Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $54.2300 (-0.51%) ($54.2300 - $55.0000) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $54.2300(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.7(-0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.05(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.9(0.61%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2015	51.92	53.9	54.05	54.7			54.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	23	-10000	5	76	0	60%	0.06	6.2	0.93%	0	0.5	59	0
2	Jan_27_2015	51.89	53.93	53.93	54.57			54.51(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	8	66	0.01	60%	0.06	9.6	0.98%	0	0.8	63	0
3	Jan_26_2015	51.86	53.95	53.82	54.35			54.93(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	12	57	0.01	60%	0.08	11.5	0.97%	0	1.3	63	0
4	Jan_23_2015	51.82	53.93	53.71	54.03			55.14(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	16	37	0.03	63%	0.08	14.7	0.97%	0	1.6	55	0
5	Jan_22_2015	51.78	53.89	53.61	53.6			54.69(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	10	5	0.06	61%	0.08	18.5	0.99%	0	1.1	48	0

6	Jan_21_2015	51.74	53.89	53.44	53.33			53.59(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	5	-33	0.01	61%	0.04	28.5	0.97%	0	-0.4	38	0
7	Jan_20_2015	51.72	53.89	53.39	53.33			53.41(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	0	-61	0.01	61%	0.06	37.4	1%	0	-0.6	37	0
8	Jan_16_2015	51.69	53.86	53.37	53.2			53.31(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.01	63%	0.06	43.4	1.02%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Jan_15_2015	51.66	53.82	53.44	53.34			53.01(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-10	-85	0.01	63%	0.04	47.8	1.01%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	Jan_14_2015	51.64	53.76	53.6	53.61			53.34(0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	1	-65	0	65%	0.04	40.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	40	0

11	Jan_13_2015	51.62	53.65	53.74	53.57			52.95(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-0	-61	0.02	60%	0.04	22.7	1.03%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Jan_12_2015	51.6	53.58	53.94	53.58			53.4(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	-10000	1	-46	0.01	60%	0.04	8.5	1.08%	0	-0.2	52	0
13	Jan_9_2015	51.58	53.55	54.1	53.54			54(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-1	-33	0.01	60%	0.08	4.2	1.07%	0	0.4	57	0
14	Jan_8_2015	51.54	53.47	54.18	53.56			54.35(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.01	62%	0.08	0	1.08%	0	0.7	69	0
15	Jan_7_2015	51.5	53.43	54.19	53.62			53.16(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-12	20	0.01	55%	0.06	2.9	1.05%	0	-0.2	69	0

16	Jan_6_2015	51.47	53.44	54.31	53.97			52.98(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-13	70	0.03	55%	0.06	11.6	1.09%	0	-0.4	71	0
17	Jan_5_2015	51.44	53.48	54.38	54.35			53.22(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-12	116	0.01	55%	0.08	20.3	1.09%	0	-0.2	71	0
18	Jan_2_2015	51.4	53.5	54.42	54.72			54.09(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	35	-10000	-5	153	0.01	59%	0.14	28.2	1.08%	0	0.5	61	0
19	Dec_31_2014	51.33	53.47	54.25	54.87			54.63(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-10000	1	168	0	56%	0.14	32.9	1.07%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Dec_30_2014	51.26	53.39	53.96	54.85			54.92(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	5	147	0.01	56%	0.12	33.2	1.1%	0	1.3	56	0

21	Dec_29_2014	51.2	53.29	53.58	54.71			54.87(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	9	121	0	55%	0.14	31.8	1.1%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Dec_26_2014	51.13	53.22	53.21	54.43			55.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	12	83	0.01	56%	0.22	31	1.11%	0	1.7	54	0
23	Dec_24_2014	51.02	53.13	52.95	54.08			54.83(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	18	58	0.01	55%	0.14	29.4	1.12%	0	1.7	56	0
24	Dec_23_2014	50.95	53.06	52.68	53.54			54.54(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	21	18	0.01	53%	0.14	20.2	1.11%	0	1.5	53	0
25	Dec_22_2014	50.88	52.99	52.56	52.92			54.2(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	13	-10000	22	-13	0.02	51%		8.7	1.12%	0	1.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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