Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $56.0700 (-1.02%) ($55.9000 - $56.3200) on Tue. Aug. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $56.0700(-1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.75(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.59(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56(0.13%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2015	57.94	56	55.59	55.75			56.07(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	33	0.01	45%	-0.05	-27.8	0.88%	0	0.1	50	0
2	Aug_10_2015	57.97	56.08	55.49	55.57			56.65(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	13	5	0.02	47%	-0.03	-27.8	0.88%	0	0.5	47	0
3	Aug_7_2015	57.99	56.12	55.49	55.25			55.16(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	0.02	44%	-0.07	-32.2	0.83%	0	-0.8	30	0
4	Aug_6_2015	58.03	56.22	55.26	55.29			55.41(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-0	-97	0.03	44%	-0.07	-32.4	0.82%	0	-0.7	30	0
5	Aug_5_2015	58.07	56.28	55.31	55.3			55.47(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-5	-124	0.01	42%	-0.05	-36.1	0.83%	0	-0.7	29	0

6	Aug_4_2015	58.1	56.32	55.35	55.42			55.15(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	1	-135	0.01	42%	-0.05	-37.9	0.84%	0	-1	31	0
7	Aug_3_2015	58.13	56.42	55.5	55.4			55.08(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-33	-10000	6	-151	0.02	42%	-0.05	-39.5	0.84%	0	-1.2	29	0
8	Jul_31_2015	58.16	56.52	55.75	55.26			55.33(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	-10000	2	-163	0.03	44%	-0.05	-50	0.84%	0	-1.1	34	0
9	Jul_30_2015	58.19	56.61	56	55.21			55.49(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-10000	-4	-160	0.01	42%	-0.03	-58.1	0.85%	0	-1	41	0
10	Jul_29_2015	58.21	56.7	56.25	55.31			56.04(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-34	-10000	0	-134	0.02	43%	-0.02	-62.7	0.86%	0	-0.6	49	0

11	Jul_28_2015	58.22	56.76	56.41	55.3			55.08(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-14	-131	0.04	40%	-0.05	-71.4	0.83%	0	-1.6	45	0
12	Jul_27_2015	58.25	56.87	56.71	55.63			54.37(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-10000	-30	-108	0.04	37%	-0.05	-77.2	0.81%	0	-2.6	34	0
13	Jul_24_2015	58.28	57.07	57.06	56.31			55.07(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-10000	-26	-50	0.05	39%	-0.05	-72.2	0.8%	0	-2.4	39	0
14	Jul_23_2015	58.31	57.24	57.29	56.9			55.98(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-20	-5	0.01	41%	-0.05	-65.9	0.78%	0	-1.8	43	0
15	Jul_22_2015	58.34	57.37	57.36	57.34			55.99(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-7	-10000	-15	19	0.02	41%	-0.03	-50	0.79%	0	-1.9	41	0

16	Jul_21_2015	58.36	57.52	57.41	57.68			56.72(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-12	36	0.01	44%	-0.05	-32.8	0.77%	0	-1.1	47	0
17	Jul_20_2015	58.39	57.63	57.45	57.95			57.79(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	65	0.12	51%	0	-16.7	0.74%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Jul_17_2015	58.39	57.67	57.36	57.92			58(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	8	48	0.21	47%	0	-13.7	0.76%	0	0.4	46	0
19	Jul_16_2015	58.39	57.72	57.26	57.74			58.18(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	16	21	0.17	47%	-0.02	-16.8	0.78%	0	0.5	46	0
20	Jul_15_2015	58.4	57.73	57.17	57.39			57.73(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	14	-19	0.02	45%	-0.02	-27.2	0.78%	0	0	41	0

21	Jul_14_2015	58.41	57.73	57.11	57.09			58.06(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	9	-68	0.02	45%	-0.02	-33.1	0.77%	0	0.4	38	0
22	Jul_13_2015	58.42	57.75	57	56.89			57.65(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	7	-108	0.02	45%	-0.03	-36.8	0.77%	0	-0.1	35	0
23	Jul_10_2015	58.44	57.78	57.04	56.74			57.09(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-32	-10000	1	-132	0.01	43%	-0.02	-38.8	0.76%	0	-0.8	31	0
24	Jul_9_2015	58.45	57.86	57.15	56.73			56.43(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-9	-150	0.35	40%	-0.03	-34.2	0.75%	0	-1.6	20	0
25	Jul_8_2015	58.47	57.97	57.36	56.91			56.21(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.01	40%		-34	0.74%	0	-2.1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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