Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 21, 2019

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $95.5900 (-0.57%) ($95.1600 - $96.0200) on Thu. Feb. 21, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $95.5900(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(89%)    VYM(83%)    VT(82%)    XLF(82%)    IWD(80%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-23%)    UUP(-21%)    TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.43(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.26(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.83(4.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2019	87.51	91.83	94.26	95.43			95.59(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	98	0.42	45%	-0.05	90.8	1.52%	0	1.2	88	1.3
2	Feb_20_2019	87.55	91.28	93.94	95.09			96.14(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	6	105	0.35	43%	-0.03	83.5	1.52%	0	1.4	94	1.6
3	Feb_19_2019	87.58	90.65	93.54	94.63			95.79(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	8	112	0.41	41%	-0.18	77.1	1.55%	0	1.4	94	1
4	Feb_15_2019	87.74	90.14	93.08	94.02			95.67(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	9	118	0.5	41%	-0.05	78	1.58%	0	1.6	95	1.5
5	Feb_14_2019	87.78	89.57	92.47	93.34			93.95(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	6	115	0.53	38%	-0.05	76.4	1.57%	0	1.3	93	1

6	Feb_13_2019	87.82	89.03	92.03	92.92			93.89(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	4	121	0.37	38%	-0.06	73.4	1.58%	0	1.4	94	1.3
7	Feb_12_2019	87.87	88.5	91.56	92.61			93.84(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	4	136	0.36	36%	-0.05	74	1.58%	0	1.5	95	1.5
8	Feb_11_2019	87.91	87.96	90.98	92.29			92.76(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	4	147	0.37	36%	-0.08	77.4	1.62%	0	1.4	95	1.3
9	Feb_8_2019	87.98	87.47	90.37	92			92.24(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	7	149	0.44	36%	-0.07	82.3	1.62%	0	1.4	75	1.3
10	Feb_7_2019	88.04	87	89.82	91.45			91.86(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	6	148	0.36	36%	-0.09	88.8	1.62%	0	1.5	78	1.1

11	Feb_6_2019	88.12	86.51	89.23	90.98			92.34(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	9	152	0.23	38%	-0.1	91.5	1.62%	0	1.8	82	1.7
12	Feb_5_2019	88.21	85.96	88.43	90.34			92.25(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	145	0.45	38%	-0.09	95.3	1.63%	0	2	81	1.8
13	Feb_4_2019	88.29	85.35	87.54	89.48			91.29(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	13	131	0.37	38%	-0.1	96.3	1.62%	0	2	80	1.9
14	Feb_1_2019	88.38	84.76	86.95	88.52			89.5(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	119	0.11	38%	-0.1	93.2	1.6%	0	1.7	76	1.4
15	Jan_31_2019	88.47	84.14	86.43	87.93			89.51(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	10	113	0.2	40%	-0.1	82	1.63%	0	1.7	77	1.4

16	Jan_30_2019	88.56	83.62	85.78	87.19			89.13(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	14	102	0.21	43%	-0.09	87	1.65%	0	1.9	78	1.1
17	Jan_29_2019	88.64	83.1	85.18	86.22			87.99(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	13	86	0.12	40%	-0.11	89.7	1.66%	0	1.8	77	0.5
18	Jan_28_2019	88.74	82.59	84.67	85.31			86.47(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	2	70	0.06	38%	-0.12	84	1.71%	0	1.5	78	0.6
19	Jan_25_2019	88.85	82.17	84.33	85.14			86.57(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	6	84	0.2	38%	-0.13	77.9	1.71%	0	1.6	81	1.1
20	Jan_24_2019	88.97	81.68	83.95	84.69			85.81(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	7	100	0.06	36%	-0.11	65.4	1.7%	0	1.6	84	0.8

21	Jan_23_2019	89.07	81.11	83.57	84.17			84.27(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	3	97	0.06	34%	-0.15	45.9	1.74%	0	1.2	67	0.6
22	Jan_22_2019	89.2	80.71	83.32	83.97			83.42(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	1	105	0.12	34%	-0.15	32.1	1.73%	0	1	67	0.5
23	Jan_18_2019	89.33	80.44	83.03	83.89			85.64(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	7	120	0.11	35%	-0.11	17.9	1.69%	0	1.7	78	1.5
24	Jan_17_2019	89.43	80.14	82.41	83.4			84.33(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	4	116	0.33	35%	-0.15	7.2	1.69%	0	1.5	75	1.4
25	Jan_16_2019	89.56	80	81.7	83.11			83.18(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	3	113	0.2	37%		2.4	1.68%	0	1.2	76	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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