Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $59.1900 (1.37%) ($58.6700 - $59.2700) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $59.1900(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.17(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.36(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.08(0.19%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	56.17		59.36	59.17			59.19(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.04	70%	0.11	16.7	0.87%	0	0.2	49	0
2	Apr_17_2015	56.11	59.08	59.39	59.22			58.39(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-11	17	0.03	68%	0.05	32.2	0.86%	0	-1.3	53	0
3	Apr_16_2015	56.08	59.11	59.44	59.51			59.38(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-3	49	0.03	73%	0.11	55.8	0.83%	0	0.5	66	0
4	Apr_15_2015	56.02	59.09	59.37	59.58			59.52(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-1	62	0.01	73%	0.11	74.1	0.83%	0	0.9	69	0
5	Apr_14_2015	55.96	59.04	59.31	59.6			59.36(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	1	63	0.04	73%	0.11	86	0.84%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Apr_13_2015	55.9	58.99	59.3	59.6			59.45(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	65	0.06	73%	0.13	87.5	0.84%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Apr_10_2015	55.83	58.91	59.21	59.57			59.85(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	8	60	0.03	69%	0.14	83.5	0.85%	0	1.6	55	0
8	Apr_9_2015	55.75	58.83	59.03	59.36			59.73(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	10	38	0.12	69%	0.13	77.2	0.86%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Apr_8_2015	55.68	58.72	58.86	59.12			59.61(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	5	10	0.01	72%	0.14	56.7	0.86%	0	1.6	55	0
10	Apr_7_2015	55.6	58.6	58.79	58.99			59.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	-0	6	0.04	72%	0.13	38.2	0.9%	0	1	58	0

11	Apr_6_2015	55.53	58.54	58.77	59			59.46(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	8	17	0.01	72%	0.2	31.4	0.9%	0	1.5	60	0
12	Apr_2_2015	55.42	58.44	58.73	58.79			58.76(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	5	17	0.01	66%	0.13	15.8	0.91%	0	0.5	62	0
13	Apr_1_2015	55.35	58.41	58.75	58.66			58.56(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	4	15	0.05	66%	0.11	10.1	0.92%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Mar_31_2015	55.29	58.4	58.79	58.54			58.93(-0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-1	21	0.03	66%	0.13	1	0.93%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Mar_30_2015	55.22	58.38	58.74	58.57			59.29(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	2	36	0.01	66%	0.15	-2	0.93%	0	1.5	69	0

16	Mar_27_2015	55.14	58.38	58.65	58.53			58.42(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-6	37	0.01	64%	0.13	-4.3	0.9%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Mar_26_2015	55.07	58.35	58.6	58.68			58.08(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-6	51	0.02	64%	0.11	-3.2	0.91%	0	-0.5	58	0
18	Mar_25_2015	55.01	58.36	58.62	58.85			57.96(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	10	-10000	-7	62	0.02	64%	0.11	4.2	0.91%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Mar_24_2015	54.95	58.36	58.59	59.05			59.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	5	76	0.02	70%	0.15	21.4	0.88%	0	1.2	57	0
20	Mar_23_2015	54.87	58.39	58.42	58.92			59.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	56	0.02	70%	0.13	31.6	0.88%	0	1.2	53	0

21	Mar_20_2015	54.8	58.38	58.3	58.79			59.18(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	11	39	0.01	72%	0.15	38.8	0.89%	0	1.4	49	0
22	Mar_19_2015	54.72	58.36	58.13	58.51			58.93(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	5	9	0.03	72%	0.16	45.2	0.9%	0	1.1	54	0
23	Mar_18_2015	54.63	58.34	58.05	58.37			58.98(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	12	4	0.02	74%	0.15	54.8	0.89%	0	1.2	56	0
24	Mar_17_2015	54.55	58.27	58.05	58.07			58.43(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	8	-21	0.04	75%	0.17	48	0.93%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Mar_16_2015	54.46	58.21	57.96	57.85			58.43(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	4	-42	0.01	75%		46.5	0.94%	0	0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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