2014	47.47	41.92	41.85	41.61			41.67(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	4	31	1.74	42%	-0.13	-75.7	2.55%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	May_1_2014	47.53	42.08	41.78	41.38			42.46(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	1	15	2.64	42%	-0.13	-74.7	2.56%	0	0.2	50	0
17	Apr_30_2014	47.59	42.29	41.65	41.32			41.93(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-8	2.16	42%	-0.13	-61.3	2.57%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Apr_29_2014	47.65	42.53	41.47	41.43			41.77(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-25	3.4	42%	-0.15	-52.8	2.59%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Apr_28_2014	47.72	42.75	41.29	41.81			40.24(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-6	-31	3.98	42%	-0.19	-48.6	2.54%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Apr_25_2014	47.81	42.99	41.34	42.13			40.51(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-1	-33	3.07	40%	-0.17	-55.7	2.6%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Apr_24_2014	47.89	43.28	41.52	42.19			42.16(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	4	-45	2.8	40%	-0.15	-64.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	39	0
22	Apr_23_2014	47.96	43.48	41.78	41.99			42.46(-2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	9	-58	2.37	40%	-0.15	-77.8	2.61%	0	-0.4	35	0
23	Apr_22_2014	48.03	43.72	41.86	41.49			43.67(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	14	-91	2.9	42%	-0.1	-87.8	2.59%	0	-0	37	0
24	Apr_21_2014	48.08	43.91	41.79	40.73			41.84(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	5	-135	2.84	39%	-0.17	-95.7	2.52%	0	-0.8	34	0
25	Apr_17_2014	48.16	44.29	41.94	40.48			40.84(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-155	2.58	39%		-83	2.52%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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