Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $48.1500 (-1.01%) ($47.7600 - $48.8100) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $48.1500(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    IWM(80%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.48(-7.62%)
Resistance Level   $50.13
5 Day Moving Average   $48.74(-1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.17(-2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.13(-3.95%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2014	50.06	50.13	49.17	48.74			48.15(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-6	-130	0.01	43%	-0.02	-55.8	0.88%	0	-1.6	26	0
2	Oct_8_2014	50.07	50.32	49.36	48.87			48.64(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-145	0.01	42%	0	-53.8	0.88%	0	-1.4	26	0
3	Oct_7_2014	50.07	50.47	49.53	48.94			48.16(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-10000	-17	-165	0.01	40%	-0.04	-53.5	0.89%	0	-2	21	0
4	Oct_6_2014	50.09	50.64	49.75	49.31			49.3(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	-8	-162	0.02	44%	0	-51.8	0.85%	0	-1.3	28	0
5	Oct_3_2014	50.09	50.75	49.9	49.47			49.46(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-162	0.03	44%	0	-47.1	0.86%	0	-1.3	32	0

6	Oct_2_2014	50.09	50.84	50.11	49.69			48.81(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-46	-10000	-11	-152	0.01	39%	-0.04	-40.9	0.84%	0	-2.2	24	0
7	Oct_1_2014	50.11	50.97	50.42	49.92			48.99(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-43	-10000	-13	-133	0.04	42%	-0.04	-39.4	0.85%	0	-2.5	24	0
8	Sep_30_2014	50.13	51.09	50.73	50.2			50(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-2	-108	0	45%	-0.04	-36.2	0.83%	0	-1.7	30	0
9	Sep_29_2014	50.15	51.16	50.9	50.25			50.09(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-103	0.01	45%	0	-33.9	0.83%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Sep_26_2014	50.15	51.21	51.05	50.39			50.55(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-11	-94	0.01	47%	-0.02	-30.6	0.82%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Sep_25_2014	50.16	51.22	51.16	50.62			49.95(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-19	-77	0.02	44%	0	-21.1	0.81%	0	-2.3	34	0
12	Sep_24_2014	50.16	51.28	51.35	51.02			50.41(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-16	-36	0.01	43%	-0.02	3.2	0.8%	0	-1.8	43	0
13	Sep_23_2014	50.17	51.32	51.49	51.34			50.25(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-12	-10000	-14	-4	0.01	43%	-0.02	32.6	0.82%	0	-2.4	39	0
14	Sep_22_2014	50.18	51.37	51.61	51.64			50.81(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	0	-10000	-7	22	0.01	45%	0.02	73.6	0.82%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Sep_19_2014	50.17	51.38	51.68	51.79			51.66(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	1	47	0	49%	0.02	105.6	0.79%	0	0.8	68	0

16	Sep_18_2014	50.16	51.34	51.65	51.78			51.97(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	2	55	0.02	49%	0.04	124.3	0.79%	0	1.7	76	0
17	Sep_17_2014	50.14	51.27	51.56	51.74			51.99(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	54	0	49%	0.04	134.2	0.79%	0	1.8	69	0
18	Sep_16_2014	50.12	51.18	51.48	51.68			51.75(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	53	0.01	49%	0.06	147.5	0.78%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Sep_15_2014	50.09	51.1	51.44	51.59			51.56(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	2	50	0.01	49%	0.04	145.5	0.78%	0	1	60	0
20	Sep_12_2014	50.07	50.99	51.37	51.56			51.65(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	49	0	49%	0.02	119.3	0.78%	0	1.1	65	0

21	Sep_11_2014	50.06	50.88	51.28	51.48			51.73(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	6	42	0.01	49%	0.02	112.9	0.79%	0	1.3	68	0
22	Sep_10_2014	50.05	50.75	51.2	51.35			51.7(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	5	38	0.01	49%	0	107.5	0.8%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Sep_9_2014	50.05	50.58	51.14	51.25			51.32(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-1	39	0.01	49%	0.02	89.7	0.8%	0	0.8	72	0
24	Sep_8_2014	50.04	50.46	51.11	51.26			51.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	6	56	0.01	49%	0.02	89.8	0.81%	0	1	75	0
25	Sep_5_2014	50.03	50.31	51.06	51.14			51.27(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	5	69	0.01	53%		82.6	0.81%	0	1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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