Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $49.1700 (0.45%) ($49.1600 - $49.3000) on Wed. Jul. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $49.1700(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.06(-4.29%)
Resistance Level   $50.36
5 Day Moving Average   $49.59(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.77(-1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.36(-2.36%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2014	50.65	50.36	49.77	49.59			49.17(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0	47%	-0.04	-71.5	1.01%	0	-1.6	27	0
2	Jul_8_2014	50.67	50.51	49.85	49.85			48.95(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.01	47%	-0.04	-51.3	1.04%	0	-2	25	0
3	Jul_7_2014	50.69	50.69	50.02	50.01			49.83(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.01	47%	0	-33.3	1.02%	0	-1	31	0
4	Jul_3_2014	50.69	50.79	50.13	50.03			50.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	2	-59	0	44%	0	-23.3	1.07%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Jul_2_2014	50.69	50.87	50.22	50.03			49.91(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.01	44%	0	-18.9	1.07%	0	-1.2	28	0

6	Jul_1_2014	50.69	50.91	50.35	49.98			50.46(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	4	-70	0.01	45%	0.04	-16.3	1.07%	0	-0.6	27	0
7	Jun_30_2014	50.67	50.92	50.41	49.87			49.77(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-28	-10000	-6	-92	0.01	47%	0	-17.6	1.09%	0	-1.5	8	0
8	Jun_27_2014	50.67	50.97	50.54	50.04			49.93(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0	47%	0.04	-7.4	1.09%	0	-1.4	7	0
9	Jun_26_2014	50.65	50.99	50.67	50.25			49.83(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-9	-94	0	45%	0.04	6.9	1.09%	0	-1.6	21	0
10	Jun_25_2014	50.63	51.02	50.82	50.5			49.92(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-9	-83	0	45%	0.02	25.2	1.1%	0	-1.5	31	0

11	Jun_24_2014	50.62	51.04	51	50.76			49.88(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-9	-59	0.01	45%	0.04	44	1.1%	0	-1.6	46	0
12	Jun_23_2014	50.6	51.06	51.23	51.01			50.63(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-4	-27	0.01	47%	0.02	59.3	1.09%	0	-0.6	55	0
13	Jun_20_2014	50.59	51.02	51.42	51.12			50.98(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.01	47%	0.04	59.9	1.09%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	Jun_19_2014	50.57	50.94	51.52	51.16			51.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	18	0	47%	0.04	52.7	1.09%	0	0.2	64	0
15	Jun_18_2014	50.55	50.84	51.57	51.18			51.23(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-4	32	0	47%	0.04	40.6	1.1%	0	0.4	65	0

16	Jun_17_2014	50.53	50.72	51.52	51.29			51.13(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-7	44	0.01	47%	0.02	29.3	1.1%	0	0.4	67	0
17	Jun_16_2014	50.52	50.65	51.48	51.5			51.14(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-9	61	0.01	47%	0.04	27.3	1.11%	0	0.5	67	0
18	Jun_13_2014	50.5	50.57	51.43	51.77			51.19(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-6	88	0	45%	-0.02	29.9	1.11%	0	0.6	71	0
19	Jun_12_2014	50.51	50.5	51.34	51.93			51.23(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-10000	-2	111	0.01	45%	0	29	1.12%	0	0.7	75	0
20	Jun_11_2014	50.51	50.46	51.26	52			51.74(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	8	136	0	43%	0	31	1.12%	0	1.2	85	0

21	Jun_10_2014	50.51	50.42	51.09	51.78			52.18(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	12	138	0	43%	0.04	29.1	1.13%	0	1.7	92	0
22	Jun_9_2014	50.49	50.37	50.87	51.44			52.53(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	42	-10000	14	125	0.01	43%	0.04	21.8	1.13%	0	2.2	77	0
23	Jun_6_2014	50.47	50.25	50.58	51.04			51.98(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	36	-10000	12	106	0	43%	0.02	13	1.12%	0	2	76	0
24	Jun_5_2014	50.46	50.19	50.3	50.69			51.58(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	-10000	10	82	0.01	43%	0	5.9	1.11%	0	1.8	71	0
25	Jun_4_2014	50.46	50.13	50.02	50.42			50.62(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	4	50	0	43%		-0.7	1.09%	0	0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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