Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $50.5600 (0.4%) ($49.9700 - $50.6200) on Fri. Feb. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $50.5600(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    SMH(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.9(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.25(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.67(1.79%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2014	47.23	49.67	49.25	49.9			50.56(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	12	47	0.01	54%	0.17	-14.1	0.93%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Feb_13_2014	47.15	49.68	49.12	49.63			50.36(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	18	28	0.02	54%	0.17	-17.1	0.94%	0	0.6	54	0
3	Feb_12_2014	47.07	49.7	48.99	49.22			49.97(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	15	-28	0.01	54%	0.17	-21.7	0.93%	0	0.2	38	0
4	Feb_11_2014	46.99	49.72	48.99	48.88			49.63(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	10	-93	0.01	54%	0.15	-25.6	0.93%	0	-0.1	32	0
5	Feb_10_2014	46.92	49.74	48.86	48.65			48.97(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	7	-129	0.01	51%	0.13	-27.4	0.92%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Feb_7_2014	46.86	49.82	48.93	48.5			49.2(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-41	-10000	-2	-158	0.01	52%	0.13	-25.3	0.93%	0	-0.6	38	0
7	Feb_6_2014	46.8	49.86	48.96	48.54			48.34(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-8	-177	0.01	49%	0.09	-20.5	0.93%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Feb_5_2014	46.76	49.94	49.24	48.73			48.28(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-4	-160	0.01	49%	0.11	-16.8	0.93%	0	-1.6	33	0
9	Feb_4_2014	46.71	50	49.6	48.82			48.44(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-12	-142	0.03	49%	0.11	-15.8	0.93%	0	-1.6	38	0
10	Feb_3_2014	46.66	50.05	49.87	49.1			48.26(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-13	-113	0.02	49%	0.11	-10.2	0.93%	0	-1.9	40	0

11	Jan_31_2014	46.61	50.1	50.15	49.4			49.38(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-2	-89	0.01	53%	0.15	-5.2	0.88%	0	-0.8	43	0
12	Jan_30_2014	46.54	50.09	50.31	49.45			49.27(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-19	-83	0.02	53%	0.15	-5.6	0.88%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Jan_29_2014	46.47	50.11	50.48	49.86			48.73(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-30	-42	0.02	51%	0.13	9.6	0.87%	0	-1.6	47	0
14	Jan_28_2014	46.41	50.15	50.67	50.51			49.87(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-12	31	0.01	56%	0.17	33.1	0.82%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Jan_27_2014	46.33	50.14	50.72	50.76			49.73(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-11	67	0.03	56%	0.19	45.9	0.82%	0	-0.5	59	0

16	Jan_24_2014	46.24	50.15	50.81	51			49.63(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	17	-10000	-13	107	0.04	58%	0.17	59	0.82%	0	-0.6	59	0
17	Jan_23_2014	46.16	50.14	50.87	51.28			51.33(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	6	181	0.03	70%	0.22	74.1	0.7%	0	1.4	78	0
18	Jan_22_2014	46.06	50.03	50.7	51.18			51.99(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	59	-10000	17	184	0.02	74%	0.26	79.2	0.69%	0	2.3	76	0
19	Jan_21_2014	45.94	49.88	50.43	50.88			51.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	12	159	0.02	72%	0.24	91.5	0.67%	0	1.8	73	0
20	Jan_17_2014	45.83	49.75	50.23	50.68			50.94(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.01	74%	0.22	96.3	0.68%	0	1.8	68	0

21	Jan_16_2014	45.73	49.64	50.04	50.59			50.99(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	11	114	0.02	74%	0.22	105.3	0.69%	0	2	64	0
22	Jan_15_2014	45.63	49.5	49.84	50.4			50.86(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	14	90	0.03	69%	0.24	109.9	0.7%	0	2.3	67	0
23	Jan_14_2014	45.52	49.37	49.69	50.15			50.46(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	13	71	0.01	67%	0.2	104.3	0.73%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Jan_13_2014	45.43	49.24	49.58	49.91			50.15(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	12	54	0.09	67%	0.18	91.4	0.73%	0	1.6	65	0
25	Jan_10_2014	45.35	49.11	49.51	49.7			50.51(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	17	51	0.02	72%		74.2	0.72%	0	2.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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