Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $49.6400 (-1.7%) ($49.3800 - $50.1900) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $49.6400(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $50.52
5 Day Moving Average   $50.67(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.71(-2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.52(-1.74%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	50.43	50.52	50.71	50.67			49.64(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	51%	-0.02	72.1	1.16%	0	-1.6	51	0
2	May_14_2014	50.44	50.55	50.78	50.93			50.5(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-1	49	0.03	53%	0.02	88.8	1.15%	0	-0.1	50	0
3	May_13_2014	50.43	50.49	50.76	50.96			51.33(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	5	48	0.02	55%	0.06	79.7	1.13%	0	1.4	51	0
4	May_12_2014	50.4	50.34	50.64	50.81			51.39(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	1	31	0.01	55%	0.04	55.9	1.14%	0	1.4	52	0
5	May_9_2014	50.38	50.19	50.41	50.78			50.5(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	1	16	0.01	55%	0.04	36.8	1.11%	0	0.4	49	0

6	May_8_2014	50.36	50.12	50.35	50.76			50.91(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	5	8	0	55%	0.04	20.9	1.12%	0	0.9	51	0
7	May_7_2014	50.34	50.07	50.3	50.61			50.66(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	4	3	0.01	57%	0.06	7.1	1.13%	0	0.7	56	0
8	May_6_2014	50.31	50	50.32	50.51			50.57(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	0.02	57%	0.04	-8.2	1.15%	0	0.7	62	0
9	May_5_2014	50.29	49.94	50.35	50.44			51.24(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	16	40	0	58%	0.08	-19.6	1.13%	0	1.5	71	0
10	May_2_2014	50.25	49.89	50.27	50			50.44(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	4	32	0	53%	0.06	-34.2	1.14%	0	0.7	69	0

11	May_1_2014	50.22	49.94	50.27	49.88			50.12(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-2	40	0	53%	0.06	-25.6	1.14%	0	0.2	60	0
12	Apr_30_2014	50.19	50.01	50.29	49.95			50.19(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-6	44	0.01	55%	0.04	-14.6	1.14%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Apr_29_2014	50.17	50.07	50.19	50.11			50.2(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-5	54	0.01	52%	0.04	-6.9	1.15%	0	0.1	57	0
14	Apr_28_2014	50.15	50.11	50.03	50.26			49.03(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-11	51	0.01	49%	0.02	-1.4	1.15%	0	-1	48	0
15	Apr_25_2014	50.14	50.11	49.98	50.58			49.86(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-6	54	0.02	51%	0.04	2	1.12%	0	-0.3	46	0

16	Apr_24_2014	50.12	50.16	49.9	50.75			50.49(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	3	43	0	48%	0.06	1	1.12%	0	0.3	42	0
17	Apr_23_2014	50.09	50.15	49.85	50.66			50.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	13	25	0	47%	0.06	-6.5	1.19%	0	0.8	43	0
18	Apr_22_2014	50.06	50.14	49.66	50.28			50.92(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	17	-17	0.01	49%	0.06	-20.4	1.2%	0	0.8	44	0
19	Apr_21_2014	50.03	50.12	49.5	49.78			50.63(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	16	-59	0.01	49%	0.04	-37.5	1.22%	0	0.5	46	0
20	Apr_17_2014	50.01	50.14	49.46	49.3			50.71(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-12	-10000	12	-84	0	49%	0.04	-49.3	1.22%	0	0.6	54	0

21	Apr_16_2014	49.99	50.15	49.51	48.94			50.04(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-24	-10000	-0	-95	0	47%	0.04	-56	1.21%	0	-0.1	52	0
22	Apr_15_2014	49.97	50.21	49.66	48.95			49.1(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	0.01	46%	0.02	-54.4	1.18%	0	-1	44	0
23	Apr_14_2014	49.96	50.34	49.89	48.96			48.41(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-8	-85	0.01	44%	0	-54.9	1.17%	0	-1.8	36	0
24	Apr_11_2014	49.96	50.5	50.17	49.18			48.24(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-15	-73	0.02	44%	0.02	-59.9	1.17%	0	-2.3	37	0
25	Apr_10_2014	49.95	50.65	50.37	49.61			48.93(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-19	-63	0.01	47%		-65.4	1.16%	0	-2.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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