Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $56.1500 (0.07%) ($56.1300 - $56.4100) on Wed. Jun. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $56.1500(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(81%)    VT(80%)    IVE(79%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $56.29
5 Day Moving Average   $56.01(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.18(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.29(-0.25%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2016	52.75	56.29	56.18	56.01			56.15(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.01	67%	0.17	33.6	0.8%	0	-0.2	49	0
2	Jun_21_2016	52.66	56.27	56.3	55.95			56.11(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-45	0	67%	0.15	32.1	0.8%	0	-0.3	52	0
3	Jun_20_2016	52.58	56.21	56.41	55.85			56.23(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.01	67%	0.15	21.6	0.8%	0	0	56	0
4	Jun_17_2016	52.5	56.17	56.49	55.81			55.76(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-9	-32	0.01	69%	0.15	23.8	0.81%	0	-0.6	50	0
5	Jun_16_2016	52.42	56.13	56.56	56.02			55.81(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-15	-14	0.01	69%	0.15	26.2	0.83%	0	-0.4	52	0

6	Jun_15_2016	52.34	56.09	56.62	56.38			55.86(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-10000	-14	19	0	69%	0.15	37.7	0.84%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Jun_14_2016	52.26	56.09	56.66	56.71			55.6(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-14	49	0.02	69%	0.13	44.7	0.85%	0	-0.5	55	0
8	Jun_13_2016	52.19	56.06	56.7	57.04			56.01(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	16	-10000	-9	89	0.02	69%	0.15	61.2	0.84%	0	-0.1	67	0
9	Jun_10_2016	52.11	55.99	56.71	57.25			56.81(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	-10000	4	118	0.03	75%	0.17	64.4	0.84%	0	0.9	67	0
10	Jun_9_2016	52.02	55.92	56.62	57.16			57.63(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	11	134	0.02	80%	0.21	68.9	0.82%	0	1.9	83	0

11	Jun_8_2016	51.91	55.79	56.43	56.9			57.49(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	12	127	0.01	80%	0.17	75.9	0.82%	0	2.1	75	0
12	Jun_7_2016	51.82	55.69	56.22	56.61			57.28(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	12	110	0.01	80%	0.12	86.5	0.84%	0	2.3	71	0
13	Jun_6_2016	51.76	55.54	55.98	56.32			57.05(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	9	83	0.02	80%	0.17	81.7	0.84%	0	2.4	67	0
14	Jun_3_2016	51.67	55.41	55.8	56.1			56.35(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	4	77	0.02	79%	0.14	80	0.83%	0	1.6	69	0
15	Jun_2_2016	51.6	55.3	55.64	56			56.32(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	5	65	0.02	79%	0.16	72	0.83%	0	1.7	59	0

16	Jun_1_2016	51.52	55.18	55.5	55.89			56.07(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	56	0.01	79%	0.1	55.9	0.83%	0	1.5	58	0
17	May_31_2016	51.47	55.09	55.41	55.77			55.79(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	9	43	0.03	79%	0.14	49.5	0.84%	0	1.1	50	0
18	May_27_2016	51.4	55.03	55.36	55.57			55.97(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	39	0.01	79%	0.1	53.3	0.83%	0	1.6	62	0
19	May_26_2016	51.35	54.95	55.22	55.45			55.87(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	10	33	0	79%	0.08	56	0.84%	0	1.7	61	0
20	May_25_2016	51.31	54.88	55.15	55.21			55.75(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	6	29	0.01	79%	0.06	55.9	0.84%	0	1.7	63	0

21	May_24_2016	51.28	54.84	55.09	55.06			55.46(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	3	33	0.02	79%	0.08	64.8	0.85%	0	1.3	64	0
22	May_23_2016	51.24	54.78	55.1	55			54.81(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	44	0.01	78%	0.06	58.8	0.84%	0	0.1	56	0
23	May_20_2016	51.21	54.71	55.08	55.11			55.34(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	54	0.01	83%	0.06	58.5	0.85%	0	1.1	55	0
24	May_19_2016	51.18	54.64	54.99	54.96			54.69(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	41	0	82%	0.02	53.6	0.85%	0	0.1	53	0
25	May_18_2016	51.17	54.59	54.95	55.08			55.01(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-2	47	0.01	82%		59.6	0.84%	0	0.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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