Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $49.5100 (-1.79%) ($49.3800 - $50.0000) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $49.5100(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $50.94
5 Day Moving Average   $50.97(-2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.7(-2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.94(-2.81%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2014	49.87	50.94	50.7	50.97			49.51(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-12	-10000	-11	-15	0.01	49%	0.06	-54.7	1.12%	0	-2	33	0
2	Apr_4_2014	49.84	51.08	50.83	51.29			50.41(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	3	-10000	3	3	0.01	51%	0.08	-40.7	1.09%	0	-1	43	0
3	Apr_3_2014	49.8	51.19	50.91	51.2			51.66(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	14	4	0	55%	0.12	-35.7	1.05%	0	0.6	56	0
4	Apr_2_2014	49.74	51.23	50.85	50.83			51.73(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	11	-15	0.01	53%	0.12	-41.4	1.05%	0	0.6	59	0
5	Apr_1_2014	49.68	51.26	50.79	50.54			51.54(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	5	-37	0	53%	0.1	-38.7	1.06%	0	0.3	50	0

6	Mar_31_2014	49.63	51.32	50.8	50.42			51.11(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	3	-45	0.01	53%	0.1	-34.1	1.06%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Mar_28_2014	49.58	51.37	50.81	50.34			49.97(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-10	-68	0.01	50%	0.1	-36.7	1.02%	0	-1.6	28	0
8	Mar_27_2014	49.53	51.45	50.92	50.59			49.82(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-10	-69	0.01	50%	0.08	-31.6	1.02%	0	-2	25	0
9	Mar_26_2014	49.49	51.55	51.02	50.84			50.27(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-8	-74	0.01	50%	0.08	-24.3	1.02%	0	-1.8	27	0
10	Mar_25_2014	49.45	51.6	51.14	51.06			50.91(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-74	0.01	52%	0.1	-15.4	1.01%	0	-1	30	0

11	Mar_24_2014	49.4	51.62	51.21	51.23			50.73(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-5	-77	0.01	52%	0.12	-7.1	1.02%	0	-1.4	25	0
12	Mar_21_2014	49.34	51.69	51.37	51.35			51.2(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	2	-66	0.01	52%	0.12	8.3	1%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Mar_20_2014	49.28	51.7	51.5	51.31			51.11(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-10000	4	-58	0.01	53%	0.12	14.4	1.01%	0	-1	48	0
14	Mar_19_2014	49.22	51.72	51.64	51.22			51.34(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.01	53%	0.14	20.2	1.01%	0	-0.6	49	0
15	Mar_18_2014	49.15	51.7	51.76	51.24			51.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	1	-39	0.01	55%	0.14	28.6	1.01%	0	0.1	58	0

16	Mar_17_2014	49.08	51.67	51.88	51.21			51.35(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.01	55%	0.14	41.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	52	0
17	Mar_14_2014	49.01	51.64	51.95	51.4			50.99(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-12	-17	0.01	56%	0.12	55.9	1.01%	0	-0.9	43	0
18	Mar_13_2014	48.95	51.61	52.01	51.72			50.65(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-10	-10000	-15	4	0.01	56%	0.14	79	1.01%	0	-1.3	47	0
19	Mar_12_2014	48.88	51.59	52.13	52.12			51.43(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-9	34	0.01	59%	0.16	97.4	0.99%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Mar_11_2014	48.8	51.51	52.11	52.36			51.61(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-11	53	0.01	56%	0.16	101.1	0.99%	0	0.1	60	0

21	Mar_10_2014	48.72	51.4	52.09	52.64			52.34(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	3	80	0.01	59%	0.19	99	1%	0	0.9	61	0
22	Mar_7_2014	48.63	51.24	52.05	52.57			52.58(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	8	95	0.01	59%	0.21	90.9	0.99%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Mar_6_2014	48.53	51.04	51.93	52.35			52.63(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	8	93	0.01	60%	0.21	75.5	1%	0	1.3	69	0
24	Mar_5_2014	48.43	50.83	51.81	52.15			52.62(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	100	0.01	60%	0.21	66	1%	0	1.4	71	0
25	Mar_4_2014	48.33	50.62	51.62	51.82			53.01(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	13	92	0.02	58%		53.6	1%	0	1.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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