Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $58.3200 (0.55%) ($58.2800 - $58.5500) on Mon. May. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $58.3200(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.47(-4.89%)
Resistance Level   $58.4
5 Day Moving Average   $57.63(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.81(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.4(-0.14%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2015	57.01	58.4		57.63			58.32(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	2	-80	0.02	60%	0.09	-63.8	0.81%	0	-0.1	40	0
2	May_8_2015	56.96	58.45	57.81	57.57			58(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	0	-95	0.01	60%	0.09	-62.6	0.81%	0	-0.6	36	0
3	May_7_2015	56.91	58.54	57.88	57.56			57.25(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-95	0.01	57%	0.09	-55.9	0.8%	0	-1.5	40	0
4	May_6_2015	56.86	58.67	58.08	57.58			57.34(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-7	-98	0.04	60%	0.11	-52.2	0.8%	0	-1.7	33	0
5	May_5_2015	56.8	58.78	58.26	57.74			57.25(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-11	-93	0.01	60%	0.12	-46.8	0.82%	0	-2.1	31	0

6	May_4_2015	56.73	58.89	58.45	58			58.03(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.02	64%	0.12	-42	0.81%	0	-1.3	37	0
7	May_1_2015	56.66	58.96	58.56	58.09			57.91(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-8	-75	0.01	68%	0.09	-33	0.83%	0	-1.6	35	0
8	Apr_30_2015	56.61	59.01	58.62	58.28			57.36(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-10000	-16	-83	0.02	63%	0.11	-22	0.83%	0	-2.8	26	0
9	Apr_29_2015	56.55	59.09	58.83	58.66			58.16(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-8	-59	0.01	67%	0.07	0	0.84%	0	-2	32	0
10	Apr_28_2015	56.51	59.13	58.97	58.85			58.56(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-5	-48	0.02	67%	0.11	11.3	0.83%	0	-1.4	37	0

11	Apr_27_2015	56.45	59.13	59.05	58.96			58.48(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-6	-40	0.03	67%	0.07	22.1	0.83%	0	-1.7	43	0
12	Apr_24_2015	56.41	59.17	59.15	59.1			58.82(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-4	-10000	4	-27	0.01	67%	0.11	23.5	0.83%	0	-0.9	43	0
13	Apr_23_2015	56.35	59.15	59.25	59.01			59.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	-1	-24	0.03	67%	0.11	7.7	0.83%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Apr_22_2015	56.29	59.15	59.29	59.03			59.09(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-4	-11	0.02	70%	0.11	-1.1	0.84%	0	0	58	0
15	Apr_21_2015	56.23	59.15	59.34	59.12			59.12(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.07	70%	0.11	8.9	0.87%	0	0.1	53	0

16	Apr_20_2015	56.17	59.15	59.36	59.17			59.19(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.04	70%	0.11	16.7	0.87%	0	0.2	49	0
17	Apr_17_2015	56.11	59.08	59.39	59.22			58.39(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-11	17	0.03	68%	0.05	32.2	0.86%	0	-1.3	53	0
18	Apr_16_2015	56.08	59.11	59.44	59.51			59.38(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-3	49	0.03	73%	0.11	55.8	0.83%	0	0.5	66	0
19	Apr_15_2015	56.02	59.09	59.37	59.58			59.52(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-1	62	0.01	73%	0.11	74.1	0.83%	0	0.9	69	0
20	Apr_14_2015	55.96	59.04	59.31	59.6			59.36(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	1	63	0.04	73%	0.11	86	0.84%	0	0.6	52	0

21	Apr_13_2015	55.9	58.99	59.3	59.6			59.45(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	65	0.06	73%	0.13	87.5	0.84%	0	0.9	53	0
22	Apr_10_2015	55.83	58.91	59.21	59.57			59.85(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	8	60	0.03	69%	0.14	83.5	0.85%	0	1.6	55	0
23	Apr_9_2015	55.75	58.83	59.03	59.36			59.73(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	10	38	0.12	69%	0.13	77.2	0.86%	0	1.7	57	0
24	Apr_8_2015	55.68	58.72	58.86	59.12			59.61(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	5	10	0.01	72%	0.14	56.7	0.86%	0	1.6	55	0
25	Apr_7_2015	55.6	58.6	58.79	58.99			59.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	-0	6	0.04	72%		38.2	0.9%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.