Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $45.5100 (0.64%) ($45.0600 - $45.5700) on Fri. Nov. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $45.5100(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.16(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.75(1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.76(4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2013	41.64	43.76	44.75	45.16			45.51(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	4	146	0.03	59%	0.17	59	0.95%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Oct_31_2013	41.57	43.58	44.58	45.07			45.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	4	151	0	59%	0.19	56.1	0.97%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Oct_30_2013	41.49	43.42	44.4	44.99			45.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	7	162	0.02	59%	0.14	54.3	0.97%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Oct_29_2013	41.43	43.29	44.19	44.84			45.15(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	13	174	0	59%	0.17	53.2	0.97%	0	1.7	80	0
5	Oct_28_2013	41.36	43.17	43.93	44.55			44.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-10000	14	165	0.01	59%	0.17	50	0.97%	0	1.7	76	0

6	Oct_25_2013	41.29	43.04	43.75	44.26			45.05(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	-10000	12	159	0	58%	0.19	46.3	0.97%	0	2.2	73	0
7	Oct_24_2013	41.21	42.91	43.53	44.01			44.8(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	-10000	13	154	0	58%	0.17	44.6	0.97%	0	2.4	73	0
8	Oct_23_2013	41.14	42.8	43.28	43.74			44.31(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	14	142	0	58%	0.17	34	0.96%	0	2.2	70	0
9	Oct_22_2013	41.07	42.72	43.01	43.44			43.7(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	11	106	0	56%	0.15	15.2	0.96%	0	1.7	60	0
10	Oct_21_2013	41.01	42.67	42.82	43.21			43.43(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	3	71	0	56%	0.12	-3.9	0.96%	0	1.4	53	0

11	Oct_18_2013	40.96	42.61	42.69	43.15			43.8(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	9	66	0	57%	0.15	-17.2	0.95%	0	2.3	61	0
12	Oct_17_2013	40.9	42.56	42.51	42.97			43.44(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	10	43	0	57%	0.12	-26	0.95%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Oct_16_2013	40.85	42.57	42.36	42.77			42.85(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	13	18	0	54%	0.12	-24.1	0.94%	0	0.5	49	0
14	Oct_15_2013	40.8	42.63	42.32	42.51			42.51(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-9	0	55%	0.02	-24.5	0.95%	0	-0.2	47	0
15	Oct_14_2013	40.79	42.69	42.35	42.37			43.16(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	11	-19	0.01	58%	0.15	-19.5	0.93%	0	0.7	51	0

16	Oct_11_2013	40.73	42.69	42.27	42.15			42.89(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	9	-39	0	60%	0.12	-18.5	0.93%	0	0.3	55	0
17	Oct_10_2013	40.68	42.7	42.24	41.98			42.43(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-56	0	58%	0.12	-15.9	0.94%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Oct_9_2013	40.63	42.72	42.28	41.91			41.55(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0	55%	0.07	-11.5	0.91%	0	-1.7	25	0
19	Oct_8_2013	40.6	42.79	42.4	42.11			41.8(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0	57%	0.1	6.2	0.9%	0	-1.6	25	0
20	Oct_7_2013	40.56	42.79	42.51	42.33			42.07(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-4	-85	0	57%	0.1	29.6	0.91%	0	-1.2	29	0

21	Oct_4_2013	40.52	42.83	42.55	42.4			42.06(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0	59%	0.12	38.3	0.92%	0	-1.2	36	0
22	Oct_3_2013	40.47	42.81	42.63	42.54			42.06(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-8	-86	0	59%	0.12	45.3	0.93%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Oct_2_2013	40.42	42.79	42.82	42.7			42.55(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-58	0	61%	0.15	53.8	0.92%	0	-0.3	49	0
24	Oct_1_2013	40.36	42.75	42.96	42.73			42.92(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	0	-38	0	62%	0.15	51.8	0.91%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Sep_30_2013	40.3	42.65	43.06	42.72			42.41(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-18	0	61%		44.6	0.91%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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