Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $31.5500 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Fri. Nov. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $31.5500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.03(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.12(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.02(1.71%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2012	29.91	31.02	31.12	31.03			31.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	9	-10000	7	13	0	70%	0.07	28.4	0.89%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Nov_1_2012	29.89	30.97	31.1	30.94			31.55(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	12	18	0	66%	0.1	30	0.89%	0	1.7	61	0
3	Oct_31_2012	29.86	30.93	31.03	30.77			30.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-14	-10000	-15	-9	0	59%	0.17	23	0.8%	0	-1.5	49	0
4	Oct_26_2012	29.81	30.93	31.08	30.95			30.48(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-14	14	0	64%	0.03	41.7	0.84%	0	-1.4	44	0
5	Oct_25_2012	29.8	30.94	31.11	31.13			31.09(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-7	31	0	73%	0.1	56.3	0.8%	0	0.5	48	0

6	Oct_24_2012	29.77	30.91	31.08	31.22			31.09(1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	0	63%	0.13	60.9	0.82%	0	0.5	54	0
7	Oct_23_2012	29.73	30.87	31.08	31.29			30.73(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	10	-10000	-2	46	0	61%	0.1	58.4	0.9%	0	-0.4	52	0
8	Oct_22_2012	29.7	30.86	31.04	31.32			31.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	7	57	0	67%	0.1	58.1	0.86%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Oct_19_2012	29.67	30.81	31	31.23			31.36(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	10	52	0	67%	0.1	47.4	0.87%	0	1.6	66	0
10	Oct_18_2012	29.64	30.76	30.97	31.09			31.58(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	23	-10000	13	53	0	69%	0.1	32.7	0.87%	0	2.5	77	0

11	Oct_17_2012	29.61	30.71	30.9	30.91			31.41(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	17	-10000	10	39	0	69%	0.07	21.6	0.87%	0	2.6	71	0
12	Oct_16_2012	29.59	30.67	30.82	30.77			30.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	10	-10000	3	30	0	66%	0.07	13.9	0.85%	0	1	68	0
13	Oct_15_2012	29.57	30.67	30.81	30.73			30.9(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	7	-10000	-1	31	0	66%	0.07	11.1	0.85%	0	1.1	62	0
14	Oct_12_2012	29.55	30.65	30.78	30.74			30.65(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-7	35	0.02	69%	0.07	19.4	0.86%	0	0	58	0
15	Oct_11_2012	29.53	30.66	30.76	30.84			30.7(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-3	48	0	63%	0.07	55.6	0.87%	0	0.2	59	0

16	Oct_10_2012	29.51	30.65	30.74	30.84			30.7(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	0	53	0	63%	0.07	76.4	0.9%	0	0.2	55	0
17	Oct_9_2012	29.49	30.64	30.7	30.88			30.7(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-1	44	0	63%	0.07	94.4	0.9%	0	0.3	47	0
18	Oct_8_2012	29.47	30.63	30.67	30.89			30.94(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	4	44	0	63%	0.1	104	0.9%	0	1.3	58	0
19	Oct_5_2012	29.44	30.6	30.62	30.83			31.15(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	32	0	59%	0.07	89.1	0.92%	0	2	55	0
20	Oct_4_2012	29.42	30.54	30.54	30.67			30.9(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	6	2	0	59%	0.07	69.4	0.91%	0	1.2	48	0

21	Oct_3_2012	29.4	30.48	30.54	30.59			30.72(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	7	-8	0.01	59%	0.03	56.2	0.92%	0	0.7	54	0
22	Oct_2_2012	29.39	30.43	30.5	30.49			30.74(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	5	-16	0	59%	0.07	44.6	0.92%	0	0.9	54	0
23	Oct_1_2012	29.37	30.39	30.48	30.42			30.64(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	3	-22	0	59%	0	42.2	0.92%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Sep_28_2012	29.37	30.35	30.49	30.38			30.36(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.01	64%	0.03	28.7	1.04%	0	0	48	0
25	Sep_27_2012	29.36	30.33	30.54	30.39			30.47(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-1	0	64%		21	1.04%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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