Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $54.5400 (0.63%) ($54.5000 - $54.6900) on Tue. Dec. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $54.5400(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.54(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.68(3.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.06(2.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2014	50.95	53.06	52.68	53.54			54.54(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	21	18	0.01	53%	0.14	20.2	1.11%	0	1.5	53	0
2	Dec_22_2014	50.88	52.99	52.56	52.92			54.2(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	13	-10000	22	-13	0.02	51%	0.12	8.7	1.12%	0	1.3	55	0
3	Dec_19_2014	50.82	52.92	52.44	52.28			53.47(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	-10000	16	-49	0.01	50%	0.12	-7.4	1.13%	0	0.6	52	0
4	Dec_18_2014	50.76	52.88	52.46	51.81			53.37(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-16	-10000	5	-79	0.01	50%	0.1	-21.5	1.14%	0	0.6	47	0
5	Dec_17_2014	50.71	52.83	52.45	51.66			52.13(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-1	-96	0.01	47%	0.06	-24.8	1.1%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	Dec_16_2014	50.68	52.86	52.59	51.7			51.44(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-16	-102	0	45%	0.08	-21.4	1.09%	0	-1.7	35	0
7	Dec_15_2014	50.64	52.91	52.77	52.15			50.98(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-10000	-16	-80	0.01	45%	0.04	-7.9	1.08%	0	-2.4	34	0
8	Dec_12_2014	50.62	52.98	53	52.62			51.15(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-28	-10000	-19	-54	0.01	45%	0.04	12.5	1.08%	0	-2.7	38	0
9	Dec_11_2014	50.6	53.06	53.27	53.17			52.61(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-6	-8	0.01	48%	0.08	45.3	1.02%	0	-0.8	53	0
10	Dec_10_2014	50.56	53.05	53.38	53.34			52.34(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-5	-10000	-10	11	0.01	48%	0.04	55	1.02%	0	-1.2	51	0

11	Dec_9_2014	50.54	53.04	53.52	53.6			53.67(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	4	46	0	52%	0.08	66.4	0.97%	0	1.1	65	0
12	Dec_8_2014	50.5	52.97	53.48	53.49			53.34(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	52	0.05	52%	0.08	60.9	0.97%	0	0.6	69	0
13	Dec_5_2014	50.46	52.9	53.45	53.44			53.9(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	1	58	0.01	54%	0.1	56.2	0.96%	0	1.6	72	0
14	Dec_4_2014	50.41	52.8	53.32	53.41			53.43(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-1	58	0.01	54%	0.08	62.4	0.96%	0	1	65	0
15	Dec_3_2014	50.37	52.73	53.25	53.45			53.65(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	1	67	0.02	54%	0.08	72	0.96%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Dec_2_2014	50.33	52.65	53.14	53.43			53.11(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-1	73	0	54%	0.08	83	0.95%	0	0.8	69	0
17	Dec_1_2014	50.29	52.6	53.04	53.47			53.11(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	1	77	0.04	54%	0.06	102.7	0.96%	0	0.9	67	0
18	Nov_28_2014	50.26	52.54	52.96	53.45			53.73(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	9	84	0.01	56%	0.12	118.8	0.95%	0	2	81	0
19	Nov_26_2014	50.2	52.42	52.83	53.22			53.66(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	9	76	0	56%	0.1	112.3	0.94%	0	1.9	79	0
20	Nov_25_2014	50.15	52.29	52.68	53.01			53.55(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22	-10000	8	65	0.04	56%	0.08	125.6	0.94%	0	2.1	79	0

21	Nov_24_2014	50.11	52.16	52.53	52.81			53.28(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	10	54	0.02	56%	0.06	111.6	0.94%	0	1.6	74	0
22	Nov_21_2014	50.08	52	52.41	52.56			53.01(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	6	38	0	56%	0.06	102.6	0.94%	0	1.3	71	0
23	Nov_20_2014	50.05	51.85	52.3	52.41			52.61(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	2	26	0.01	56%	0.06	97	0.94%	0	0.9	66	0
24	Nov_19_2014	50.02	51.71	52.23	52.37			52.58(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	3	31	0.01	56%	0.04	89.2	0.94%	0	0.8	77	0
25	Nov_18_2014	50	51.53	52.17	52.3			52.59(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	13	-10000	4	39	0.02	58%		88.5	0.94%	0	0.9	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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