Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $42.8500 (0.8%) ($42.7300 - $43.0500) on Wed. Oct. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $42.8500(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.77(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.36(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.57(0.66%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2013	40.85	42.57	42.36	42.77			42.85(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	13	18	0	54%	0.12	-24.1	0.94%	0	0.5	49	0
2	Oct_15_2013	40.8	42.63	42.32	42.51			42.51(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-9	0	55%	0.02	-24.5	0.95%	0	-0.2	47	0
3	Oct_14_2013	40.79	42.69	42.35	42.37			43.16(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	11	-19	0.01	58%	0.15	-19.5	0.93%	0	0.7	51	0
4	Oct_11_2013	40.73	42.69	42.27	42.15			42.89(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	9	-39	0	60%	0.12	-18.5	0.93%	0	0.3	55	0
5	Oct_10_2013	40.68	42.7	42.24	41.98			42.43(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-56	0	58%	0.12	-15.9	0.94%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Oct_9_2013	40.63	42.72	42.28	41.91			41.55(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0	55%	0.07	-11.5	0.91%	0	-1.7	25	0
7	Oct_8_2013	40.6	42.79	42.4	42.11			41.8(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0	57%	0.1	6.2	0.9%	0	-1.6	25	0
8	Oct_7_2013	40.56	42.79	42.51	42.33			42.07(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-4	-85	0	57%	0.1	29.6	0.91%	0	-1.2	29	0
9	Oct_4_2013	40.52	42.83	42.55	42.4			42.06(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0	59%	0.12	38.3	0.92%	0	-1.2	36	0
10	Oct_3_2013	40.47	42.81	42.63	42.54			42.06(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-8	-86	0	59%	0.12	45.3	0.93%	0	-1.1	45	0

11	Oct_2_2013	40.42	42.79	42.82	42.7			42.55(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-58	0	61%	0.15	53.8	0.92%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Oct_1_2013	40.36	42.75	42.96	42.73			42.92(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	0	-38	0	62%	0.15	51.8	0.91%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Sep_30_2013	40.3	42.65	43.06	42.73			42.41(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-18	0	61%	0.15	44.6	0.91%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	Sep_27_2013	40.24	42.57	43.17	42.72			42.76(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-1	3	0.01	63%	0.15	35.4	0.9%	0	0.2	62	0
15	Sep_26_2013	40.18	42.5	43.17	42.74			42.84(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-12	20	0	65%	0.15	32.8	0.92%	0	0.3	67	0

16	Sep_25_2013	40.12	42.41	43.19	42.97			42.73(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-13	55	0	65%	0.17	35.6	0.94%	0	0.3	64	0
17	Sep_24_2013	40.05	42.31	43.21	43.24			42.88(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-10	99	0.01	65%	0.15	39.3	0.94%	0	0.5	67	0
18	Sep_23_2013	39.99	42.26	43.18	43.45			42.37(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	28	-10000	-11	144	0	63%	0.18	48.8	0.94%	0	0.1	70	0
19	Sep_20_2013	39.92	42.24	43.15	43.68			42.89(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	48	-10000	0	192	0	62%	0.18	57.8	0.92%	0	0.6	76	0
20	Sep_19_2013	39.85	42.17	43.02	43.67			43.98(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	-10000	12	211	0	67%	0.2	60.5	0.9%	0	1.6	84	0

21	Sep_18_2013	39.77	42.03	42.78	43.44			44.07(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	-10000	13	205	0	67%	0.23	56.8	0.9%	0	2	86	0
22	Sep_17_2013	39.68	41.88	42.52	43.18			43.96(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	-10000	16	200	0	67%	0.2	50.5	0.9%	0	2.3	86	0
23	Sep_16_2013	39.6	41.73	42.2	42.87			43.5(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	17	161	0.01	66%	0.2	44.4	0.89%	0	2.2	62	0
24	Sep_13_2013	39.52	41.61	41.91	42.55			42.86(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	15	119	0	64%	0.18	32.5	0.88%	0	1.8	59	0
25	Sep_12_2013	39.45	41.51	41.74	42.27			42.79(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	13	86	0	61%		14.1	0.88%	0	2.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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