Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $30.2500 (1.75%) ($30.2400 - $30.2500) on Mon. Nov. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $30.2500(1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.54(-12.26%)
Resistance Level   $30.73
5 Day Moving Average   $30.05(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.36(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.73(-1.56%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2012	30.14	30.73	30.36	30.05			30.25(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-4	-107	0.01	52%	0.03	-46.9	1.02%	0	-0.8	49	0
2	Nov_16_2012	30.13	30.79	30.48	30.11			29.73(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-10	-100	0.01	49%	0.07	-37.4	0.99%	0	-1.8	34	0
3	Nov_15_2012	30.11	30.88	30.66	30.26			29.69(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-11	-78	0	49%	0.03	-27	0.99%	0	-2.1	34	0
4	Nov_14_2012	30.1	30.95	30.85	30.42			30(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-6	-45	0	51%	0.07	-20.4	0.99%	0	-1.9	43	0
5	Nov_13_2012	30.08	31	30.85	30.51			30.58(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-14	-56	0	56%	0.1	-17.2	0.96%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Nov_12_2012	30.05	31.01	30.91	30.71			30.54(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-14	-50	0	56%	0.07	-10.6	0.96%	0	-1.1	40	0
7	Nov_9_2012	30.03	31.02	30.97	30.91			30.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-21	-10000	-15	-37	0	56%	0.03	0	0.96%	0	-1.3	37	0
8	Nov_8_2012	30.02	31.03	31.03	31.13			30.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.5	-15	-10000	-14	-19	0	56%	0.07	14.1	0.96%	0	-1.3	40	0
9	Nov_7_2012	30	31.05	31.07	31.13			30.48(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2.1	2	-10000	0	7	0	56%	0.1	28.8	0.96%	0	-1.4	48	0
10	Nov_6_2012	29.97	31.08	31.16	31.34			31.58(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	17	24	0	70%	0.1	34.4	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0

11	Nov_5_2012	29.94	31.05	31.13	31.12			31.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	7	-10000	7	7	0	70%	0.1	28.7	0.89%	0	1.3	62	0
12	Nov_2_2012	29.91	31.02	31.12	31.03			31.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	9	-10000	7	13	0	70%	0.07	28.4	0.89%	0	1.5	61	0
13	Nov_1_2012	29.89	30.97	31.1	30.94			31.55(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	12	18	0	66%	0.1	30	0.89%	0	1.7	61	0
14	Oct_31_2012	29.86	30.93	31.03	30.77			30.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-14	-10000	-15	-9	0	59%	0.17	23	0.8%	0	-1.5	49	0
15	Oct_26_2012	29.81	30.93	31.08	30.95			30.48(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-14	14	0	64%	0.03	41.7	0.84%	0	-1.4	44	0

16	Oct_25_2012	29.8	30.94	31.11	31.13			31.09(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-7	31	0	73%	0.1	56.3	0.8%	0	0.5	48	0
17	Oct_24_2012	29.77	30.91	31.08	31.22			31.09(1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	0	63%	0.13	60.9	0.82%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Oct_23_2012	29.73	30.87	31.08	31.29			30.73(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	10	-10000	-2	46	0	61%	0.1	58.4	0.9%	0	-0.4	52	0
19	Oct_22_2012	29.7	30.86	31.04	31.32			31.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	7	57	0	67%	0.1	58.1	0.86%	0	1.4	64	0
20	Oct_19_2012	29.67	30.81	31	31.23			31.36(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	10	52	0	67%	0.1	47.4	0.87%	0	1.6	66	0

21	Oct_18_2012	29.64	30.76	30.97	31.09			31.58(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	23	-10000	13	53	0	69%	0.1	32.7	0.87%	0	2.5	77	0
22	Oct_17_2012	29.61	30.71	30.9	30.91			31.41(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	17	-10000	10	39	0	69%	0.07	21.6	0.87%	0	2.6	71	0
23	Oct_16_2012	29.59	30.67	30.82	30.77			30.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	10	-10000	3	30	0	66%	0.07	13.9	0.85%	0	1	68	0
24	Oct_15_2012	29.57	30.67	30.81	30.73			30.9(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	7	-10000	-1	31	0	66%	0.07	11.1	0.85%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Oct_12_2012	29.55	30.65	30.78	30.74			30.65(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-7	35	0.02	69%		19.4	0.86%	0	0	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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