Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $27.6300 (-1.46%) ($27.4800 - $27.8300) on Mon. Jun. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $27.6300(-1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.16(-12.56%)
Resistance Level   $28.95
5 Day Moving Average   $28.34(-2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.5(-3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.95(-4.56%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2012	30.06	28.95	28.5	28.34			27.63(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-14	-72	0.04	37%	-0.03	-83.5	1.1%	0	-2	25	0
2	Jun_1_2012	30.07	29.09	28.57	28.56			28.04(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-6	-75	0	37%	-0.03	-81.6	1.09%	0	-1.6	26	0
3	May_31_2012	30.08	29.22	28.67	28.65			28.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0	39%	-0.03	-74.2	1.07%	0	-0.8	30	0
4	May_30_2012	30.09	29.31	28.71	28.68			28.68(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-2	-90	0	39%	0.03	-69.1	1.08%	0	-0.9	30	0
5	May_29_2012	30.08	29.42	28.77	28.71			28.69(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-23	-10000	1	-94	0	39%	0.13	-57.7	1.08%	0	-0.9	30	0

6	May_25_2012	30.04	29.52	28.85	28.69			28.69(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	-10000	7	-109	0.01	39%	0.03	-52.6	1.07%	0	-1	26	0
7	May_24_2012	30.03	29.63	28.95	28.58			28.52(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-10000	-7	-137	0	39%	0	-54	1.07%	0	-1.3	21	0
8	May_23_2012	30.03	29.74	29.08	28.69			28.82(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	-3	-141	0.01	39%	0	-48.6	1.07%	0	-1.1	20	0
9	May_22_2012	30.03	29.83	29.17	28.74			28.85(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10000	-7	-153	0	39%	-0.03	-48.7	1.07%	0	-1.2	21	0
10	May_21_2012	30.04	29.89	29.27	28.85			28.57(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-12	-167	0	39%	0.03	-48.6	1.06%	0	-1.8	13	0

11	May_18_2012	30.03	29.97	29.43	29.04			28.13(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-57	-10000	-21	-165	0	36%	0	-46.5	1.04%	0	-2.7	9	0
12	May_17_2012	30.03	30.09	29.66	29.36			29.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-45	-10000	-11	-147	0	40%	0.03	-38.3	0.97%	0	-1.8	12	0
13	May_16_2012	30.02	30.14	29.82	29.51			29.08(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-42	-10000	-11	-134	0.01	40%	0.03	-31.9	0.97%	0	-2.1	12	0
14	May_15_2012	30.01	30.22	29.98	29.66			29.39(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-6	-116	0	42%	-0.03	-21.8	0.97%	0	-1.9	25	0
15	May_14_2012	30.02	30.26	30.13	29.75			29.53(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-10	-92	0	42%	0.07	-7	0.97%	0	-1.9	44	0

16	May_11_2012	30	30.26	30.25	29.89			29.74(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-8	-64	0	42%	0.07	7.4	0.98%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	May_10_2012	29.98	30.3	30.36	30			29.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-46	0	42%	0.07	9	0.98%	0	-1.3	42	0
18	May_9_2012	29.96	30.3	30.46	30.17			29.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-12	-10000	-11	-14	0	42%	0.07	7.2	0.99%	0	-1.3	50	0
19	May_8_2012	29.94	30.31	30.53	30.34			29.83(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-10000	-15	6	0	42%	0.13	5	0.99%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	May_7_2012	29.9	30.29	30.57	30.56			30.22(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-7	31	0	44%	0.1	2.2	0.98%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	May_4_2012	29.87	30.29	30.56	30.67			30.31(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-6	43	0	44%	0.13	1.4	0.97%	0	0.1	54	0
22	May_3_2012	29.83	30.27	30.57	30.76			30.68(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-1	68	0	49%	0.13	5.6	0.97%	0	1	67	0
23	May_2_2012	29.79	30.28	30.5	30.78			30.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	1	75	0	49%	0.13	8.7	0.99%	0	0.8	67	0
24	May_1_2012	29.75	30.29	30.48	30.76			30.96(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	13	92	0	56%	0.13	5.2	0.98%	0	1.4	73	0
25	Apr_30_2012	29.71	30.28	30.4	30.57			30.75(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	9	84	0	56%		-3.2	1.03%	0	1	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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