Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $38.0000 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Thu. May. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   98
Latest Price   $38.0000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.96(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.54(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.86(3.09%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2013	34.45	36.86	37.54	37.96			38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	39	-10000	5	139	0	79%	0.15	93.5	0.9%	0	1.3	98	0
2	May_22_2013	34.4	36.74	37.43	37.88			38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	49	-10000	13	157	0	80%	0.12	97.5	0.9%	0	1.4	98	0
3	May_21_2013	34.36	36.59	37.3	37.66			38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	12	152	0	75%	0.2	92.8	0.91%	0	1.5	98	0
4	May_20_2013	34.29	36.43	37.12	37.45			38.03(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	13	135	0.01	75%	0.2	83.1	0.94%	0	1.7	93	0
5	May_17_2013	34.22	36.25	36.94	37.23			37.79(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	10	127	0	75%	0.18	71.8	0.93%	0	1.6	93	0

6	May_16_2013	34.16	36.08	36.78	37.06			37.56(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	7	119	0	75%	0.15	59.2	0.94%	0	1.5	93	0
7	May_15_2013	34.11	35.9	36.6	36.93			36.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-10000	3	109	0	73%	0.09	47.8	0.93%	0	1.1	85	0
8	May_14_2013	34.08	35.76	36.49	36.88			36.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-10000	8	123	0	73%	0.18	44	0.93%	0	1.2	91	0
9	May_13_2013	34.02	35.66	36.38	36.74			36.93(-0.03%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	38	-10000	8	128	0	73%	0.15	42	0.93%	0	1.4	91	0
10	May_10_2013	33.97	35.58	36.25	36.6			36.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	42	-10000	8	142	0	73%	0.12	43	0.91%	0	1.6	93	0

11	May_9_2013	33.93	35.51	36.12	36.46			36.94(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	14	154	0	73%	0.15	47.6	0.92%	0	1.8	93	0
12	May_8_2013	33.88	35.44	36	36.22			36.64(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	11	164	0	74%	0.15	48.3	0.92%	0	1.6	93	0
13	May_7_2013	33.83	35.35	35.82	36.04			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	42	-10000	4	155	0	73%	0.12	44.6	0.93%	0	1.3	81	0
14	May_6_2013	33.79	35.28	35.69	35.97			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	-10000	7	152	0	73%	0.15	43.9	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0
15	May_3_2013	33.74	35.21	35.51	35.85			36.24(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	125	0	73%	0.15	40.8	0.93%	0	1.6	56	0

16	May_2_2013	33.69	35.13	35.32	35.85			35.74(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10000	0	91	0	72%	0.12	35.7	0.92%	0	1	49	0
17	May_1_2013	33.65	35.08	35.14	35.74			35.74(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	10	65	0	72%	0.12	36.4	0.93%	0	1.2	48	0
18	Apr_30_2013	33.61	35.04	34.99	35.57			35.87(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	12	37	0	72%	0.12	28	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
19	Apr_29_2013	33.57	34.99	34.88	35.37			35.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	17	-10000	17	18	0	72%	0.15	19.5	0.93%	0	1.3	57	0
20	Apr_26_2013	33.52	34.96	34.85	35.1			35.67(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	-10000	17	-1	0	72%	0.12	4.1	0.93%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Apr_25_2013	33.48	34.92	34.83	34.83			35.76(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	15	-10000	23	-10	0	72%	0.15	-13.1	0.93%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Apr_24_2013	33.43	34.88	34.81	34.46			34.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	9	-42	0	69%	0.12	-42.9	0.88%	0	-0	51	0
23	Apr_23_2013	33.39	34.88	34.81	34.33			34.87(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0	69%	0.12	-51.2	0.88%	0	-0	48	0
24	Apr_22_2013	33.35	34.89	34.82	34.34			34.33(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10000	-16	-70	0	67%	0.09	-55	0.86%	0	-1.2	43	0
25	Apr_19_2013	33.32	34.94	34.89	34.57			34.33(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-17	-47	0.01	67%		-46.3	0.86%	0	-1.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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