Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $52.8300 (2.44%) ($52.1000 - $52.8300) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $52.8300(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWD(80%)    IWM(80%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $54.35
5 Day Moving Average   $52.81(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.75(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.35(-2.8%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2015	57.15	54.35	52.75	52.81			52.83(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-38	-10000	3	-161	0.01	42%	-0.1	-36.3	1.16%	0	-0.8	34	0
2	Sep_1_2015	57.21	54.49	53.04	52.71			51.57(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-43	-10000	1	-173	0.03	38%	-0.14	-40.3	1.12%	0	-1.6	30	0
3	Aug_31_2015	57.29	54.68	53.52	52.68			53.12(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	9	-180	0.01	41%	-0.12	-44.3	1.06%	0	-1	34	0
4	Aug_28_2015	57.36	54.79	53.87	52.68			53.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-50	-10000	0	-198	0.02	41%	-0.1	-47.9	1.06%	0	-0.9	32	0
5	Aug_27_2015	57.42	54.89	54.17	52.43			53.16(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-56	-10000	-10	-193	0.02	41%	-0.12	-49	1.06%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Aug_26_2015	57.49	55.02	54.46	52.72			52.36(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-10000	-27	-183	0.07	38%	-0.12	-46.8	1.04%	0	-1.7	37	0
7	Aug_25_2015	57.56	55.21	54.82	53.47			51.41(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-65	-10000	-37	-148	0.03	34%	-0.14	-37	1.02%	0	-2.7	30	0
8	Aug_24_2015	57.64	55.42	55.31	54.5			51.88(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-47	-10000	-35	-81	0.15	34%	-0.1	-27.5	1.02%	0	-3.1	35	0
9	Aug_21_2015	57.7	55.57	55.82	55.48			53.36(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-19	-10000	-24	-5	0.04	36%	-0.09	-23.6	0.97%	0	-2.7	42	0
10	Aug_20_2015	57.75	55.67	56.04	56.12			54.61(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.3	1	-10000	-12	40	0.07	39%	-0.07	-22.7	0.94%	0	-1.6	47	0

11	Aug_19_2015	57.79	55.74	56.14	56.43			56.07(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-10000	2	70	0.01	43%	-0.05	-27	0.89%	0	0.5	56	0
12	Aug_18_2015	57.82	55.74	56.09	56.37			56.56(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	4	62	0.01	43%	-0.05	-39.8	0.88%	0	1.3	54	0
13	Aug_17_2015	57.85	55.73	55.95	56.27			56.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	1	56	0.01	43%	-0.03	-45.7	0.88%	0	1.4	64	0
14	Aug_14_2015	57.87	55.76	55.77	56.24			56.55(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	11	67	0.01	45%	-0.02	-40.5	0.88%	0	0.9	67	0
15	Aug_13_2015	57.88	55.82	55.65	55.96			56.16(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	6	50	0.01	45%	-0.03	-39.7	0.89%	0	0.3	58	0

16	Aug_12_2015	57.9	55.91	55.58	55.81			55.77(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	34	0.01	45%	-0.07	-34.6	0.89%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Aug_11_2015	57.94	56	55.59	55.75			56.07(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	33	0.01	45%	-0.05	-27.8	0.88%	0	0.1	50	0
18	Aug_10_2015	57.97	56.08	55.49	55.57			56.65(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	13	5	0.02	47%	-0.03	-27.8	0.88%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Aug_7_2015	57.99	56.12	55.49	55.25			55.16(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	0.02	44%	-0.07	-32.2	0.83%	0	-0.8	30	0
20	Aug_6_2015	58.03	56.22	55.26	55.29			55.41(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-0	-97	0.03	44%	-0.07	-32.4	0.82%	0	-0.7	30	0

21	Aug_5_2015	58.07	56.28	55.31	55.3			55.47(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-5	-124	0.01	42%	-0.05	-36.1	0.83%	0	-0.7	29	0
22	Aug_4_2015	58.1	56.32	55.35	55.42			55.15(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	1	-135	0.01	42%	-0.05	-37.9	0.84%	0	-1	31	0
23	Aug_3_2015	58.13	56.42	55.5	55.4			55.08(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-33	-10000	6	-151	0.02	42%	-0.05	-39.5	0.84%	0	-1.2	29	0
24	Jul_31_2015	58.16	56.52	55.75	55.26			55.33(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	-10000	2	-163	0.03	44%	-0.05	-50	0.84%	0	-1.1	34	0
25	Jul_30_2015	58.19	56.61	56	55.21			55.49(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-10000	-4	-160	0.01	42%		-58.1	0.85%	0	-1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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