Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $79.9000 (1.14%) ($79.2300 - $80.0200) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $79.9000(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(89%)    VYM(82%)    VT(81%)    IWD(80%)    IWN(80%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $77.96(-2.43%)
Resistance Level   $81.21
5 Day Moving Average   $79.6(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.61(-0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.21(-1.61%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	76.97	81.21	80.61	79.6			79.9(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-6	-108	0.08	60%	0.13	-54.2	0.75%	0	-1.2	42	0
2	Nov_15_2017	76.87	81.3	80.89	79.79			79(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-21	-94	0.08	58%	0.13	-54.4	0.74%	0	-2.3	36	0
3	Nov_14_2017	76.77	81.45	81.15	80.42			79.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-15	-64	0.09	60%	0.13	-43.5	0.74%	0	-2.1	34	0
4	Nov_13_2017	76.67	81.56	81.35	80.88			79.43(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-17	-48	0.29	60%	0.13	-38.7	0.75%	0	-2.8	32	0
5	Nov_10_2017	76.57	81.69	81.54	81.41			80.12(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-14	-10000	-11	-24	0.08	59%	0.13	-27.8	0.74%	0	-2.7	39	0

6	Nov_9_2017	76.47	81.79	81.68	81.74			80.82(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-13	-20	0.2	62%	0.14	-15.3	0.75%	0	-2	37	0
7	Nov_8_2017	76.36	81.86	81.75	82.14			82.18(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	6	0.21	67%	0.16	11.3	0.72%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Nov_7_2017	76.24	81.84	81.73	81.99			81.83(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	-10000	3	-1	0.14	67%	0.16	3.8	0.72%	0	-0	51	0
9	Nov_6_2017	76.12	81.85	81.77	81.9			82.1(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	7	2	0.13	67%	0.14	9.4	0.71%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Nov_3_2017	76.01	81.85	81.74	81.7			81.79(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	3	-10	0.13	68%	0.16	7.5	0.71%	0	-0.2	51	0

11	Nov_2_2017	75.89	81.86	81.83	81.61			82.8(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	6	-10000	10	-5	0.09	74%	0.16	24.5	0.7%	0	2.2	57	0
12	Nov_1_2017	75.77	81.86	81.71	81.33			81.41(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.15	71%	0.13	33.3	0.68%	0	-1.1	41	0
13	Oct_31_2017	75.67	81.82	81.75	81.45			81.38(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-26	0.1	71%	0.16	54	0.68%	0	-1.1	48	0
14	Oct_30_2017	75.55	81.81	81.77	81.63			81.13(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.14	71%	0.13	79.2	0.69%	0	-1.6	42	0
15	Oct_27_2017	75.45	81.82	81.85	81.78			81.33(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.07	71%	0.15	81.9	0.69%	0	-0.8	42	0

16	Oct_26_2017	75.34	81.76	81.91	82.07			81.39(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-3	1	0.12	68%	0.15	81.8	0.7%	0	-0.5	46	0
17	Oct_25_2017	75.23	81.69	82	82.14			82.03(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	2	10	0.12	70%	0.16	84.2	0.7%	0	0.4	51	0
18	Oct_24_2017	75.11	81.6	81.97	82.09			82.25(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	5	11	0.14	70%	0.16	80.7	0.7%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Oct_23_2017	74.99	81.47	81.96	81.95			81.92(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	1	11	0.2	70%	0.15	74.2	0.7%	0	0.4	60	0
20	Oct_20_2017	74.88	81.34	81.98	81.91			82.77(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	6	22	0.09	74%	0.16	75.9	0.68%	0	1.3	70	0

21	Oct_19_2017	74.76	81.17	81.89	81.74			81.75(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-4	30	0.16	74%	0.15	84.8	0.67%	0	0.5	75	0
22	Oct_18_2017	74.65	81.04	81.91	81.74			81.77(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	0.15	74%	0.16	94	0.68%	0	0.6	76	0
23	Oct_17_2017	74.53	80.89	81.89	81.84			81.52(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-4	71	0.2	74%	0.09	97.6	0.68%	0	0.5	65	0
24	Oct_16_2017	74.46	80.73	81.86	81.96			81.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-3	97	0.16	74%	0.16	98.9	0.68%	0	0.7	73	0
25	Oct_13_2017	74.34	80.52	81.8	82.05			81.9(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10000	-1	126	0.07	74%		90.4	0.68%	0	0.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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