Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $50.1300 (1.77%) ($49.6700 - $50.1800) on Mon. Aug. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $50.1300(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.18(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.65(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.58(3.19%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2014	49.91	48.58	48.65	49.18			50.13(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	13	90	0.01	47%	0	-2.6	0.88%	0	2	63	0
2	Aug_15_2014	49.91	48.58	48.41	48.9			49.26(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	8	63	0.01	40%	0	-13	0.85%	0	1	57	0
3	Aug_14_2014	49.91	48.55	48.28	48.73			49.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	17	47	0.04	37%	-0.02	-18.8	0.87%	0	0.9	56	0
4	Aug_13_2014	49.92	48.52	48.12	48.38			49.08(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	14	1	0.01	37%	-0.04	-33.8	0.89%	0	0.8	49	0
5	Aug_12_2014	49.94	48.54	48.04	48.08			48.22(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.09	37%	-0.06	-42.1	0.86%	0	-0.4	36	0

6	Aug_11_2014	49.97	48.6	48.05	48.02			48.75(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	8	-62	0	39%	-0.04	-39.9	0.88%	0	0.2	35	0
7	Aug_8_2014	49.99	48.64	48.05	47.85			48.37(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-22	-10000	3	-96	0	39%	-0.06	-46.8	0.88%	0	-0.4	32	0
8	Aug_7_2014	50.02	48.68	48	47.78			47.47(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-1	-122	0	33%	-0.08	-55.1	0.85%	0	-1.6	25	0
9	Aug_6_2014	50.06	48.77	48.15	47.81			47.61(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0	32%	-0.08	-63.5	0.85%	0	-1.6	40	0
10	Aug_5_2014	50.1	48.85	48.32	47.98			47.91(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-110	0.01	36%	-0.08	-70.8	0.86%	0	-1.4	35	0

11	Aug_4_2014	50.14	48.91	48.51	48.08			47.9(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	0.01	36%	-0.06	-74.1	0.89%	0	-1.5	34	0
12	Aug_1_2014	50.17	49.01	48.7	48.18			48.01(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-4	-89	0.04	36%	-0.06	-74.4	0.89%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Jul_31_2014	50.2	49.11	48.85	48.27			47.61(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-12	-84	0.01	36%	-0.08	-69.5	0.89%	0	-2.4	37	0
14	Jul_30_2014	50.24	49.23	48.98	48.53			48.48(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.01	39%	-0.06	-68.2	0.86%	0	-1.4	45	0
15	Jul_29_2014	50.27	49.33	49.08	48.72			48.39(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-14	-54	0.01	44%	-0.08	-51.7	0.86%	0	-1.6	43	0

16	Jul_28_2014	50.31	49.4	49.21	49.02			48.41(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-12	-22	0.02	42%	-0.08	-48.6	0.92%	0	-1.9	47	0
17	Jul_25_2014	50.35	49.48	49.34	49.3			48.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-7	-10000	-9	-2	0.02	40%	-0.08	-46.5	0.94%	0	-2.1	38	0
18	Jul_24_2014	50.39	49.55	49.43	49.51			48.94(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	3	-10000	2	7	0.01	41%	-0.08	-52.9	0.94%	0	-1.4	39	0
19	Jul_23_2014	50.43	49.6	49.45	49.47			49.39(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.01	41%	-0.08	-73.5	0.94%	0	-0.5	44	0
20	Jul_22_2014	50.47	49.63	49.43	49.5			49.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.06	43%	-0.04	-85.5	0.94%	0	0.7	43	0

21	Jul_21_2014	50.49	49.66	49.33	49.43			49.8(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.01	43%	-0.04	-86	0.94%	0	0.3	50	0
22	Jul_18_2014	50.51	49.71	49.32	49.4			49.48(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.02	43%	-0.04	-77.1	0.93%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Jul_17_2014	50.53	49.78	49.38	49.35			48.74(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-3	-42	0.07	42%	-0.04	-71.2	0.92%	0	-1.7	40	0
24	Jul_16_2014	50.55	49.91	49.5	49.41			49.55(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	3	-36	0.15	49%	-0.04	-71.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	45	0
25	Jul_15_2014	50.57	49.98	49.58	49.34			49.56(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	5	-33	0	52%		-77.2	0.95%	0	-0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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